JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’m glad you “weenied” yourself there...good move lol. Of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Hardcore porn in CT. Looking good for a watching event here and region wide but trying to keep expectations in check as we are still 4.5 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Hardcore porn in CT. Looking good for a watching event here and region wide but trying to keep expectations in check as we are still 4.5 days out. Agreed. Agreement across modeling is impressive for the lead time. We haven’t seen that in a very long time. Is that due to some of the key features like an impressive High, 50/50, and some negative NAO being in place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Good lord We feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 GEFS mean still a little south. Wonder if the op was one of the zonked members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I'm going to bump this several times over the next 5 days, be prepared On 12/4/2020 at 7:53 AM, JC-CT said: I'm watching this period for an end of days solution 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'm going to bump this several times over the next 5 days, be prepared Well it certainly looks like there’s gonna be something! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Monday looks meh to me but maybe we can pull off a couple inches. One of those deals where my area does well maxing qpf with colder temps. BOX not enthused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Monday looks meh to me but maybe we can pull off a couple inches. One of those deals where my area does well maxing qpf with colder temps. BOX not enthused. The nrn edges of those bands sometimes produce. 6z euro back SE again, but maybe keep an eye for it to look a little festive in spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 One of our friends at gym thinks north trend anchored to our N...current deterministic runs just brush the forecast area with stronger forcing and resulting QPF. Given the antecedent air mass in place...this is looking like an all snow scenario. Much like yesterday the ensemble system all have significant spread...and this spread is mainly on the Nrn side of the storm track. With the offending S/WV trof still over the Pacific Ocean...and more robust sampling of the upper features not expected until Sun at the earliest...I expect run to run shifts in track to continue. Based on the spread pattern...I do expect some of these shifts to be farther NW and bring more QPF to the local area. I have once again opted for a 10 to as high as 20 percent increase over NBM PoP in Srn zones with the anticipation of poleward shifts with time. It would not take too much movement to bring the strongest forcing into extreme Srn zones...so this will be one to watch over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Good AM 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Good AM With the right model runs it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: Control If that played out, I might pull a white Christmas even with a Grinch storm. Woof. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Pure nudity on the 6z gfs down here.... my lord 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Down here in Philly this is looking more typical. A lot of these big ones we max out around 8-10” and then mix/dry slot. I really don’t want to chase, but once we get closer I might have to if some of these crazy totals continue being shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Jesus. That's all I have to say with that 00Z suite. When's the last time we tracked a widespread warning event and possible ku in all of southern New England in Dec. Believe it was 10 years 12/26/10 and the year before that 12/19/09. Yeah, this has a 12/19/09 vibe, but pulled northwest a bit. Fingers crossed! Would be nice to shake off the last few seasons in style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pure nudity on the 6z gfs down here.... my lord Downhill from there 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Need this thing to start ticking north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Monday looks like a solid 1-3 spot 4” event from about i-90 south and east A kudos, you've been on that for several days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: Hardcore porn in CT. Looking good for a watching event here and region wide but trying to keep expectations in check as we are still 4.5 days out. 4.5 days is an eternity. I'm gonna have an ulcer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Need this thing to start ticking north Nope. Our turn. I speak for myself, Runnaway, Wolfie, Spanks, Easton+, 4 Seasons, Wiz...sorry if I left anyone out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Need this thing to start ticking north northern ticks starting now and we'll be saying congrats Phin at go-time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: A kudos, you've been on that for several days now. Those types of waves the day after a mild day tend to produce due to baroclinic zone near the coast as the fronts don’t push that far offshore with the mild air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Downhill from there Is there any chance this adjusts more northwest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks like a lot of big hits up here based on the eps individual modeled snow depths at 144hr. We wait and let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Nope. Our turn. I speak for myself, Runnaway, Wolfie, Spanks, Easton+, 4 Seasons, Wiz...sorry if I left anyone out. He sometimes thinks he lives in Pittsburg, NH. He’s in double digits on most guidance and near jackpot in midlevels on a couple runs. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Nope. Our turn. I speak for myself, Runnaway, Wolfie, Spanks, Easton+, 4 Seasons, Wiz...sorry if I left anyone out. Hoth is hurt. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like a lot of big hits up here based on the eps individual modeled snow depths at 144hr. We wait and let it play out. Plenty of changes from now to then, but at present my old NNJ haunts get 18" while we get a dusting here and the snow-loving grandkids (who only saw white ground last winter when they visited us for Thanksgiving) get a couple inches of slop and RA+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 31 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pure nudity on the 6z gfs down here.... my lord Us SNE’s might finally get the big one we’ve been waiting for! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 06z EPS 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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