Major Nor'easter snow storm (possible top 20) Noon Wednesday-Noon Thursday Dec 16-17, 2020

[JC-CT]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:15 PM, Rjay said:

There's a joke in there somewhere

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There probably is but it's too small to notice.

[MJO812]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:08 PM, weatherpruf said:

Man, when you give up you really give up. But when you give up it's usually a sign things aren't looking good, I'll give you that. Have you any hope left?

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Trend isn't out friend but we have to just let the huge storm go for our area and just accept a few inches then sleet or dry slot.

[Rjay]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:19 PM, snywx said:

Good call

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There's going to be a sick band somewhere between State College and Harrisburg northeastward to somewhere between @Juliancolton and Albany.  

[snywx]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:22 PM, Rjay said:

There's going to be a sick band somewhere between state college and Harrisburg northeast to somewhere between @Juliancolton and Albany.  

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The Catskills are gonna get smoked.. A 30 spot will pop up somewhere near hunter 

[patrick05]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:03 PM, Rjay said:

3-7"  enjoy 

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For our neck of the woods??

At this point, I'm just gonna bank on that front-end.. maybe the dry slot will save us from eating into that 2-4" snowpack from the start lol

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:07 PM, JoshSnow said:

Cmc

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Is this one of those Rorschach tests?

I see MJO812 weeping

[Rjay]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:23 PM, patrick05 said:

For our neck of the woods??

At this point, I'm just gonna bank on that front-end.. maybe the dry slot will save us from eating into that 2-4" snowpack from the start lol

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Leaning towards the 3" amount for us right now

[Brian5671]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:22 PM, Rjay said:

There's going to be a sick band somewhere between State College and Harrisburg northeastward to somewhere between @Juliancolton and Albany.  

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Ski resorts rejoice-many will be able to open most trails at once.

[Rjay]

The curse of Doorman is upon us

[dave0176]

Was going to pull the snow blower out tonight because I haven’t had to start it in three years and I know the carb is probably gummed up, but at this point my 3-6” prediction might not even happen. I’m not gonna bother pulling it out. 

[MJO812]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:23 PM, patrick05 said:

For our neck of the woods??

At this point, I'm just gonna bank on that front-end.. maybe the dry slot will save us from eating into that 2-4" snowpack from the start lol

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  On 12/15/2020 at 4:25 PM, Rjay said:

Leaning towards the 3" amount for us right now

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We have to hope it comes in earlier than modeled

[lee59]

Latest GFS showing a foot for the metro area?

[MJO812]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:27 PM, Rjay said:

The curse of Doorman is upon us

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Its the curse of Upton

This happens everytime they put out huge numbers.

[weatherbear5]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:27 PM, Rjay said:

The curse of Doorman is upon us

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He’ll be right for the wrong reasons, but yes. It’s a curse

[Dark Star]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:27 PM, dave0176 said:

Was going to pull the snow blower out tonight because I haven’t had to start it in three years and I know the carb is probably gummed up, but at this point my 3-6” prediction might not even happen. I’m not gonna bother pulling it out. 

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I pulled mine out, but didn't use it.  Story of my life...

[DHS@ABE]

The 12Z GFS MOS has above freezing surface temperatures at JFK for the entire event. 

[kat5hurricane]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:21 PM, MJO812 said:

 just accept a few inches 

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There's a joke in there somewhere. @Rjay???

[Rjay]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:32 PM, kat5hurricane said:

There's a joke in there somewhere. @Rjay???

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The last 2 pages have been gold

[kat5hurricane]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:33 PM, Rjay said:

The last 2 pages have been gold

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Perhaps enough laughs to take the weenies off the ledge of the bridge.... until the Ukie brings them right back.

[EastonSN+]

All these teases on on the NYC folks, but again the NW trend has not stopped. Looks like mix to Boston already on Canadian sweet. Are we next to fall? Will this be congrats Albany to Maine? Over 24 hours of more north trending possible.

Coming closer and closer to 2017 track.

[USCG RS]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:27 PM, Rjay said:

The curse of Doorman is upon us

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[lee59]

Regardless of the mixing potential at the coast, I think the front end snows still look to bring at least 6 plus inches of snow to most of Long Island.

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:33 PM, Rjay said:

The last 2 pages have been gold

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This whole thread is gold.

Sending you good mojo from SNE. Id much rather see you guys get pounded than my NNE counterparts. You deserve it after the last 2 years.

[Brian5671]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:41 PM, EastonSN+ said:

All these teases on on the NYC folks, but again the NW trend has not stopped. Looks like mix to Boston already on Canadian sweet. Are we next to fall? Will this be congrats Albany to Maine? Over 24 hours of more north trending possible.

Coming closer and closer to 2017 track.

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yeah-we did ok in that storm but it was less than expected due to the sleet/ZR.    I'll take a redux of that storm though!     

[NJwx85]

My preliminary forecast:

Scranton - 18-24"

Allentown - 18-24"

Morristown - 14-20"

Trenton - 3-6"

Philadelphia - 2-4"

Newburgh - 14-20"

Nyack - 12-18"

Islip - 10-14"

Central Park - 6-10"

LGA - 4-8"

JFK - 4-8"

Riverhead - C-2"

Newark - 6-10"

[jm1220]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:43 PM, NJwx85 said:

My preliminary forecast:

Scranton - 18-24"

Allentown - 18-24"

Morristown - 14-20"

Trenton - 3-6"

Philadelphia - 2-4"

Newburgh - 14-20"

Nyack - 12-18"

Islip - 10-14"

Central Park - 6-10"

LGA - 4-8"

JFK - 4-8"

Riverhead - C-2"

Newark - 6-10"

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Hope you're right. More bullish than me for the NYC area at least. I don't see Riverhead under 2", Islip with 10-14" and Central Park at 6-10". 

[EastonSN+]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:43 PM, Brian5671 said:

yeah-we did ok in that storm but it was less than expected due to the sleet/ZR.    I'll take a redux of that storm though!     

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Yeah 9.5 of sleet snow mix. Glacier with staying power.

[mikem81]

UKIE well west as well/ THis is over for CNJ/LI

[F5TornadoF5]

  On 12/15/2020 at 4:43 PM, NJwx85 said:

My preliminary forecast:

Scranton - 18-24"

Allentown - 18-24"

Morristown - 14-20"

Trenton - 3-6"

Philadelphia - 2-4"

Newburgh - 14-20"

Nyack - 12-18"

Islip - 10-14"

Central Park - 6-10"

LGA - 4-8"

JFK - 4-8"

Riverhead - C-2"

Newark - 6-10"

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Islip more than CP is an interesting call. Personally think they get around 3-6in and the city 4-8in.

[mikem81]