The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 8:27 AM, WinterWolf said: Just woke up and took a peak...wow at the euro..guess The 4 seasons first call was spot on yesterday morning with 12-20 and blizzard conditions. Expand I'm not claiming any win or victory of anything yet but i appreciate the acknowledgement. Any forecast is still on the table right now. We have a good 40+hrs to go and lots can change. Everything still looks good and on track for the those amounts though. Stay the course and wait for any appreciable trend or coop and adjust accordingly. It's good to see those watches up though for 12-17" to back my call. 2nd update tomorrow (possible) and final call Wednesday AM or Tuesday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just taking a peak..... good trends at 00z. Outside of the gfs, not sure there is a model that gives us less than a foot here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 8:37 AM, CoastalWx said: EPS was rock solid again. Probably the most consistent model. Expand its been very consisten since it jumped on it from the very first run wed night. This is the first run from 12/10 00Z. Looks pretty familiar. 174hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6z 3k NAM FWIW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 buried 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 00z PARA-GFS (New GFS) came in. 10:1 Kuchera: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Pretty good euro run. A UK/euro/cmc/nam blend would be pretty sweet while you take the gfs and bury it 6ft under along with the pope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Welcome to the party 6z gfs. A little late so we’ll have to sit you in the corner by yourself. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 9:46 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Welcome to the party 6z gfs. A little late so we’ll have to sit you in the corner by yourself. Expand Yep slowly but not there yet. I'm loving this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 9:47 AM, MJO812 said: Yep slowly but not there yet. Expand We’ll have to sit at her own table by herself but at least she’s in the building finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 You can see the 7H lift perked up over SNE on 6z gfs run as it Also moves a shade north Just trend 7H closed at 12z next run and things will perk up NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 You can see nice orographic enhancement picking up on some of the more northern guidance . Catskills , Berks and Orh /monads E slopes would really light up with another tic or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 9:59 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: You can see nice orographic enhancement picking up on some of the more northern guidance . Catskills , Berks and Orh /monads E slopes would really light up with another tic or so Expand It no longer looks like the chase will need to be down to the sw coast ey? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Watches are up. I know that’s important for some weenies. OKX going with 12-17” out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6z gefs follow the op and is nw. Still some rogue members making it a run to the vatican. The writing is on the wall though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 We’ve seen all we need to see. 12-20”.. lala’s to 24” NH border south Straightforward 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:22 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve seen all we need to see. 12-20”.. lala’s to 24” NH border south Straightforward Expand Locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:27 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Locked. Expand Yup. There’s 100% agreement and honestly has been for days. When you see the normally dry biased Ukie with 2” qpf.. you go big and deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:22 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve seen all we need to see. 12-20”.. lala’s to 24” NH border south Straightforward You'll have a nice Xmas. We'll have patchy remnants of crusty brown snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:42 AM, Lava Rock said: On 12/15/2020 at 10:22 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve seen all we need to see. 12-20”.. lala’s to 24” NH border south Straightforward Expand You'll have a nice Xmas. We'll have patchy remnants of crusty brown snow Expand We’ll need to lose the screamer though. It trended east somewhat from 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wonder why Essex county didn’t get put under a wsw, seems odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:07 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It no longer looks like the chase will need to be down to the sw coast ey? Expand The trend isn’t surprising to me! At Willi, I’m even a bit more worried about ptype than suppression. It’s not predicted by models yet, but that ocean.... I know I’m being paranoid story of our life 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:22 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve seen all we need to see. 12-20”.. lala’s to 24” NH border south Straightforward Expand Funny.. NBC wvit Bob Maxon still has thr state at 6-12" but, he sis say he thongs most will see a foot. He also said a few towns may see more. He is blending both the Euro amd the GFS amd blames the totals for not being higher on the storm racing right out to sea. He said if it were to slow down.. We would see 2' + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 10:56 AM, IowaStorm05 said: The trend isn’t surprising to me! At Willi, I’m even a bit more worried about ptype than suppression. It’s not predicted by models yet, but that ocean.... I know I’m being paranoid story of our life Expand Willimantic ain’t mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 9:36 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pretty good euro run. A UK/euro/cmc/nam blend would be pretty sweet while you take the gfs and bury it 6ft under along with the pope. Expand I must've missed the pope comment. What did he say to incur the Wrath of the weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 11:05 AM, kdxken said: I must've missed the pope comment. What did he say to incur the Wrath of the weenie? Expand He was in here the other day going against all guidance and blessing the gfs ots solutions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Then he called Harvey’s first call map trash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 11:12 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Then he called Harvey’s first call map trash. Expand Lolz. That will do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 All systems go. New GFS ran last night, mirror image of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/15/2020 at 11:13 AM, kdxken said: Lolz. That will do it! Expand He’s a sinner. Rule 1 of the NewEng weenie 10 commandments: Thall shot not speak blasphemy of Harvey Leonard. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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