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  On 12/15/2020 at 9:42 PM, Henry's Weather said:

BOX has 53% chance we get over 12 inches in Boston, but calls for 11? Doesn't matter, but interesting. They probably just don't wanna use the 12-18 paint.

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Because they know Winthrop won't get over 10 with this set-up and that will end up being the official number?

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I think the GFS as far as areas down by NYC/coastal SNE not changing precip over is a result of the unusual nature of the setup where the surface low basically passes SE of everyone with a strong high to the north but the 700/850 lows are displaced NW.  Usually the GFS will torch the BL in this type of scenario and show rain but because of that high pressure it is not even doing that so its more wrong than it even normally would be

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