Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: 6z EPS still looks pretty good. Even maybe a hair stronger and a little slower to leave. Can see it in the MSLP fields vs 00z. All signs pointing to mayhem on Wednesday Night into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z EPS still looks pretty good. Even maybe a hair stronger and a little slower to leave. Can see it in the MSLP fields vs 00z. Did it trend north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Did it trend north? Well it threw more QPF into NNE, but ever so slightly trimmed the line where >1' QPF falls. It could be noise, but it could be the goal posts narrowing a bit. Overall those are small, but good trends for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Nam does get that finger of lift today into Boston metro for a decent period of precip from 10-2 or something close . It maybe something to watch in regard to slick spots ... it’s really into 128 as well . Maybe Modeled too far Nw but could surprise a couple folks today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 You guys helped me last times so I’ll ask where do you think I should head? I was thinking poconos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well it threw more QPF into NNE, but ever so slightly trimmed the line where >1' QPF falls. It could be noise, but it could be the goal posts narrowing a bit. Overall those are small, but good trends for now. It could trend North a little bit more and that would help a lot of us except for maybe James. In my view anything over 5”is a win up here. Gonna be a blast for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 The one thing that the models are beginning to come to a consensus on right now is that a longer duration system with an OES component prolonging the ending of the snow on the Cape with strong NE to NNE winds. The limiting factor to a good event is the 850mb temps which warm later on. However, this storm looks like a powerhouse even if the surface low does not behave accordingly. I will take the UKMET 00z run this morning, even though its resolution is too coarse for the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: You guys helped me last times so I’ll ask where do you think I should head? I was thinking poconos Sounds right. An Airbnb cabin in a spot that does well in nor’easters . And with a good hiking trail and cute town nearby. Hell you could even go to New Hope or Lambertville and be able to walk around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Sleet snow mix just started . 32.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Considering our storm today was more amplified than the models showed 24 hours out, I would lean towards the UKMET, EURO, CMC and ensembles then the GFS and NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 44 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: sleet with the occasional flurry mixed in right now...33.3°/30° 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sleet snow mix just started . 32.2 Made an obs/disco thread for todays event so we don't clog this one up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6Z weenie form earlier, looks better north of pike: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: 6Z weenie form earlier, looks better north of pike: That’s gotten shittier up here, now I see why Brian is closing shades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Did it trend north? It was better and a couple tics north for those on the northern edge, Here's 00z and 06z 00z 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 We IBM... Grasping at anything north of the Mass border. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It was better and a couple tics north for those on the northern edge, Here's 00z and 06z 00z 06z Eps better than op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, backedgeapproaching said: We IBM... Grasping at anything north of the Mass border. lol who puts any stock into the IBM, this aint 1999. My Gateway says 24-36 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: That’s gotten shittier up here, now I see why Brian is closing shades Verbatim, it is still slightly better where you are than 00z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinmass Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 My 8 year old son just asked me “when will the mid level goodies work their way in?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: We IBM... Grasping at anything north of the Mass border. 6z Steffi? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol who puts any stock into the IBM, this aint 1999. My Gateway says 24-36 Just give me a minute to grab the Netscape 72hr... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, backedgeapproaching said: Just give me a minute to grab the Netscape 72hr... Search for the NGM and AVN on Altavista 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Eps better than op That was the best run of the EPS up here so far, South of here its not going to change much inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: Search for the NGM and AVN on Altavista It was AOL on dial up all the way. You’ve got mail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: That was the best run of the EPS up here so far, South of here its not going to change much inland. There are several NAM looking members in there. It’s a very long shot but not completely dead north of the Mass border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: It was AOL on dial up all the way. You’ve got mail. I still use there email service, I guess its better then gmail this morning ha ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Search for the NGM and AVN on Altavista Those models suck, I prefer the ETA and the NOGAPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 everything looks good for folks south of the NH/MA border, no question that S.Pike crew will do well, 12"+ is a lock The question is north, currently feel 8-10" for this area, with the due east movement and maybe some dry air to overcome at the onset that sounds reasonable. Hopefully we get a couple of bumps north next 36hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: That was the best run of the EPS up here so far, South of here its not going to change much inland. Have we ever seen the NAM and GFS this far apart ? LOL I think the MRF and ETA would be doing a better job in 1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm thinking 5-8" in my hood, 6-9" a bit to my east... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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