Major Nor'easter snow storm (possible top 20) Noon Wednesday-Noon Thursday Dec 16-17, 2020

[ILoveWinter]

Just now, White Gorilla said:

Up here, accums all depend on when it starts to shunt east.  NYC is golden no matter what. 

Yea agree that NYC is in a sweet spot as it will cash in on either the higher or lower suppressed tracks 

[Allsnow]

Just now, Rjay said:

While we have some down time, this was the Ukie last night. 

 

These maps will be out in 15-30 minutes. 

 

Definitely further north and weaker. But the high is in a better spot. 

[Rjay]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Definitely further north and weaker. But the high is in a better spot. 

Yea def looks further north.   We'll see soon. 

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Yea def looks further north.   We'll see soon. 

Either it has a more NE component or it takes the low to Trenton 

[forkyfork]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Either it has a more NE component or it takes the low to Trenton 

i've never seen a low run inland with CAD like this

[forkyfork]

these blocking highs have been a theme for this year

[Rjay]

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Either it has a more NE component or it takes the low to Trenton 

Lol.  It prob tucks into AC and then moves east with a slight northerly component.  We'll see soon.  

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i've never seen a low run inland with CAD like this

It's possible the inland solutions correct east as the storm starts forming and begins heading our way. 

[White Gorilla]

24 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i've never seen a low run inland with CAD like this

Yeah this is very unlikely 

[SnowGoose69]

8 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i've never seen a low run inland with CAD like this

Sometimes they can make a good run up then shift east hard.  It’s probably what’ll happen.  It just won’t get was far north and west as the RGEM and some ensembles show 

[Rjay]

[Rjay]

6 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Lol.  It prob tucks into AC and then moves east with a slight northerly component.  We'll see soon.  

Nailed it lol

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Nailed it lol

Weathergod

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Nailed it lol

 Nice call. That should swing the ccb through the metro 

[Rjay]

Oof

 

 

[wxman]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Oof

 

 

Looks pretty extreme.  Baltimore gets nothing?

[White Gorilla]

18 minutes ago, wxman said:

Looks pretty extreme.  Baltimore gets nothing?

As much as I love this solution for my backyard, I highly, highly doubt it 

[WeatherGod]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Weathergod

You called?

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Oof

 

 

Jeez but the Ukie has been flopping all over

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, wxman said:

Looks pretty extreme.  Baltimore gets nothing?

also there is no way Long Island wouldn't see several inches of snow on the front end in that setup .

[HeadInTheClouds]

1 minute ago, White Gorilla said:

As much as I love this solution for my backyard, I highly, highly doubt it 

Its the CMC/Euro/Ukie/Icon even Nam vs the outlier GFS. 

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Jeez but the Ukie has been flopping all over

It hasn't changed all that much

[Yanksfan]

This is 12z model madness at its finest. 3 model runs, 3 different solutions. Ok Euro what do you have to say?

[HVSnowLover]

1 minute ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

Its the CMC/Euro/Ukie/Icon even Nam vs the outlier GFS. 

Maybe for your area but CMC/Euro are not nearly as warm as this ukie run, based on snow maps looks like rain/snow line would make it to Brooklyn and Queens.

[nycsnow]

Better hope ukie is wrong 

[Tatamy]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It hasn't changed all that much

Albany went from 3.7" at 0z to 20.5" at 12z at 96 hours.  That does seem odd...

[Stormlover74]

Just now, NutleyBlizzard said:

This is 12z model madness at its finest. 3 model runs, 3 different solutions. Ok Euro what do you have to say?

Probably holds serve. Hopefully doesn't get any further north

[Ericjcrash]

Wrecked up here

[Yanksfan]

Just now, nycsnow said:

Better hope ukie is wrong 

Ukie is concerning to me cause the Euro tends to follow suit. I guess we’ll see in a bit.

[Rjay]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It hasn't changed all that much

Imby but it went from 18" to 0.2" for me in the last 2 runs lol.