Wintry events possible I84 corridor down to near I80 next week (14th-18th)

[MJO812]

37 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Same thing winter 2010-11-every event found a way to overperform during that epic pattern

The blocking was insane until February

[Tatamy]

12z GEFS

[MJO812]

Monday is going to be close . Euro is coming in more amped.

[Tatamy]

12z Euro for Monday

 

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

12z Euro for Monday

 

Borderline here on the coast

What a change

[jm1220]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Monday is going to be close . Euro is coming in more amped.

I think we need better PNA cooperation than models have now. There’s too much risk of storms trending too far north without it. 

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Borderline here on the coast

What a change

Wow!

[David-LI]

euro looks good so far

[NEG NAO]

[jets]

Euro big improvement 

[Allsnow]

Confluence stronger on the euro. Big hit for nyc 

[MJO812]

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Allsnow said:

Confluence stronger on the euro. Big hit for nyc 

Quite a bit slower than the other models as well 

[NEG NAO]

[Tatamy]

[ForestHillWx]

Is that 5.4 at MMU for Monday? I did not expect that. Could be a big week for us in western Morris County

[NEG NAO]

[Tatamy]

[Stormlover74]

Looks like a foot plus I95 and nw

[jm1220]

Just now, Tatamy said:

Too early to focus on a specific track now but if confluence is getting better that’s good. We need resistance to the north to force this SE of us. 

[David-LI]

[Allsnow]

Beautiful 

[MJO812]

Still snowing after that image

[Tatamy]

12z Euro - total for both events

[bluewave]

Better +PNA ridge in California this run so the snowier outcome near the coast.

New run

Old run

 

 

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Too early to focus on a specific track now but if confluence is getting better that’s good. We need resistance to the north to force this SE of us. 

That might be the biggest takeaway here....

[MJO812]

What an active cold pattern on the models going forward thanks to the negative NAO and AO .

[MJO812]

Blizzard on the coast on the euro

[wdrag]

Will get new topics up for both Monday and Wednesday-Thursday (14, 15-16)  around 230PM.  This per taken the cue from one of participants- a good idea. That may  be a good time to shift discussions. I'll add some base graphics that will serve as a spring board for the future. 

[jm1220]

Also, wonder if a stronger wave 1 can suppress wave 2 somewhat.