PWMan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:22 PM, Bostonseminole said: yeah, tonight's runs and tomorrow's 12z we can tighten the goalpoasts Expand Probably a double doink for NNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Honestly, that airmass over SNE as the storm arrives is no joke. This is the type of setup that will produce a massive ocean enhanced assist for the South Shore and Cape and Islands. Someone could see much higher amounts than the average county in SNE. I do not think the high that strong and that close to NNE will allow the warmer air to win out. Even the 12z EURO just now shows a massive area of -10C or lower air just over Cape Cod Bay and BOS. That will not allow the boundary layer to warm. Honestly, the models are all over the place with the thermals for tomorrow's snow event, and that is likely given the lack of cold air present ahead of time, but the WED/THU event has the cold air entrenched into the region. Someone in the favorable OES belt on NE winds, could see 24" by Friday morning! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Run sucks here. Hope 00z tonight is better. Expand IF it's not pike south it sure looks Rte 2 south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Yeah Thursday morning may well have people saying wait-isn’t this supposed to miss us south? I believe monads dwelling folks are in that category 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:25 PM, DomNH said: Gross. I’ll take cirrus over a nuisance advisory event. Expand I’ll take a coating. Green grass in NNE a week before Christmas blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Huge hit NH border south Expand That's not a huge hit. Huge is when the min is a double digit. Example: 10"+. Under is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:27 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Expand 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:22 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Great run for CT. Covering the full period. Expand Very Sim to 00z awt 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Hopefully the trend is real, let's punt this south 1 2 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Cautiously optimistic SSNE gets a bit of redemption here. Let's go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Run sucks here. Hope 00z tonight is better. Expand You were pretty close to huge northern weenie band...might have been more like pike region to Rt 2 that run. Negligible at this time range. You’re gonna go insane micro-analyzing each run at 96 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:29 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Expand That might be the best video ever, lol. Here's...the demon...were gonna whacked...EVEN STRONGER. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 If the eps holds I'm going to be really confident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:27 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Honestly, that airmass over SNE as the storm arrives is no joke. This is the type of setup that will produce a massive ocean enhanced assist for the South Shore and Cape and Islands. Someone could see much higher amounts than the average county in SNE. I do not think the high that strong and that close to NNE will allow the warmer air to win out. Even the 12z EURO just now shows a massive area of -10C or lower air just over Cape Cod Bay and BOS. That will not allow the boundary layer to warm. Honestly, the models are all over the place with the thermals for tomorrow's snow event, and that is likely given the lack of cold air present ahead of time, but the WED/THU event has the cold air entrenched into the region. Someone in the favorable OES belt on NE winds, could see 24" by Friday morning! Expand I promise you will not hit 24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:31 PM, Greg said: I promise you will not hit 24". Expand If the OES gets going there is no telling! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:21 PM, PWMan said: This one’s going to be painful. Can at least get some more raking in. Expand Plenty of time left for winter, If there was no blocking this would end up in the UP of MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:31 PM, Greg said: I promise you will not hit 24". Expand Not me, coastal South Shore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:28 PM, Greg said: That's not a huge hit. Huge is when the min is a double digit. Example: 10"+. Under is not. Expand You don’t look at snow maps. The whole setup screams snows well into NNE. Look deeper. Past snowmaps 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:19 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Losing our wiggle room in SNE pretty quickly. I’d say that’s a nod to the gfs Expand How the hell is TAN losing it's wiggle room on that run? lol. You're like smack in the middle of the EURO snow prog. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:31 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: If the OES gets going there is no telling! Expand Sure and Kate Upton will help you shovel the 24'' 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:29 PM, Dr. Dews said: Hopefully the trend is real, let's punt this south Expand why do you even post during the winter? just post during summer months. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I still think it will end up edging north, but going to need to sweat it out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:34 PM, Bostonseminole said: why do you even post during the winter? just post during summer months. Expand Just ignore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:22 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Great run for CT. Covering the full period. Expand This doesn't look right. Take a closer look at the quantity of liquid for Lowell, MA. Now look at the Snowfall. Generally 0.7" DOES NOT = 7.0" of snow with that old airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:34 PM, Bostonseminole said: why do you even post during the winter? just post during summer months. Expand You already know the answer............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still think it will end up edging north, but going to need to sweat it out. Expand gotta earn our foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:33 PM, powderfreak said: How the hell is TAN losing it's wiggle room on that run? lol. You're like smack in the middle of the EURO snow prog. Expand He’s just being a massive weenie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: He’s just being a massive weenie. Expand Pretty sharp cutoff... sinks another 75-100 south and it’s an inch or two of arctic sand 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 6:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: He’s just being a massive weenie. Expand He is using negativity bias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Great run for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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