Great Snow 1717 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just said the 18"+ was intended to be isolated ...its posters like this that discourage some of the pros that we'd like to attract. I agree. Earlier today Eric Fisher was on 98.5 The Sports Hub...it would be great if the forum could attract additional mets. My go to site for chess is Chess.com. On chess.com there are many international masters and grandmasters. People on the site are very appreciative of the opportunity to interact with them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm taking a shot every time I see an exclamation point today 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, raindancewx said: Actually think Uncle Sam has the right idea here in most spots. I'd go a bit lower for NYC/NJ/Philly/Western CT. The short range models are good at detecting sleet and small warm profiles above the ground from what I can remember in college when we evaluated model performance in Nor'easters. Was just about to post that I was setting the over/under for my backyard at 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: I'm taking a shot every time I see an exclamation point today Shot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, raindancewx said: Actually think Uncle Sam has the right idea here in most spots. I'd go a bit lower for NYC/NJ/Philly/Western CT. The short range models are good at detecting sleet and small warm profiles above the ground from what I can remember in college when we evaluated model performance in Nor'easters. Would still be accumulating snow in my area (central Mass). I'd be looking in the 8-12 range for ORH considering temps, orthographic lifting. If its a fluffy snow that might not be hard to get so long as the storm is near the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 I was just looking over the UKMET and the Euro from 72 hours out to the end of their respective runs... It's funny - it reminds me how sometimes a line of awesome thunderstorms in the summer seems like it can't miss ... then, the outflow out paces the initial axis ... and triggers a new line just to your east, and the original line then starves ... you get shit - the na na na-na effect We'll probably do okay and get something for someone somewhere out of this.. .whether it's just the NYC subforum or up our way ...whatever, but, that wave careening into the MV goes out into the region S of NS long after our system has been completely negatively destroyed from the flow, and then it generates a new storm too far E to even get NS ... It's like a metaphor for thunderstorm line robbing - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: That was a clown move by @Dr. Dews to post that and infer what he did It's all good, I mean I bust balls with the best of them, but he's made his point. Maybe I overdid it, but I'll decide that on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: That was a clown move by @Dr. Dews to post that and infer what he did Dr Dolittle isn't a fan of winter weather so I am not sure why he feels the need to read the forum during the winter months. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I agree. Earlier today Eric Fisher was on 98.5 The Sports Hub...it would be great if the forum could attract additional mets. My go to site for chess is Chess.com. On chess.com there are many international masters and grandmasters. People on the site are very appreciative of the opportunity to interact with them. I like Fisher...he is very responsive on Twitter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Okay, sorry my nonexistent meteorology degree isn't from an ivy league school, or even worse, that it is from Brown. So you are saying that the kicker wasn't there 4 days ago on the GFS, and now it is there on the GFS, and that's why the GFS is currently 100 miles south of some other guidance. I will have to mull this over. Yeah.. more than less - sorry ..I don't mean to be priggish I just have years of internet experience and typically more the 2 back and forths for some reason results in an hour you desperatately wish you could have back - lol... It's not that I went to x y z... I happen to be right - period wave interference is a real phenomenon in fluid mechanics and when you introduce a new wave to a system of dynamics ..it changes it intrinsically - it has nothing to do with me being arrogant or having gone to Brown... I am actually humble and agreeable much of the time.. but I don't like to yield to fake news - hahaha... kidding a little 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I'm taking a shot every time I see an exclamation point today Just for you - !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Just for you - !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Jay is already passed out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jay is already passed out Last night I was on the verge of passing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like Fisher...he is very responsive in Twitter. Yes he is. It would be great if the forum invited some mets for a question and answer. Some may be open to it. I'd love to have Mark Rosenthal participate in one of the Q/A 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jay is already passed out Need to establish a GoFundMe for his impending liver transplant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: Yes he is. It would be great if the forum invited some mets for a question and answer. Some may be open to it. I'd love to have Mark Rosenthal participate in one of the Q/A I was a big Rosenthal fan when he was on WCVB...he is still on the radio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's all good, I mean I bust balls with the best of them, but he's made his point. Maybe I overdid it, but I'll decide that on Wednesday. I am busting your balls, no doubt...but ngl, for a first call with so much time and data ahead, was at least a little . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: I am busting your balls, no doubt...but ngl, for a first call with so much time and data ahead, was at least a little . Yea, that is fair enough. I am not averse to being aggressive early, but in this particular instance, that may have been I'll advised due to the SW attenuation and occlusion. It's not a Final Call, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was a big Rosenthal fan when he was on WCVB...he is still on the radio. Wait Wait WAIT: Rosenthal is still around!?!? He was my Absolute Favorite!! Thought he went out West? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 CT>RI>SE MA>CC and Islands - 12-18" isolated 18" + in intense banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was a big Rosenthal fan when he was on WCVB...he is still on the radio. Agree, one of the best! I think he may be on a radio station in NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 22 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I agree. Earlier today Eric Fisher was on 98.5 The Sports Hub...it would be great if the forum could attract additional mets. My go to site for chess is Chess.com. On chess.com there are many international masters and grandmasters. People on the site are very appreciative of the opportunity to interact with them. I really, really liked that "Queen's Gambit" on Netflix - well written .. I guess it was based upon an actual novel/period piece from the mid century last. The producers/directors did an uncannyingly superb job at shining on that era's decorum thru cinema - you could almost smell the carpeting and old ashtray odors in the gaudy art-deco 1960s lobby's - ya know? And the costuming and acting was sooo on point for like 1966 hubris mixed with that fake politeness from that era of America - And the chess was fun!!! My close friend and I used to hang out on Game Colony . com back in the day... Jesus that's like 18 years ago now - my god. But we were still young-ish then and would play speed chess through beer goggles until 2 .. 3 am sometimes... We always played our best game right at 3 beers... Her thing in the show was tranq's. Something about passing through that phase of inebriation ... it dulled distracting clutter from the mind, but was just before the synapses gapped too largely hahaha... Man ... we got to 2,800 hundred once with my guy, "TakeMyPoints" - it was a great way to ensure games. You'd open a room and wait ... and some 1800 Kasporavian wannabe cloaking narcissist would happen by and take the bate every time. Zomb! We ended up taking his/her points most of the time... One time ( at band camp!) the person was threatening to go to the site admins because we falsely named our selves - man, ...the idiocy you get on those sites ... beautiful - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM coming in... a bit early to call, but looks like it may come in south of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I would like to see that trailing shortwave to either slow down or speed up, either way, shows us your next move! That way the trough will focus more on the lead shortwave, either the trailer phases in with the lead, or it leaves it alone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Agree, one of the best! I think he may be on a radio station in NH He does the Cape weather! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said: NAM coming in... a bit early to call, but looks like it may come in south of 12z I am seeing a more amplified H5 trough, it closes off over ILL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CT>RI>SE MA>CC and Islands - 12-18" isolated 18" + in intense banding Best case scenario I see is someone near the canal approaching a foot..i.e. me. I'd hope for 4-8" down on the lower Cape but wouldn't expect much more at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CT>RI>SE MA>CC and Islands - 12-18" isolated 18" + in intense banding @Dr. Dews..18"+ on the cape...go get him! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Southern s/w dragging it's feet, less interaction with main ULL over IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM looks less amped than 12z which should not be a surprise given its northern outlier status. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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