ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Still NW at 48...but not a big shift compared to other guidance. Kind of a typical Euro move. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:59 PM, weatherwiz said: Wish I had more time to post in here with all this fun. did an updated map for CT now that I feel more confident regarding banding placement. Concerns for subsidence and dry slot along southern CT and perhaps mixing far SE CT. And no...I am not buying into this more northern trend. Expand Aren't you buying into it by giving southern areas less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Looks like the vort was further east at 12z thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:00 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks like a more consolidated trough and s/w's Expand Please don't rain on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 everyone should be happy with this EURO run edit: everyone in SNE.. but that I mean it did not trend worst.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Getting a kick to the east here late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Once it gets to a certain Latitude it jerks east/ northeast fast so how far north will it make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the vort was further east at 12z thursday. Expand Yeah it gets kicked by the s/w behgind it digging more. The whole precip shield is further NW though since our man s/w is deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro stops the trend and other models will begin leveling back off at 18z... or certainly by 00z. This part is as predictable as the N trends are leading up to it. Yin then we yang 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I like that the ULL is oblong oriented E-W. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it gets kicked by the s/w behgind it digging more. The whole precip shield is further NW though since our man s/w is deeper. Expand What a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The precip being further NW offsets the kick, That wave behind it was more prominent this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:01 PM, dryslot said: Getting a kick to the east here late. Expand yeah improvement but not like other models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:00 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Aren't you buying into it by giving southern areas less? Expand not necessarily. I do think the track will be far enough north (particularly H7) that southern CT may experience some dry slot issues. I am also factoring in subsidence zone which there should be one on the northern fringe of the band and one on southern fringe and I think the band goes right through northern CT and southern CT could struggle a bit. It's always a challenge accounting for subsidence in a snowfall map, however, I do like the idea of doing so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it gets kicked by the s/w behgind it digging more. The whole precip shield is further NW though since our man s/w is deeper. Expand Yeah the shield blew up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:04 PM, dryslot said: The precip being further NW offsets the kick, That wave behind it was more prominent this run. Expand Is that too far to phase? Not looking at model... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:03 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I like that the ULL is oblong oriented E-W. Expand That's a saving grace for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:29 PM, moneypitmike said: Need more qpf in some. Expand WTH is going on with Central MA? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro brings people back to reality... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:59 PM, weatherwiz said: Wish I had more time to post in here with all this fun. did an updated map for CT now that I feel more confident regarding banding placement. Concerns for subsidence and dry slot along southern CT and perhaps mixing far SE CT. And no...I am not buying into this more northern trend. Expand That’s the GON I grew up in and love. Cut it by 2/3rds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:04 PM, Bostonseminole said: yeah improvement but not like other models.. Expand About what i expected though, It doesn't make any big changes just some a tic or two at a time, Still went the same direction as the others at 12z today, We will wait for 18z but those off hour runs, ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Nice bump north for up here. Nothing like the other models, but I think it has another bump or two left in it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: We didn't get hosed as bad in boxing day as further east and northeast in the Tip to ASH belt....we had about a foot while some of those areas had like 6-7" of sand. Expand 9'' of sand and my biggest melt ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I’d hit the euro...locked in Gradual bump north while the others tickle back in future runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:07 PM, powderfreak said: QPF Expand Bleh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:07 PM, powderfreak said: QPF Expand Yea, this is going to be a Boxing day. At least I'm prepared for it, this time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 6:07 PM, dendrite said: Nice bump north for up here. Nothing like the other models, but I think it has another bump or two left in it. Expand Yes, I think the same, As long as that s/w down south remains strong or even strengthens some more i think it has room to come further north, I need that over this way before the squeeze east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8-12” statewide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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