hlcater Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: My backyard is the red dot. Unless I’m missing something we are out of the game. Drive to Columbus Wisconsin or Baraboo. I was being sarcastic. I think that poster mixed up MSP and MSN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 I'm gonna ride the slighly less amped Euro and hope for a couple wet inches for the heart of the DVN cwa. If NAM type solution works out it would be a heart breaker for MBY lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 38 minutes ago, hlcater said: I was being sarcastic. I think that poster mixed up MSP and MSN. I was gonna say, that map shows nothing for MSP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Final call, 1" of cold rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 hours ago, hlcater said: I was being sarcastic. I think that poster mixed up MSP and MSN. That makes sense, Madison should do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 GFS has become bizarrely weak with the snow band. Remember, this morning it had a foot over southeast Wisconsin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 12 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: GFS has become bizarrely weak with the snow band. Remember, this morning it had a foot over southeast Wisconsin. Yeah doesn’t make sense, I bet Canadian looks different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 32 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: GFS has become bizarrely weak with the snow band. Remember, this morning it had a foot over southeast Wisconsin. Gives ALEK some luvin' tho lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Meanwhile, the Canadian is steady with a solid band... really on a different planet than the GFS. The difference seems to be how the models handle the jet streak energy rounding the base of the trough. The GFS swings the energy south and east of the others, so by the time the energy turns north and spins up, it's at Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Gives ALEK some luvin' tho lol Even that map would be overdone in Chicago. It is in the mid 30s near the lake until like hr 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Yikes! The UK just went GFS on us. The second wave tracks farther east before cutting northeast, much less snow up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 the multi year trends will not be denied 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 The 00z Euro, of course, holds steady, so who knows how this will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Even though modelers will tell you the RAOB data doesn't affect performance much, it's not what we're seeing anecdotally with a lot of these systems. It seems like with every system in recent winters, drastic changes and or variability occur prior to main wave or one of the primary waves coming ashore from the Pacific, followed by a relative stabilizing once there's full RAOB sampling. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 5 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: Even though modelers will tell you the RAOB data doesn't affect performance much, it's not what we're seeing anecdotally with a lot of these systems. It seems like with every system in recent winters, drastic changes and or variability occur prior to main wave or one of the primary waves coming ashore from the Pacific, followed by a relative stabilizing once there's full RAOB sampling. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk That very much seems to be the case generally speaking With this one, there is really no margin for error with the poor antecedent airmass region wide, you add in the local factors in play imby and it's a lock for a rainer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 who knew a cold rain at 37 would be a positive step in the right direction on December 12? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 NWS 06z blend. I'll take the 7" for NE MI. Gotta get something on the ground soon. It's like a barren wasteland around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 ride it^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 12z NBM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 toss it^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Lets hope this trend isn't what we will see the rest of the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Ah, the old multi-year seasonal trend. Suck more and more the closer you get to the storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 improvement for my back yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3” I’ll take it and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Canadian and Euro are still holding steady with some decent snow. Frankly, I think a few inches here would be a solid outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 . 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 pretty sure we're not going to know what's going to happen until it happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 31 minutes ago, Baum said: pretty sure we're not going to know what's going to happen until it happens. I'll go with an inch or less for 75%+ of the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Rainer downtown, maybe an inch or two in the NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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