radarman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:11 PM, PowderBeard said: Night 1 was a WSW and we grabbed ~8", second night 3-4" forecasted and we got 16-18". Expand He may have done better in part one up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I wouldn’t want this much slower to begin in central and eastern SNE, just means it’s going to town more SW If you look at the mid level max goodies they been from E Pa to NW NJ and somewhat SW CT for a day now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:11 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You don’t remember KU’s from a season ago? : Expand It wasn’t as impressive here as it was Pike region. About a foot in round one and 4-5” round two. Didn’t have another 5 inch storm last year until March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 12z NAM will be a little flatter which is no surpise given it was deforming Pittsburg NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:16 PM, CoastalWx said: 12z NAM will be a little flatter which is no surpise given it was deforming Pittsburg NH. Expand Yeah, good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:15 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: It wasn’t as impressive here as it was Pike region. About a foot in round one and 4-5” round two. Didn’t have another 5 inch storm last year until March! Expand It was great in my hood. 25" or so between the two parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:12 PM, JC-CT said: It does? Expand Looked like a deeper trough early but all that gets negated when it gets pass the miss river. If we didn’t have the block overhead...yikes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:15 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I wouldn’t want this much slower to begin in central and eastern SNE, just means it’s going to town more SW If you look at the mid level max goodies they been from E Pa to NW NJ and somewhat SW CT for a day now Expand Yea, didn't get the changes I suspected with that....which just confirms this won't be a truly high end event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:35 AM, Greg said: The Euro will be interesting. I have may doubts about the GFS beating the higher res and better physics of the other models. Hell, Even the GFS Para, Which isn't usually taken seriously, almost grazed Nantucket with the surface Low. So again, How can the GFS be like this at this juncture? I will definitely be impressed and disappointed if it somehow ends up being correct. Expand ? ...uh, no - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm trying out pivotal for a month - it has pretty nice UI, disappointing that it doesn't have the 6/18z Euro but the soundings are awesome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:15 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: It wasn’t as impressive here as it was Pike region. About a foot in round one and 4-5” round two. Didn’t have another 5 inch storm last year until March! Expand 16+ for me is like a top 10 type event ha. I remember those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looked like a deeper trough early but all that gets negated when it gets pass the miss river. If we didn’t have the block overhead...yikes. Expand It's unfortunate for sure . Could've been a monster from central PA up through NY and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:20 PM, Typhoon Tip said: ? ...uh, no - Expand The Canadians have the worst physics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:21 PM, powderfreak said: It's unfortunate for sure . Could've been a monster from central PA up through NY and NNE. Expand May end up with a similar amount for me....SWFE with 10" or so...as opposed to 10" from coastal as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcap77 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Splitting hairs but low position looks further NW through 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:26 PM, mcap77 said: Splitting hairs but low position looks further NW through 54. Expand Definitely a flatter trajectory than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 But like already said, the NAM was really far north to the point it dryslotted most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Big hit on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM is going to slay for SNE... probably better than prior runs because no dryslot issues 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:33 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM is going to slay for SNE... probably better than prior runs because no dryslot issues Expand Yeah by 63 it's not inland anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 12z nam Mid levels not as impressive over NE PA /NW NJ on this one , more uniform into SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Classic setup for previous runs. I think we’ll be satisfied with the 12z on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 it cut back on QPF but still looks good for a general 10"+ region wide.. definitely trended a bit more towards other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 ALB gets crushed on that run. Deform delight. Mid-levels would be like ALB-Dendrite-Dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Drysloting worries in CT its so far north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 PA into Albany and srn/ctrl VT and NH into PWM get some deform action. Bit more of a CCB into SNE. So by default it's fairly uniform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Feel a little bit of schadenfreude with this run missing the MA since many of them want the storm to trend southeast and steal my snow... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I’m even more interested in upcoming GFS and others. NAM not yet inside 48hr for SNE. Yet 12z NAM is more forgiving for coastal plain than its 06 predecessor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 still seems to have that axis of heavy snow further north and west than other models.. PA, CNY do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 2:21 PM, JC-CT said: I'm trying out pivotal for a month - it has pretty nice UI, disappointing that it doesn't have the 6/18z Euro but the soundings are awesome Expand I'm sure the subscription is worth the Euro soundings themselves. Wish weathermodels.com/WeatherBell subscriptions had those. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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