Zelocita Weather Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Did GFS really up qpf with this or is it me, any snow maps from GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Euro is now much wetter tomorrow. It definitely blew this one it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Euro is now much wetter tomorrow. It definitely blew this one it seems. I'm hopeful about this one. There's a small possibility this gives us more snow if Wednesday's storm turns to garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Flemington is tickling 6”; my area looking like 4” is a real possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Euro coming in east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Euro coming in east Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 18z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 NAM is juiced... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said: NAM is juiced... Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: NAM is juiced... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 The HRRR seems to be getting more amped and juiced with each passing run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 ECMWF west again. Beginning to think a period of accumulating snow, even at the coast is possible after 19Z or so. I'm talking maybe an inch but no doubt the 5 boroughs could see the ground get covered which I highly doubted 12-18 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I feel like many will be surprised tomorrow, especially just NW of the cities...with everyone concentrated on Wed/Thu, this storm normally would be getting quite a bit of attention, 0.5” LE or so, good amount of it snow.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: ECMWF west again. Beginning to think a period of accumulating snow, even at the coast is possible after 19Z or so. I'm talking maybe an inch but no doubt the 5 boroughs could see the ground get covered which I highly doubted 12-18 hours ago Agree I think it's more possible with recent trends. Still be surprised if anyone without elevation sees more than 1-2 inches tomorrow but whitening the ground in preparation for Wednesday would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 0z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 31 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Agree I think it's more possible with recent trends. Still be surprised if anyone without elevation sees more than 1-2 inches tomorrow but whitening the ground in preparation for Wednesday would be nice. Yeah, this won't be a big one by any means but having the ground be white from this would be a win. And hopefully it can help out for Wednesday by assisting to make confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM has rain/snow line right at the border of the city and then crashes into the city at the very end tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Snow on snow before Cjristmas is pretty rare around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 51 minutes ago, Fishmn said: Snow on snow before Christmas is pretty rare around here. has not happened since 1995...some other years...1960...1963...1966...1970-1980 had consecutive days with two events...I forgot 2013 and 2008...first signs of senility... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 41 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Yeah, this won't be a big one by any means but having the ground be white from this would be a win. And hopefully it can help out for Wednesday by assisting to make confluence. This one is toast for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 RGEM has no interest in tomorrow but not sure how well it's been performing even in the short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 One event at a time: Today... as per the attached graphics. 1-4" of wet snow ne PA/nw NJ into all of CT. Heaviest probably hills of nw NJ and into ne PA south of I84. It may begin as rain and may end as sprinkles. Intermediate late morning-early afternoon brief periods of 1/2mile moderate snow with accumulation of 1/2"/hr for a couple of hours. Pavements wet except hilly areas above ~ 700 feet. Even NYC could Trace or measure 0.1" this afternoon after 1PM. EC came up quite a bit the past two cycles, the HRRRX went down quite and the SPC HREF stayed steady. Attached the 00z/14 SPC HREF (8 member ensemble) and the 06z 3k NAM 10 to 1 ratio =which may be a bit high on the se edge but it states where I think the potential is best. mPING will be helpful. 35/31 here in Wantage at 505A 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 Few small flakes in Wantage NJ.. temps 34-36F around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 ice pellets at 644A in Wantage NJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 35/30 here; maybe the heavier rates coming up from PA will help bring the temp down. It’ll be close in my area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 12 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: 35/30 here; maybe the heavier rates coming up from PA will help bring the temp down. It’ll be close in my area. You'll get there...first a mix of sleet and rain then wet snow and sleet. Not sure if you can accumulate more than an inch or 2 by 2P. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 Wantage snow and sleet mix east 722A and temp now 34.5. Tinge of white on the roofs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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