Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,611
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

GOOD CHANCE OF 1ST LIGHT SNOW EVENT VA / nw NC/ MD DEL MONDAY DEC 7


DTWXRISK
 Share

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

This is absolute gold! Lmao

It’s missing the granddaddy of them all..the holy grail of fail...the Famous ”SSW event”...the event that hardly anyone understands but endorses because they don’t want to seem ignorant but they are desperately clinging to life and don’t want to check into the panic room

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Clear skies and down to 33.2 with a 26.1 DP. Nice radiational cooling last 2 hours.

Awesome. You got a little elevation on me up that way. 35.2 27.4 dew would equate to right at 32 for evaporational cooling purposes if we can’t drop much more. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Awesome. You got a little elevation on me up that way. 35.2 27.4 dew would equate to right at 32 for evaporational cooling purposes if we can’t drop much more. 

Higher elevations should do pretty good. I'm 28/25 right now at 2700ft.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

It’s missing the granddaddy of them all..the holy grail of fail...the Famous ”SSW event”...the event that hardly anyone understands but endorses because they don’t want to seem ignorant but they are desperately clinging to life and don’t want to check into the panic room

For next revision I’d recommend adding a box saying:    “How Much for Philly?”

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

@Disc @wxdude64 here’s the area of precip I’m watching, as it has recently began to blossom. The NWS national radar has a pretty good loop to see where it has just recently taken off as well. I’m hoping the vort(s) end up giving us a nice little surprise wrt overachieving later on this evening. Disc is there any concern for downsloping or overall anything with the precip struggling once it encounters the apps that you see?

F5DF5CD0-346B-4102-BDF6-E38D471B2A65.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

@Disc @wxdude64 here’s the area of precip I’m watching, as it has recently began to blossom. The NWS national radar has a pretty good loop to see where it has just recently taken off as well. I’m hoping the vort(s) end up giving us a nice little surprise wrt overachieving later on this evening. Disc is there any concern for downsloping or overall anything with the precip struggling once it encounters the apps that you see?

F5DF5CD0-346B-4102-BDF6-E38D471B2A65.png

Shouldn't be much of any issue. This isn't like a clipper or northwest flow. Moisture flow is mostly southwest.  Lift takes over and produces our precip as the vort swings through. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Hrrr has been increasing 1 hour rates . Especially as the system moves east . Maybe where the best frontogen ends up 

hrrr-conus-md-snow_1hr_10to1-7346000.png

could be wrong but I think most of the previous runs where the HRRR extends the snowfalll up to D.C. it's when the coastal takes over. Think our (our being D.C. area) best hope is that the coastal low is closer to the coast. I'm thinking its too late for us on the vort pass/initial wave/whatever the better terminology would be.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it’s how long the NS vort can produce moisture for DC until the coastal takes over and the precip collapses south toward the coastal low and then its over for DC metro and that’s if it ever gets started.  Low dews and minimal moisture means many of us will have to squint to see flakes.   We’ve seen this before.  It’s not fun for the north of I 64 crew 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it’s how long the NS vort can produce moisture for DC until the coastal takes over and the precip collapses south toward the coastal low and then its over for DC metro and that’s if it ever gets started.  Low dews and minimal moisture means many of us will have to squint to see flakes.   We’ve seen this before.  It’s not fun for the north of I 64 crew 

Makes sense. Knew it was possible I had it totally backwards but I felt bold enough to post it anyways. Appreciate the insight
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...