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GOOD CHANCE OF 1ST LIGHT SNOW EVENT VA / nw NC/ MD DEL MONDAY DEC 7


DTWXRISK
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  On 12/4/2020 at 12:55 PM, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z EURO slides to the South.  I won’t stop watching until 0z Sunday, but no model is showing a widespread light event for most of the DMV.

70D0ABBF-AB8B-4124-9409-FF8862B03279.png

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What is interesting is if you look at the precipitation pattern for summer and fall this map looks fairly realistic regardless of it being snow or rain

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  On 12/4/2020 at 1:19 PM, leesburg 04 said:

What is interesting is if you look at the precipitation pattern for summer and fall this map looks fairly realistic regardless of it being snow or rain

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True.  The pattern has taken a lot of the storm tracks to our South.  6Z EPS is not showing much hope for those in DMV either.

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  On 12/4/2020 at 12:50 PM, WinterWxLuvr said:

GFS ...

4C975E23-1A5D-40D5-A81E-71639E1A0D5F.thumb.jpeg.c72bfd8f4a35c97473ac537167b4fe62.jpeg

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This made me LOL as on the eve of Isaias we did a genny transfer switch test and there was a fault on a 7.2kV feeder under the parking lot and pretty pink flames shot up from the ground setting the grass on fire.  It was thundering too.  Ran out with a CO2 extinguisher and put out the grass once the OCR tripped.  This (pic) is pretty much what I saw...

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  On 12/4/2020 at 2:42 PM, Ji said:

you could see it coming but the 12z nam is a disaster

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Yup, today/Saturday's storm lingering longer thru 57hrs was a good indicator that the storm would miss any type of phase. But then again, NAM. Not enthralled with the chances but snow showers in December don't sound like the end of the world. 

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  On 12/4/2020 at 2:57 PM, mappy said:

no. we dont need to do that either. 

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Apologies, only if the models would support a storm for them that is. Not trying to backseat forecast in a subforum that doesn't belong to us ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Anywho, getting off topic, but the ICON seems to be getting Saturday's storm out of the way a bit earlier. Wonder how that'll translate to Tuesday's event given the extra spacing. 

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