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Active mid December with multiple event potential


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  On 12/14/2020 at 9:20 PM, weathafella said:

I wasn’t here but wasn’t BOS supposed to be whiffed and got 13 inches?

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I remember this storm very well. Elliot Abrams was on WHDH radio insisting the storm would still miss Boston even at its height. Woke up in the morning to 14/15 inches in Dedham. Initial forecast was a trace to an inch or too. Outside of my college days, biggest bust I ever saw 

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So in my mind something like a Reggie track is sort of what I envisioned when I look at the H5 stuff. A lot of the guidance shunted it east. I know why it did....but that was always sort of what I envisioned. Reggie caveats apply naturally this far out. That’s sort of a balance between lows feeding off of PVA and baroclinic processes in my mind, but I’m also not running complex atmospheric dynamics equations in my mind. :lol: 

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When pretty weenie with my first call I made earlier this afternoon. There were a few things I didn't like...such as potential for H7 low to track over CT or kinda be more elongated (same with 850 low) but the signals are there for some very intense banding to move across the state. Thinking we should do quite well on the ratios side too. 

1792725434_snowmapsocial.png.a69f3615d74d0f06eacb571fda3dcaeb.png

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  On 12/14/2020 at 9:41 PM, weatherwiz said:

When pretty weenie with my first call I made earlier this afternoon. There were a few things I didn't like...such as potential for H7 low to track over CT or kinda be more elongated (same with 850 low) but the signals are there for some very intense banding to move across the state. Thinking we should do quite well on the ratios side too. 

1792725434_snowmapsocial.png.a69f3615d74d0f06eacb571fda3dcaeb.png

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Damn, 5" on the low end? Twist the knife!

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  On 12/14/2020 at 9:41 PM, weatherwiz said:

When pretty weenie with my first call I made earlier this afternoon. There were a few things I didn't like...such as potential for H7 low to track over CT or kinda be more elongated (same with 850 low) but the signals are there for some very intense banding to move across the state. Thinking we should do quite well on the ratios side too. 

1792725434_snowmapsocial.png.a69f3615d74d0f06eacb571fda3dcaeb.png

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Nice. Pretty much what I would do if I new how to virtually paint.

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  On 12/14/2020 at 9:44 PM, Hoth said:

Damn, 5" on the low end? Twist the knife!

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also trying to account for subsidence b/c there will definitely be subsidence zone in the vicinity of where the CCB tracks. Once I'm more confident in CCB and where that traverses this will be altered a bit.

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