December 5-6, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast

[Whineminster]

22 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Eustis, ME.  SN, 30.  ~8.5"

 - About to get death banded.

Nice.  Let's see some deck pics whole receiving a real pounding 

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Have to hammer meteorology not modelogy into my head the rest of this winter. 

So you didn’t get 4-6?

[PhineasC]

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, PhineasC said:

That’s why you bought that location.

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

That's pretty awesome. You'll probably have another 2/5/10 equivalent there 2-3x this winter. F*** that event for me, 13" vs 1" was 20 miles apart and I was on the bad side of... anyway, 

[alex]

It is dumping out. Holy cow

[PhineasC]

7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That’s why you bought that location.

Oh yes.

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, alex said:

It is dumping out. Holy cow

Power flickering. Blasting here.

[ORH_wxman]

20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

We’ve been in about as bad a pattern as possible all November and so the North American temp profile was torched. That’s not something that will happen often where you are, and especially not mid winter.

That was also a ridiculous cutter. It basically stalled up in Ontario. Pretty unique. When you have tropical dewpoints into northern Maine, there’s no escaping those cutters. 

[TalcottWx]

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So you didn’t get 4-6?

How much did you get

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

How much did you get

1.0”

[psuhoffman]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was also a ridiculous cutter. It basically stalled up in Ontario. Pretty unique. When you have tropical dewpoints into northern Maine, there’s no escaping those cutters. 

Oh definitely...but with a more typical temperature profile across eastern North America I also doubt you see that result either. Either way it was anomalous not something that should happen frequently, especially not deeper into winter. 

[TalcottWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

1.0”

Best us by an inch 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Best us by an inch 

Yup.

Storm was potent but probably more disappointed weenies than elated weenies. 
Pretty good winds though, my yard is already drying out. 34/27 and gusty. 

[PhineasC]

[WinterWolf]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Best us by an inch 

Lol..so it never flipped over there I take it.

Ya this sucked for most of us.  It snowed hard here for a couple hrs..covered everything in white, including roads.  Thought we were off to the races...but then the precip let up and it died.

 

NEXT!  

[rimetree]

Snow has been more consistent, light to occasionally moderate. About 2". 33/32

[Weatherlvr]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Parents just had a large tree come down across their driveway so they’re trapped for awhile.

Hope they are all right.  How much snow do you have?  We have none accumulated though about 0.5 miles south and north of us away from the lake they have about 2.5 inches.  Across the lake they have accumulation. The wind has been rocking the house with a current air temp of 33.2 deg.  We are located on the south west end of Webster Lake, NH.

[weathafella]

My final is 2 inches.  All.came in one crazy burst.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

This storm was an embarrassment. To have 2 inches by 145 pm and wind up with 3 inches total is just against all intelligent thought given where this was heading via modeling and forecasts at that point.  We flipped by 1045 in Nashua..ahead of schedule....forecast for 6 plus and looked to be over performer and we just had a combo of shiat lift after 4pm and garbage temps.

[Typhoon Tip]

Im thinking the last half of this system pretty much just didn’t happen? Certainly happened well shy of those late guidance last night ...they had moderate to heavy snow deep into the evening… interesting.

So we were done here by 4:30 or 5 o’clock this evening and we’ve had nothing but mist flurries and drizzle temperatures rising back to 34 ever since. 
 

I think I am kind of kicking myself for something I noticed yesterday. And it seems to be playing out here until I get a better explanation... 

I would say the last 1/3 of QPF from last night’s NAM over Eastern sections was thru a 320° wind.  I’ve noticed over the years that the NAM tends to hold onto substantial precipitation way too long when wind backs to the northwest around coastal events.  Rad is filled with what looks like probably chaff/virga  now. I’ve seen this before it’s like the models think this is heavy D form banding

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

This storm was an embarrassment. To have 2 inches by 130 pm and wind up with 3 inches total is just against all intelligent thought given where this was heading via modeling and forecasts at that point.  

Lmao...I got an inch in a couple hrs. Then it turned back to rain. 

[greenmtnwx]

Any ideas on how Loon/Lincoln is doing? Was thinking of heading tomorrow but only if big totals. 

[jm1220]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Im thinking the last half of the system pretty much just didn’t happen? Certainly happened well shy of those late guidance last night ...they had moderate to heavy snow deep into the evening… interesting.

Si we were done here by 4:30 or 5 o’clock this evening and we’ve had nothing but mist flurries and drizzle temperatures rising back to 34 ever since. 
 

I think I am kind of kicking myself for something I noticed yesterday. And it seems to be playing out here until I get a better explanation... 

I would say the last 1/3 of QPF from last night’s NAM over Eastern sections was thru a 320° wind.  I’ve noticed over the years that the NAM tends to hold onto substantial precipitation way too long when wind backs to the northwest around coastal events.  Rad is filled with what looks like probably chaff/virga  now. I’ve seen this before it’s like the models think this is heavy D form banding

The thing is it's still happening? The CCB held on pretty well until about now where it's dying down south of ME. The rates/flakes were that crappy? My precip ended by 2pm and I'm not that far from you. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Im thinking the last half of this system pretty much just didn’t happen? Certainly happened well shy of those late guidance last night ...they had moderate to heavy snow deep into the evening… interesting.

So we were done here by 4:30 or 5 o’clock this evening and we’ve had nothing but mist flurries and drizzle temperatures rising back to 34 ever since. 
 

I think I am kind of kicking myself for something I noticed yesterday. And it seems to be playing out here until I get a better explanation... 

I would say the last 1/3 of QPF from last night’s NAM over Eastern sections was thru a 320° wind.  I’ve noticed over the years that the NAM tends to hold onto substantial precipitation way too long when wind backs to the northwest around coastal events.  Rad is filled with what looks like probably chaff/virga  now. I’ve seen this before it’s like the models think this is heavy D form banding

Same time  the snow.... stuck to the radar apparatus and the radar crapped the bed for a while ...it was all down hill for many ..not all  lol.  

[alex]

4 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

Any ideas on how Loon/Lincoln is doing? Was thinking of heading tomorrow but only if big totals. 

Not sure specifically about Loon but it's some of the heaviest rates in memory right now here. Pretty much whiteout.  I'd estimate around 8"

[Typhoon Tip]

10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The thing is it's still happening? The CCB held on pretty well until about now where it's dying down south of ME. The rates/flakes were that crappy? My precip ended by 2pm and I'm not that far from you. 

Yeah it’s like we’re still in the wrapper around the CCB but I think it’s getting eviscerated by downsloping other land source drying when deeper lift passed away ...other mechanics to consider. But in the past these 320 to 350 direction winds here kill CCB wraparound

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

Any ideas on how Loon/Lincoln is doing? Was thinking of heading tomorrow but only if big totals. 

The poster near 93 in Plymouth at 1100' had a horrible bust so my guess is 25 miles further north at Loon's low base elevation stunk as well.  Up high they probably had a significant gradient.

[jm1220]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah it’s like we’re still in the wrapper on CCB but I think they were getting eviscerated by downsloping other land source drying when deeper lift passed away ...other mechanics to consider. But in the past theses 320 to 350 direction winds here kill CCB wraparound

So much for the stinger...

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Once the snow stuck to the radar beam and the radar crapped the bed ...it was all down hill lol

Okay - I guess I missed something ?

anywho for winter enthusiast .. at least this isn’t happening on March 15