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Active mid December with multiple event potential


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  On 12/14/2020 at 6:17 PM, dryslot said:

If some are still thinking 18"+ i think that was never realistic with the speed and the weaker system being portrayed, Listening to some you would have thought this whiffed the SNE.

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its a quick hitting period of lift that favors pike S on Euro . Lift is still maxed over SE PA . My guess would be realistically 8-10 for that S of pike crowd  with maybe 12" SW ct

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  On 12/14/2020 at 6:19 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

its a quick hitting period of lift that favors pike S on Euro . Lift is still maxed over SE PA . My guess would be realistically 8-10 for that S of pike crowd  with maybe 12" SW ct

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Pa is in line for those higher totals indeed as they look to be in the right spot to maximize qpf, 12" for SNE is nothing to sneeze at, Maybe somebody sees a few more.

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  On 12/14/2020 at 6:20 PM, IowaStorm05 said:

Well, I suppose I’m in the best spot possible then?

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Most of CT has been very good in every run..except the GFS.  

 

  On 12/14/2020 at 6:21 PM, Go Kart Mozart said:

Yeah, lots of doom & gloom...then we see the map!

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Ya that map is excellent for most of CT.

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  On 12/14/2020 at 6:22 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Boned is a relative term.  If you're wanting the higher end totals, I'd say that likelihood is setting sail.  If 6" plus is acceptable, I think you're in that realm.

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Maybe...just several events in a row of some of the lowest totals around. Tiresome.

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  On 12/14/2020 at 6:23 PM, WinterWolf said:

Most of CT has been very good in every run..except the GFS.  

 

Ya that map is excellent for most of CT.

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Yeah. The GFS looks suspicious as it has been so consistent Lately... and I’ve read what people are saying about it... but at +- 60 hours out with 2020 tech you would think Euro would have caught on more aggressively by now. 
 

I feel like the worst case scenario would be a tick north with GFS.

 

I’m not the best person to talk to about it but I can’t think of any recent events that would show up like the euro just did and bust out with 3 inch pixie in an area indicating a 15-18 inch hit within this time frame

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