HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 You guys are brutal... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: ehhhhhh...plenty of "NAMs" in there Yea, plenty of spread to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: ehhhhhh...plenty of "NAMs" in there a few ZONKED members that for sure and few hanging with the GFS on the beach in bermuda as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
summerthyme Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sometimes I can't tell if ya'll are joking with each other or not. I certainly hope so, otherwise that would be embarrassing behavior from adults. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: a few ZONKED members that for sure and few hanging with the GFS on the beach in bermuda as well. Not feeling good about this one down here. That is a heavy lean NW. Still think it looks like March 2017 track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If we can get that guy to dig a bit more, it could theoretically reach a tipping point, at which it begins to constructively interfere, as opposed to deconstructively. Ensemble sensitivity kind of backs that up. 12z GEFS has over 50% of the variance in members explained by a more tucked surface low. The ensemble is most sensitive to 500 heights trailing our shortwave. Meaning, the lower the heights upstream, the more tucked the surface low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, summerthyme said: Sometimes I can't tell if ya'll are joking with each other or not. I certainly hope so, otherwise that would be embarrassing behavior from adults. thick skin my friend.. we love all.. even the pope, we give him shit because he bailed on us, but we love him... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 When do we enter "storm" mode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like he's still down for the count.. You gotta affix metfan's head to the dude helping him up lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Brewbeer said: When do we enter "storm" mode? yeah, we need a good banning.. have had one of those in awhile.. I wonder who was the last person banned from SNE forum? We have a few 5 posted.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet you also wish that you weren't a 47 year old virgin, but 'alas 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Jesus. He was a 32 year old virgin. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: thick skin my friend.. we love all.. even the pope, we give him shit because he bailed on us, but we love him... He has actually had a good season, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: A lot of those relationships go back at least a decade. 20 years for some. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, summerthyme said: Sometimes I can't tell if ya'll are joking with each other or not. I certainly hope so, otherwise that would be embarrassing behavior from adults. These weather forums go back years. Nothing is personal. I've been a part of them since like 2008 or 2009, been to a get together and met a bunch of the people posting in this thread in person, and I still feel like a newbie. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, DomNH said: These weather forums go back years. Nothing Everything is personal. fixed it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
summerthyme Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sorry, I just saw some mediocre trolling and had to show everyone how it's done. I've been around since EasternWx 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 btw, the Euro and GFS are virtually identical now. That's the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, summerthyme said: Sorry, I just saw some mediocre trolling and had to show everyone how it's done. I've been around since EasternWx We could take it up a notch or two as these next runs come in to check on folks thresholds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 It's the equivalent of giving a noogie and stuffing him in the locker. But then as friends, letting him out after 4 hours so you can all go out and grab a beer together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Not feeling good about this one down here. That is a heavy lean NW. Still think it looks like March 2017 track. I've had Mar 2017 on my mind all morning, i went back and looked at everything i saved from it, model runs etc. The crazy thing is my first call forecast and my first call for this... I really don't think we're looking at that kind of an outcome though. That thing was really tucked into the coast and had a more typical SW to NE trajectory, where this one comes north and scoots out E/ENE. Also thermals aren't even close to where they were with that storm atm. Things can trend that way but thats not where were at. I'd say about 12 hours before that storm i knew we were in bring trouble as ever model had mixing well into CT as 850s and 925s blew right up the coast. Here's the analysis and model runs from that event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Brewbeer said: When do we enter "storm" mode? Hell, let’s just doom the storm with a radio show! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 20 years for some. When DT was drunk posting last week, it reminded me we used to voice chat in the late 90's starting near hurricane Floyd and its hairpin north turn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I have known most of the guys in here about 15 years...him I do not know, but it wasn't anything personal. It was a generic, albeit crude pun...I do not know him personally. I'm sure he has had an assortment of rewarding romantic encounters throughout his life. Back to weather- 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: btw, the Euro and GFS are virtually identical now. That's the forecast. About time that thing got a clue. Noted that GFSv16 has been in line this whole time and has been more or less on track with the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I've been a member for 8 years - can't believe it's been that long - don't know crap about forecasting but am a big outdoor recreation enthusiast. Plus, I joined to keep to keep an eye on my then HS age son. I don't get half the jokes - before my time; but everyone has a role to play (and they do it well) especially during storm meltdown time. You go through a couple of winters of this and it just becomes comical. I literally have been laughing out loud at my computer reading this stuff. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: I've had Mar 2017 on my mind all morning, i went back and looked at everything i saved from it, model runs etc. The crazy thing is my first call forecast and my first call for this... I really don't think we're looking at that kind of an outcome though. That thing was really tucked into the coast and had a more typical SW to NE trajectory, where this one comes north and scoots out E/ENE. Also thermals aren't even close to where they were with that storm atm. Things can trend that way but thats not where were at. I'd say about 12 hours before that storm i knew we were in bring trouble as ever model had mixing well into CT as 850s and 925s blew right up the coast. Here's the analysis and model runs from that event. Yea, that one didn't have a block....it just ripped NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have known most of the guys in here about 15 years...him I do not know, but it wasn't anything personal. It was a generic, albeit crude pun...I do not know him personally. I'm sure he has had an assortment of rewarding romantic encounters throughout his life. Back to weather- That's a colorful image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 12:18 PM, jbenedet said: Are we really resorting to the ICON? How have we reached this level of denial already.... I'm going to say that this is the post that got under people's skin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 ok the time has come @HoarfrostHubb - what's your call bro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Angus said: I've been a member for 8 years - can't believe it's been that long - don't know crap about forecasting but am a big outdoor recreation enthusiast. Plus, I joined to keep to keep an eye on my then HS age son. I don't get half the jokes - before my time; but everyone has a role to play (and they do it well) especially during storm meltdown time. You go through a couple of winters of this and it just becomes comical. I literally have been laughing out loud at my computer reading this stuff. Who is your son on here... I forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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