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Major Nor'easter snow storm (possible top 20) Noon Wednesday-Noon Thursday Dec 16-17, 2020

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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Rjay
Rjay
RCNYILWX
RCNYILWX

Lurker on this thread, originally from College Point Queens, been working at NWS Chicago since 2010. Jealous of this storm, as it's been exceptionally boring out here and big snowstorms like Superstor

jbenedet
jbenedet

I think you’re going to see a correction back southeast today as the arctic airmass that’s building into the region throughout the day begins to get ingested into the models.  The temp drops thro

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White Gorilla

White Gorilla

Posted
Posted
  On 12/14/2020 at 8:48 PM, HeadInTheClouds said:

I'll take the 26 inches it gives Poughkeepsie, lol, but I agree with you about that cutoff in SE PA. Funky run to say the least. 

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Way overdone for our area in Poughkeepsie even with ratios factored.  I think we get around 10.  Looks pretty but not going to verify as such up here. 

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Blizzard-on-GFS

Blizzard-on-GFS

Posted
Posted
  On 12/14/2020 at 8:50 PM, David-LI said:

Because it doesn't have a foot in your backyard throw the run out?

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No because it's an outlier.  I don't live in in SE Pa but there's no way that Northern Bucks County PA gets 5" while northern Ocean County NJ gets over a foot. Also it extends the heavy precip way further north than any other model. 

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HeadInTheClouds

HeadInTheClouds

Posted
Posted
  On 12/14/2020 at 8:49 PM, White Gorilla said:

Way overdone for our area in Poughkeepsie even with ratios factored.  I think we get around 10.  Looks pretty but not going to verify as such up here. 

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Agreed. I wouldn't argue with an 8-12 forecast for our area. nam gave us 26 and gfs will give us 2. Split the difference, lol. American models suck. 

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hudsonvalley21

hudsonvalley21

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-151000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 17
  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph, especially
  along the coast.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
  and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and
  Thursday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

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NJwx85

NJwx85

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-151000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 17
  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph, especially
  along the coast.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
  and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and
  Thursday morning commute.
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NYC10023

NYC10023

Posted
Posted
  On 12/14/2020 at 9:07 PM, Snowman86 said:

Im excited like a little kid for christmas!!!

 

Amen

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me too. 

I told my friends, I'm like an 8 year old with this stuff. I'm catching up on sleep now since I full intend to be out at Central Park for the duration. Luckily only 2 blocks away so I can come home, rejuvenate, then head back out 

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CPcantmeasuresnow

CPcantmeasuresnow

Posted
Posted
  On 12/14/2020 at 9:09 PM, ny10019 said:

me too. 

I told my friends, I'm like an 8 year old with this stuff. I'm catching up on sleep now since I full intend to be out at Central Park for the duration. Luckily only 2 blocks away so I can come home, rejuvenate, then head back out 

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Make sure you bring a yard stick and a camera.

Central Park needs 11.3 inches of snow this December to get the 30 year average to 30 inches. Don't let them under measure it as is often the case.

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