JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:13 PM, The 4 Seasons said: Expand Somebody went with my forecast verbatim, did they credit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:54 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: He should do great, as should your area over to TAN/Bob and into the South Shore of Mass Nice storm, but frustrating Expand I guess I don’t realize how far north in Orh you are. I always thought you were northern Orh burbs like 15/20min north of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:59 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No it isn't. My fear of subby if mid level deformation to my NW working on concert with low level forcing to my se owed to low level fronto (OES) to pin relative subby hole in this region....and its not too early. Its been clear for days. OES signal to me se...and now a mid level signal to my NW....do the math....its okay, I won't get mad,...you can say it lol Expand The banding sig is all over the place...some runs its over you and others its just NW of you and some of the more suppressed runs like 12z euro yesterday its south of you. There's no way to know that you will be getting some big screwgie at this time lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:57 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thank you for acknowledging the subsidence elephant. I missed this post. Expand My hope is there isn't one, but my gut says there will based upon what I see in the upper/mid-levels. There looks to be a pretty solid front band that pushes inland from the initial storm intensifying S of us. That band will rot inland and another will develop along the southern areas as the low starts pushing eastward. This would be over Eastern areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 geez the nam is coming in hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:58 PM, DomNH said: Boxing Day PTSD 11 years later. The subsidence storm. Expand SGZ should be better than Boxing day, so maybe it won't be sand....I see what he is saying, but subsidence is subsidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:51 PM, Spanks45 said: a great test for how the valley does here....we get to see which side of town does better Expand I don’t think it will matter much locally. Litchfield hills above us may pick up an extra 1-3” than us but you and I will be relatively equal imo. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 12:48 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I think that’s the main risk for us. It should still be great statewide, but we’re kind of playing with fire with some level of slotting. Expand When I saw lots of 06 z runs pull up the dividing line between magenta and purple on kuch snowfall to about a north haven- Ledyard- Hopkinton line, it was kinda creepy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Someone is going to end up in the exhaust, Tough to say who right now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: The banding sig is all over the place...some runs its over you and others its just NW of you and some of the more suppressed runs like 12z euro yesterday its south of you. There's no way to know that you will be getting some big screwgie at this time lead. Expand Yes....if mid level banding sets up here, which it could...fine. But you and I both know its more likely to be NW with the late tics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:02 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: My hope is there isn't one, but my gut says there will based upon what I see in the upper/mid-levels. There looks to be a pretty solid front band that pushes inland from the initial storm intensifying S of us. That band will rot inland and another will develop along the southern areas as the low starts pushing eastward. This would be over Eastern areas. Expand Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:52 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Exactly. I'm not trying to be a dick to Scott, but I feel like sometimes these mesoscale nuances are pretty predictable in hindsight...people overlook it or underestimate the importance. Expand I mean if you want to look at negatives, I still think SFC dry air wall seeping in from Maine like a cold air tuck will limit ratios somewhere near there. The arms of those snowflakes will be shrinking on arrival into the lower few thousand feet, IMO. It’ll be a battle somewhere between that high to the N/NE and the incoming mid-levels. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:02 PM, JC-CT said: geez the nam is coming in hot Expand Wettie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:04 PM, powderfreak said: I mean if you want to look at negatives, I still think SFC dry air wall seeping in from Maine like a cold air tuck will limit ratios somewhere near there. The arms of those snowflakes will be shrinking on arrival into the lower few thousand feet, IMO. It’ll be a battle somewhere between that high to the N/NE and the incoming mid-levels. Expand Yea. Its okay to acknowledge this, and it doesn't negate what should be a great storm for most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 1:19 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I've been saying that. Agree. Expand So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids 21 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Wettie Expand This is that NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM looks pretty amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes....if mid level banding sets up here, which it could...fine. But you and I both know its more likely to be NW with the late tics. Expand You won't jackpot if that happens....doubt you end up with 8" of sand though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Get well, buddy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, JC-CT said: This is that NAM run Expand Quite amped this run, Looks great @H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Southern lead s/w doing the dirty work, Allowing the trailer to drop in behind. Let's get this baby to close off and bowling ball S of us. Would make us all happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:07 PM, ORH_wxman said: You won't jackpot if that happens....doubt you end up with 8" of sand though. Expand I was being sarcastic with the sand part...SGZ should be better than Boxing Day, however, I could see 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Get well soon Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Best wishes Steve on your recovery. We all love you here and miss your daily contribution. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We NAM!!! Should produce here again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Get well bro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:07 PM, dryslot said: Quite amped this run, Looks great @H5. Expand Check out 250 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Get well soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 2:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: So boxing day.... Hey all thanks for the thoughts. I am in Hartford Hospital with blood clots in both lungs. Man talk about pain. I think I am over the hump as they are transferring me out of ICU today to a step down room. My call without much involvement is 14 to 20 in the jack zones in NW NE Ct. 8 to 14 rest of CT . Stay safe kids Expand Wishing you well and a speedy recovery! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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