HVSnowLover Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: There is no way Albany is getting 2 ft. Just not going to happen. Agree if anything the catskills will get the banding and they will get 2 plus feet. Albany will not get 2 feet from this storm and NYC will get at least 6 inches, I am pretty confident on both those statements. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, lee59 said: I wouldn't really call it a bust because the high snow totals were some 4-5 days out. If you get your hopes to high that far out, you will bust a lot. Even now there is still so much time to do most anything. We still have a good storm to track and the uncertainty is what makes it so interesting. Given the -NAO and high in place it would be a fairly significant bust if this ended up primarily rain near the coast or the average snow total amongst EWR/NYC/JFK/LGA was not at least 5-7 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 38 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Wrecked up here This looks like a fake weenie map someone in a basement in Albany would make! Lol. The two foot lollipop is right exactly on top of the capital district.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, White Gorilla said: This looks like a fake weenie map someone in a basement in Albany would make! Lol. The two foot lollipop is right exactly on top of the capital district.... It's like if metsfan lived in Albany 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: It's like if metsfan lived in Albany I dream about living in the Adirondacks all the time 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: We go through this with every storm, models will flip around. I remember only about 48 hours from the “storm of the century” the euro had close to 30 inches IMBY, I got around 6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Given the -NAO and high in place it would be a fairly significant bust if this ended up primarily rain near the coast or the average snow total amongst EWR/NYC/JFK/LGA was not at least 5-7 inches. Well we have 3 days for it to trend a certain way. It won't be a bust if models show mostly rain by tonight's or tomorrow's runs. If it suddenly went bad 24 hours out or during the storm then I see that as a bust. And if things trend poorly then it is what it is, you can't get upset about the weather. The PNA is not good and the Atlantic blocking may not be enough to save us but we'll see I guess. Someone's gonna get a good storm, it just may not be the immediate NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 One thing is for sure. The Euro just caved on tomorrow's event to the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, David-LI said: I remember only about 48 hours from the “storm of the century” the euro had close to 30 inches IMBY, I got around 6 inches Blizzard warning turned into 10 inches Gfs was right while everyone bashed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Well we have 3 days for it to trend a certain way. It won't be a bust if models show mostly rain by tonight's or tomorrow's runs. If it suddenly went bad 24 hours out or during the storm then I see that as a bust. And if things trend poorly then it is what it is, you can't get upset about the weather. The PNA is not good and the Atlantic blocking may not be enough to save us but we'll see I guess. Someone's gonna get a good storm, it just may not be the immediate NYC metro. That's why its never a sure thing 4 or 5 days out no matter how much model agreement there is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 I'm liking the EURO through 72....about as perfect as a setup you can get for a monster in the metro area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 The Euro is way stronger with tomorrow, that’s going to help move the baroclinic zone further east, the 50/50 low and confluence look much stronger, storm is most likely going further east and south on this run..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Euro gets up to Cape May and starts pulling east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Step back off the ledge guys. Congrats on Euro, that block is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Euro also looks colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Stronger confluence and High Euro ticked southeast. Crush job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 EURO at hour 84. Rain/snow line appears to be slightly south of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 euro is a massive hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 CCB!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Sick run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 EURO is an absolute monster....about the best track we get get for the majority of the region to cash in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 18 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 12-18 with 18+ spots at 10-1 ratios across most of the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Tatamy said: Perfect for just about everybody. Lock it in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 The Euro is nice for the entire subforum but absolutely crushes our NW crew. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Please lock that run in weather Gods. Thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, JoshSnow said: How are the winds? Enough for blizzard conditions 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 keep an eye on the low placement...I noticed the low was offshore and then popped back to southern NJ...not sure of the implications in the run though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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