kdxken Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 41 minutes ago, Greg said: Seems to be about 9-10 Hours straight verbatim. So no 72-hour with snows through Friday ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: We were trashing it a couple of days ago, lol. The CMC global is as terrible as the GFS at times. But the RGEM and the RDPS are much better, especially on winter stuff here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 RGM Out to 84 Hours looks good. Let's see if the GFS budges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: RJ Heim was silly for posting that graphic on the web site. It was all over Facebook last night and this morning. Yeah. Is that a joke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Yeah stronger, Better looking trough, Higher heights too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, kdxken said: So no 72-hour with snows through Friday ? No, but I was strictly looking at the duration of the storm for Southwest CT when I stated that. I stated a little earlier that nobody should go over 15 hours straight snow unless the ocean effect snow linger a tad longer in duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Definitely looks more amplified into the southern Plains. Can it hold it together though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 37 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. Disappointed in you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Looks worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks the similar to me. Different plotting scheme... Pivotal defined their bins from -60 to +120 w/increments of 1 (approximating here) so 180 different bins in total. StormVista defined their bins from -40 to +120 w/increments of 5 (32 total bins). Since Pivotal plots their images with more bins, it appears finer than StormVista's plots. Assuming that both brands are plotting the same model without interpolating, there should be no difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Actually the H5 shortwave and long wave trough look a lot healthier through 61 hours on the 00z GFS. In fact the southern energy that rounds the base of the long wave trough is more neutral tilted almost leaning negative as the main shortwave leans negative. Overall there is more pure balance to the long wave trough. Better organization leads to a better storm overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: Looks worse? I think it might but I’m not out that far with my free maps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Disappointed in you Technology isn't black and white. Typing this on a new Apple MacBook Air which is incredible. I have Windows and Linux laptops within arms length. People like what they like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GFS looks like crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Definitely looks more amplified into the southern Plains. Can it hold it together though. Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 The whole world has gone mad… It’s like even some government and officials and scientists seem to bias when not swept away by the e-psychotropic culture. They’re taking these just climate disproportionate absurd numbers and running to the hysteria bank with ‘em. I mean you’re not gonna get 20 to 23 inches of snow spread out over that vast of a pan dimensional area from a middling mechanics storm I’m sorry you might get an excessive total close to 18 out of a couple of meso nugget thunder snows in there I don’t know but you’re not getting the entire interior of Massachusetts under a glacier like that from this… … Unless it like slows down stalls and gets a little bit deeper and cranks in CCB for an additional 6 to 9 hours. Again 18 inches in a narrow isolated band maybe that’s the most likely solution not throwing up plausibilities for ratings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 gfs not budging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Does the GFS Hold Serve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 We have seen models do this cat and mouse dance numerous times before in the big storms. For the 3-4 day window where the storm might be tracking too far southeast for any meaning full impacts, the models would have a tendency to first under sell the intensity of the energy moving onshore the western CONUS and also losing the organization of the trough as it heads stateside across the plains. However, within 48 hours, the trend would be for a better sampling, and a better consolidated piece of energy. If I am not mistaken once such occurrence was the FEB 2016 SNOWICANE that missed by 100 miles, but the H5 and H7 circulations were large enough, it brought almost a foot of snow to the SE New England areas, especially BOS SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 From my eyes, GFS looks even more SE at hour 78/84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: GFS looks like crap. That’s disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just flipping New England the bird. Further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nope. Wild. It was a deeper trough and had more ridging ahead of it, and it just strung it all out in the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Lol so bizarre. It was definitely more amped through like 48 or 54h. I thought for sure it was coming north this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: Wild. It was a deeper trough and had more ridging ahead of it, and it just strung it all out in the end. Is getting strung out like that plausible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Lol so bizarre. I was definitely more amped through like 48 or 54h. I thought for sure it was coming north this run. Maybe it’s grudgingly getting there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I’m almost as excited about the model war brewing as I am the storm...lol. #NovaScotiaStrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GFS Seems to want to stand alone and fight the others! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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