40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 5:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol. That’s not what I was implying but you have a tendency to not believe early transfers or early occlusions. In a non blocked flow, I’m in your camp all day. In this setup, however, occluding off the NJ coast and crushing the interior mid atl is plausible...in addition to still giving EMA a great event. That’s all. Not sure what Dec or winter forecasting has anything to do with this, though, but yes we know your pre season calls are doing very well so far. I’ll have Santa sit on your lap in his long john’s on Christmas morning so you can read him your winter outlook in praise... Expand You understand that what I am implying brings the heaviest snows to your area and not mine, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:39 PM, weathafella said: Who’s Jonas? Expand Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 On 12/12/2020 at 6:42 PM, It's Always Sunny said: I love how the interpretation of "Jonas" is really showing everyone's age here lol. Expand My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:39 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Bad Jonas Brothers concert experience? Expand Purity rings for everyone! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:46 PM, crossbowftw3 said: Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year. Expand I always preferred for winter storms to be named after their dates. I never was a fan of calling a snowstorm "Nemo" or "Jonas". I guess that makes me old fashioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:48 PM, Hoth said: Purity rings for everyone! Expand I sadly know what that is thanks to my sister's obsession with them. I think I may leave now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:36 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nobody is panicking. D5 geez. Big signal is there. Expand Last minute latent heat release always brings these bad boys a little farther north. I'm fine where we're sitting right now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:48 PM, Hoth said: Purity rings for everyone! Expand 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:46 PM, crossbowftw3 said: Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year. Expand A young-in. I’m double your age. I don’t watch the TWC and have no clue what named storms are for dates/ years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:45 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro is still really good here Expand It's where we want it 4.5 days out. Some wiggle room built in. Some variation of Feb 06 is still on the table too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:45 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro is still really good here Expand For sure you're in a good spot either way it seems. Just hope that ECMWF doesn't keep trending south then you'll be smokin' cirrus like the rest of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:50 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: A young-in. I’m double your age. I don’t watch the TWC and have no clue what named storms are for dates/ years. Expand I think I remember Juno? Or Nemo? But that's about the extent for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:52 PM, SouthCoastMA said: I think I remember Juno? Or Nemo? But that's about the extent for me Expand Juno is a movie and Nemo is a character in a movie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:45 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You understand that what I am implying brings the heaviest snows to your area and not mine, correct? Expand Yes but I still think ‘heaviest’ is SW of me, interior mid atl, but at d5 its fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:50 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: A young-in. I’m double your age. I don’t watch the TWC and have no clue what named storms are for dates/ years. Expand I turned my back on them a while ago (a few years by this point.) The "covidcane" stunt was pretty preposterous; but by then I had forums like this that are a good deal better at conveying the information behind the storms than TWC ever could dream to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:31 PM, ORH_wxman said: When I saw this map at 96h, I was thinking it could be really zonked. Expand 20”+ in Mid-Atlantic is a healthy storm for sure. Phin heads down to MD and gets a bigger event than Randolph last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:49 PM, Hoth said: Last minute latent heat release always brings these bad boys a little farther north. I'm fine where we're sitting right now. Expand That and just look at the trough orientation to our west. This is pretty deep and going negative more than any of our whiffs. It’s certainly possible but I’d bet more on a N bump than a S one on that look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:54 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes but I still think ‘heaviest’ is SW of me, interior mid atl, but at d5 its fwiw. Expand We'll see. Either way, I am not trying to imply this turns into Jan 2015...nothing that extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 This will have heavy snows way into NNE. These always do. This is an old fashioned north trend storm . Textbook 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS at 120-126. That’s a better look than the OP 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:01 PM, ORH_wxman said: That and just look at the trough orientation to our west. This is pretty deep and going negative more than any of our whiffs. It’s certainly possible but I’d bet more on a N bump than a S one on that look. Expand I totally agree to. There's a lot to back it up with the storm going back towatds the north Trend again. It's not like the high pressure is a super cold Arctic high pressure. Then I would say we have an issue with suppression. I believe with Juno, there was a much colder high pressure that suppressed the storm South. Can anybody confirm that, but I think I'm correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS looks much more similar to 0Z/6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS laughs at op. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:27 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I always watch for that with a big blocking signal Expand It’s not like suppression hasn’t been on the table the whole time with this type of set up. I’ve been worrying this out to sea for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We'll see. Either way, I am not trying to imply this turns into Jan 2015...nothing that extreme. Expand Understood bro. Didn’t think you were. We’ll see, plenty of runs to continue the debate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:06 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s not like suppression hasn’t been on the table the whole time with this type of set up. I’ve been worrying this out to sea for days. Expand I don't know if you even want to joke about taking credit for an OTS solution lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 We stay the course. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS implies 12+ DC-BOS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Don’t show Jimmy the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:06 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s not like suppression hasn’t been on the table the whole time with this type of set up. I’ve been worrying this out to sea for days. Expand Need to drop some nukes on that block, so it implodes and let’s this storm take its rightful course to CAR, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Juno was January 2015, in which I predicted that Cape Cod would stay all snow, and they did, I measured 32" in my front yard, the West Harwich spotter reported 30.5" total. NEMO was more of a mix with heavy rain and we had good backend snows with 17" total. NEMO was a CT special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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