Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah ugly dryslot punches into S/SE CT/RI/SE MA. See if it re-developes as it pushes east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Congrats PF, you've joined the festivities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Chicken are getting pounded this run. CAA brought a dusting overnight. I think that might be the week's biggest snowfall here. Would love to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I’ve mentioned my paranoia about major north and west trending on storms as have a few others.... but this surprises me because in my memory I feel like the dangerous northwest ticking toward rain territory usually happened about 48-72 hours prior to the event.... not under 48 hours. Like, “we should have known about this last night” It looks “okay” for me here but if it did this now, what’s next for 18z etc etc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, tamarack said: CAA brought a dusting overnight. I think that might be the week's biggest snowfall here. Would love to be wrong. I had .25" in those around 1:00am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: There's no rain even with that track, but might be pasty Outer Cape and Islands would based upon 850s. 700mb is also tickling 0c, at the 700 low tracks west of here, so we'd be looking at crappy snizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Sick CF sets up just NW of BOS/PVD that run. Does it crash southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The banding sig is all over the place...some runs its over you and others its just NW of you and some of the more suppressed runs like 12z euro yesterday its south of you. There's no way to know that you will be getting some big screwgie at this time lead. Right, that's all I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 It’s just the NAM. It always jacks me at 48hr with a deform band and then sanity prevails and it ends up crushing MHT/ASH/LWM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm frankly surprised it's trending this far north given the strength of the high, but what do I know? Gonna be a fun storm regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Get better, here's hoping for a speedy recovery! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Outer Cape and Islands would based upon 850s. 700mb is also tickling 0c, at the 700 low tracks west of here, so we'd be looking at crappy snizzle. Yeah, sorry - I meant for his location specifically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Nammie being Nammie... I hear a bell ringing... I want to believe... I want to believe... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I’ve mentioned my paranoia about major north and west trending on storms as have a few others.... but this surprises me because in my memory I feel like the dangerous northwest ticking toward rain territory usually happened about 48-72 hours prior to the event.... not under 48 hours. Like, “we should have known about this last night” It's still just the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I had .25" in those around 1:00am. I tried to squeeze 0.1" out of what was on the board, but it was probably about 0.03", so T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Really good banding from like PWM to dendrite to ALB this run on the NAM. I'm not too proud to run with the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Get well @Ginx snewx Many storms to track! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I hear drips dripping...I don't want to believe....I don't want to believe... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, tamarack said: I tried to squeeze 0.1" out of what was on the board, but it was probably about 0.03", so T. That was a robust streamer that moved thru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Hoth said: I'm frankly surprised it's trending this far north given the strength of the high, but what do I know? Gonna be a fun storm regardless. It's somewhat overdone but ya never know. It can pick up on these things inside 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I hear drips dripping...I don't want to believe....I don't want to believe... Well the 12z HRRR does ping the heck out of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I’ve mentioned my paranoia about major north and west trending on storms as have a few others.... but this surprises me because in my memory I feel like the dangerous northwest ticking toward rain territory usually happened about 48-72 hours prior to the event.... not under 48 hours. Like, “we should have known about this last night” We've seen these tick NW inside of 48....I feel like they usually do it until about 24-30h, and then we start getting messenger shuffle back SE a little bit. Anywyas, this is the NAM, you are always going to get some pretty jacked up solutions from it....sometimes it can lead the way but other times it overshoots the mark. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm frankly surprised it's trending this far north given the strength of the high, but what do I know? Gonna be a fun storm regardless. Bbbbb—uuu..ttt John Paul said dense cold air and it will trend SE. jacks all over NyC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'm frankly surprised it's trending this far north given the strength of the high, but what do I know? Gonna be a fun storm regardless. It was retreating, Also the block looked further NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Surface highs don't do jack shit. That fallacy needs to stop. Surface HP is guided by the mid levels. It's the mid levels that allow storms to move up and out to sea. Not some high pressure at the surface. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: There is definitely outage potential in SE cstl areas with 50kt winds and paste. I never even heard of this dude Stein. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 That’s a hideous run here.... hope it’s wrong 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Surface highs don't do jack shit. That fallacy needs to stop. Surface HP is guided by the mid levels. It's the mid levels that allow storms to move up and out to sea. Not some high pressure at the surface. It's really only relevant for low level cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3k and 12k are similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Quote 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The 12K Nam looks great for the North Shore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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