TheBudMan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:28 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’ll give you credit for that. You stuck to your guns.The Rev preaches to his flock He’s done a coup on the Pope ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:33 PM, SnowEMass said: BTW, where did JoeBlow go with his GFS King diatribes? Expand Are you speaking of the Pope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:40 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: Are you speaking of the Pope? Expand No, the newbie kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:24 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: No powderfreak, you already got your snow somewhat, let the coastline have our fun. I am going to be upset if the majority of this system is rain! Expand Ha, I know you all think I’m trying to steal ALL of your snow. I just want 3”. Cover the grass blades back up and uniform white. Anything to whiten up the crusty left-overs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro running now...definitely expect it to come NW this run, but the question is how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: I was commenting on Taunton....the Cape would get a lot of rain on that setup. You'd still get some snow....but rain at the height for sure. Expand He was doing a Kevin just then....it was clear what you said. He wanted to ask, without asking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Enough with the damn NW tics!!! Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:43 PM, powderfreak said: Ha, I know you all think I’m stealing ALL of your snow. I just want 3”. Cover the grass blades back up and uniform white. Anything to whiten up the crusty left-overs. Expand 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 First call for my blog this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:33 PM, Greg said: Never say never. Expand Oh it happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Ukie gave Syracuse over a foot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sick of seeing this ...gotta comment on it - want it out there before whatever this thing scores, in case it doesn't for a some scorned winter lovers - That notching in the QPF/ .. related snow products? Don't ignore that - It's real in this situation. Folks are discussing the 'hygroscopic theft' of undercutting 10 F DPs underneath ... well-enough .. but, taking all these Kutchera this, and model-centric snow product that, and blending them, clearly shows a barrier jet axial dry tongue eroding into this this...and I know why - it is because the snow genesis is high up in this scenario, and that is affording a lot of evaporation in that barrier axis, ...where the restorative interior jet is organized from interior D.E. Maine and points to the Worcester Hills -... The Boxing Day storm was a latter correction and we didn't really have time to steep in this fore-shadowing of that event, but there was a clear notching phenomenon that really was guite similar to this back then, that I personally did not take into consideration and dismissed it as noise.. Well, we didn't do so well in that system, despite any notoriety - ... We ended up with 4 or 5" of arctic grits ... drifted against opposing curb slants and finned around tree trunks and tires of cars, with not much on exposed ground from that, where 20 to 24 " jackpotted S of here... and N. Middlesex was targeted by the barrier jet dry air hose in that event ... this looks similar to me.. . Don't be surprised if there is a hygroscopic shadowing in a dearth band here in the interior up through S NH.. This sort of/said notching like below began showing up two days ago and it's been a persistently recurring illustration since... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro is actually less amped through 18h than 06z....wouldn't that be the ultimate Euro move, to do the opposite of the other guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:46 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: First call for my blog this morning. Expand That's actually not a bad call at this stage. Very close to what I was thinking at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:22 PM, powderfreak said: Let’s do this trend for the next 36 hours. Huge jump from 00z. Expand Smoke exhaust please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 only change I can see at 24hr is the trough digs a little more, but upstream/downstream look pretty similar to 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is actually less amped through 18h than 06z....wouldn't that be the ultimate Euro move, to do the opposite of the other guidance. Expand It's digging deeper through 30 but nothing screams north to me either. I'm not sure what's going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The confluence is just a smidge weaker, so that might be enough to make up for the s/w dragging some on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:22 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: That is over Dave and Whiney and we know that will never happen. Expand I was just about to reply to Chris that we saw ORH county hosed in Boxing day...also wonder if its kind of a gap as the dynamics jump east. On 12/15/2020 at 5:51 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Sick of seeing this ...gotta comment on it - want it out there before whatever this thing scores, in case it doesn't for a some scorned winter lovers - That notching in the QPF/ .. related snow products? Don't ignore that - It's real in this situation. Folks are discussing the 'hygroscopic theft' of undercutting 10 F DPs underneath ... well-enough .. but, taking all these Kutchera this, and model-centric snow product that, and blending them, clearly shows a barrier jet axial dry tongue eroding into this this...and I know why - it is because the snow genesis is high up in this scenario, and that is affording a lot of evaporation in that barrier axis, ...where the restorative interior jet is organized from interior D.E. Maine and points to the Worcester Hills -... The Boxing Day storm was a latter correction and we didn't really have time to steep in this fore-shadowing of that event, but there was a clear notching phenomenon that really was guite similar to this back then, that I personally did not take into consideration and dismissed it as noise.. Well, we didn't do so well in that system, despite any notoriety - ... We ends up with 4 or 5" of arctic grits ... drifted against opposing curb slants and fined around tree trunks and tires of cars, with not much on exposed ground from that, where 20 to 24 " jackpotted S of here... and N. Middlesex was targeted by the barrier jet dry air hose in that event ... this looks similar to me.. . Don't be surprised if there is a hygroscopic shadowing in a dearth band here in the interior up through S NH.. This sort of/said notching like below began showing up two days ago and it's been a persistently recurring illustration since... Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:55 PM, JC-CT said: It's digging deeper through 30 but nothing screams north to me either. I'm not sure what's going to happen Expand at 33 you can see it will come further north imo the heights ahead of it are higher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:55 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was just about to reply to Chris that we saw ORH county hosed in Boxing day...also wonder if its kind of a gap as the dynamics jump east. Expand We didn't get hosed as bad in boxing day as further east and northeast in the Tip to ASH belt....we had about a foot while some of those areas had like 6-7" of sand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:56 PM, Bostonseminole said: at 33 you can see it will come further north imo the heights ahead of it are higher Expand It's definitely making up gorund now...more amped at 36h. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I still think the 12z Euro gets further north, Looks like its making up ground now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: We didn't get hosed as bad in boxing day as further east and northeast in the Tip to ASH belt....we had about a foot while some of those areas had like 6-7" of sand. Expand Right....I was on the eastern edge of it in Wilmington with about 12", too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's definitely making up gorund now...more amped at 36h. Expand We think alike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Confluence tends be over strengthened on guidance especially with a transient 50/50. Once yesterday’s system moved overhead, the nw trends began. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 These west shifts are going to conclude with se ticks are we get close to the storm and many here may/should feel bad once the far, far nne peeps get the rug pulled out from under them 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wish I had more time to post in here with all this fun. did an updated map for CT now that I feel more confident regarding banding placement. Concerns for subsidence and dry slot along southern CT and perhaps mixing far SE CT. And no...I am not buying into this more northern trend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 A lot juicier out in central PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 5:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is actually less amped through 18h than 06z....wouldn't that be the ultimate Euro move, to do the opposite of the other guidance. Expand Looks like a more consolidated trough and s/w's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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