40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Agree. The big solutions are a mirage for now. 12-18" is big in my book. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I think he meant 30" lol.. 12-18" is big.. man.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12-18" is big in my book. It depends how big or small ones hands are. Big to me, is 20-30”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are a lot of tuckies: As you’d expect, the stronger the low the stronger the tuck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I kid obviously. I should have said the ‘massive gigantic biblical’ amounts are a mirage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 This thing is moving fast. I think 12" south of the pike until you get really close to the south coast of MA and RI seems more reasonable regardless of snowfall map output. To get more you're gonna need really high ratios. Maybe that happens, but I wouldn't expect to see accurate modeling of those kinds of ratios this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 No way this is tucked inside with the big high to the north. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are a lot of tuckies: Seems odd. From previous frame it seems that the tucks go due North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It depends how big or small ones hands are. Big to me, is 20-30”. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: No way this is tucked inside with the big high to the north. SURFACE HIGH MEANS ZERO FOR TRACK OF MID LEVELS. Read a book while in cruiser 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No way this is tucked inside with the big high to the north. It certainly could be... but it’s going to get punted East at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 18 minutes ago, JoshSnow said: Okay but the storm says 24+ does it not? That was never my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Slower leading to more tucks: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The haves and the have nots on the Cape from that GFS run. On the Pivotal clown map the mid Cape gets 5", while 15 miles to the west they get 34", lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are a lot of tuckies: Can live with the tuck as long as it starts going East by the time it reaches south Jersey. Any farther north and it starts becoming a problem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The past several cycles, gfs/ec are noticably deeper and slightly less progressive with the 50/50 low, correspondingly the ec system has trended sw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 48 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Widespread 30"....probably not. But widespread over 1'? Absolutely. At this point not worth mentioning anything far over a foot yet. I want to see more consensus before we throw out over a foot with the progressive nature of m the storm. But I entirely agree we could be over a foot. Let's get more big time runs first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Ask yourself the question: What’s the biggest December event in all recorded records? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 15 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Connecticut is a two hour drive from Philly. You don't have to go all the way to northern New England to get in on the action. Yeah I know i was being sarcastic, and I’m in like 3 hour sleep. Will be interesting where the Max snowfall radius on the models moves. Curious if Boston does better than places like NE Pa when all is said and done. Lots of those tucked members are worrisome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Can live with the tuck as long as it starts going East by the time it reaches south Jersey. Any farther north and it starts becoming a problem. We might play with fire but I’m ok with it. I sent out my initial SWC email today to my family and friends saying 8-12” from Merritt on north, as a preliminary heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Ask yourself the question: What’s the biggest December event in all recorded records? The birth of Christ? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Jk that was probably July or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Yeah I know i was being sarcastic, and I’m in like 3 hour sleep. Will be interesting where the Max snowfall radius on the models moves. Curious if Boston does better than places like NE Pa when all is said and done. Lots of those tucked members are worrisome Yea. You may not have to drive far. Interior EPA looks good atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: The birth of Christ? The birth of Jerry 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 31 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: 12-18 is a big solution for folks who haven't seen 6" since March 2019. I'll take plowable and blinking snow emergency lights Somebody's driven through Somerville in a blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We might play with fire but I’m ok with it. I sent out my initial SWC email today to my family and friends saying 8-12” from Merritt on north, as a preliminary heads up. I said 6+ , hoping that’s on the conservative side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The birth of Jerry Garcia? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, dendrite said: The future. https://vlab.ncep.noaa.gov/web/environmental-modeling-center/unified-forecast-system Code for ‘... ignore the piece of shitness in lieu of our dazzling parameterization’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Slower leading to more tucks: There was more spread at 18z than at 12z - more members to the east and south of the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: I guess I'm wondering if 3" qpf in 12 hours is realistic Maybe not, but how fooking epic would that be if it actually went down that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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