LibertyBell Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, Rjay said: I know people are getting antsy but the upcoming pattern really isn't that bad. It might not work out for us but we def have a shot at more interesting wx. well tonight is pretty interesting lol. we had weather like this about a week or two after the Jan 1996 blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 regression to the mean. We've had a hell of a run, but the last few years show us that every year won't have 40-60 inches of snow here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 We're going to get a 40" blizzard one day and you're all gonna hate it Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 On 1/15/2021 at 10:42 AM, 495weatherguy said: Anthony, a serious question for you. would you rather have current conditions—blocking but suppression? or Storms at 38 degrees? This winter has demonstrated or reminded us just how many things have to go right (or wrong) for it to snow near the coast. The last 20 years have been unbelievable, rather anomalous, there is a reason our long term averages are around 30 inches of snow. We can no longer discount the extreme warmth. This new normal isnt historically normal for this area at all. Comparing these last few years to historical averages with a much cooler planet is an apples to oranges comparison. The Nino season snapped something. Nothing has been the same since then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Be happy to date there was 1 big snowstorm in your region. Be optimistic that another one can materialize.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 snowiest Decembers...2020 comes in tenth...oni is estimated....2020 is the warmest December with a favorable AO/NAO/PNA... snowiest NYC Decembers since 1950 and indices... year....snowfall....big snow......ave temp....oni…...AO.......NAO....PNA....QBO... 2010.....20.1"...…….20.0"...…….32.8......-1.6....-2.631....-1.85....-1.78....10.97 2003.....19.8"...…….14.0"...…….37.6...….0.4.....0.265.....0.64.....0.86...-11.38 1960.....18.6"...…….15.2"...…….30.9...….0.1....-0.343.....0.06.....1.46...-11.36 1959.....15.8"...…….13.7"...…….38.4...….0.0....-0.042.....0.44.....0.66......8.30 2000.....13.4"...…….12.0"...…….31.1...…-0.7....-2.354....-0.58.....1.23...-14.56 2009.....12.4"...…….10.7"...…….35.9...….1.6....-3.413....-1.93.....0.34...-15.57 1995.....11.5"...……...7.9"...…….32.4...…-1.0....-2.127....-1.67.....0.92.....-4.57 1963.....11.3"...……...6.3"...…….31.2...….1.3....-1.178....-1.92....-0.08......5.48 2002.....11.0"...……...6.0"...…….36.0...….1.1....-1.592....-0.94.....1.59.....-0.50 2020.....10.5".........10.5"..........39.2.....-1.2....-1.736....-0.30.....1.58.....10.37 2005...….9.7"...…......5.8"...…….35.3.....-0.8....-2.104....-0.44.....1.38...-25.04 1966...….9.1"...……..7.1"...……....35.7......-0.3....-1.401.....0.72.....0.09....13.26 1957...….8.7"...……..8.0"...…..….40.2.......1.7.....0.828.....0.12....-0.43...…7.35 2013...….8.6"...……..5.0"....…….38.5...…-0.3.....1.475.....0.95....-0.86....12.52 1961...….7.7"...……..6.2"...…..….35.5...….-0.2....-1.668....-1.48....-1.24......6.25 2017...….7.7"...……..4.5".....…….35.0...….-1.0....-0.059.....0.88.....0.89...-18.12 1952...….7.5"...……..4.5"....…….38.4...…..0.1....-1.827....-0.43.....0.93.....-1.65 1990...….7.2"...……..7.2"...….….42.6...…..0.4.....1.277.....0.22....-1.32....10.68 1968...….7.0"...……..5.2"...….….34.3...…..1.0....-0.783....-1.40....-1.44...-11.36 1993...….6.9"...……..4.0"....…….37.3...…..0.1....-0.104.....1.56.....0.72.....-6.00 1969...….6.8"...……..6.8"....…….33.4...…..0.6....-1.856....-0.28.....1.84......5.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 On 1/15/2021 at 1:31 PM, snowman19 said: People are conditioned to believe that the winters from 2000-2016 are the norm around here....fact is, they are not. We got extremely lucky during that 16 year time period, truth is, those winters were an anomaly. I could not imagine this forum had it been around for the winters from 1979-1993. People would have lost their minds on here Yup. At least from 1979-1993 there wasn't the temptation to stay glued to the situation 24x7 (other than TWC, which even as a kid you knew that once you watched for 20 minutes straight there would be nothing new to hear for a few hours, so might as well go play outside.) As a kid/teen if I had the 24x7 access we have now I might not have graduated elementary, junior high, or high school on time, or held down a job during the winter months lol. Imagine working in a shopping mall and heading down to the TV department in the department store to catch the weatherman at 7:45PM sharp to see if there were any updates. In hindsight, I think that might have been a problem. 1970-1999 Long Island had about six (six!) total storms of a foot or more. The 2000-2016 was the reward for those of us who suffered before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Twitter meteorologists need to stop hyping the stupid SSW. Alot of calls were for an epic January . Long range forecasts are also stupid . The friggin models can't even get a storm right a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Twitter meteorologists need to stop hyping the stupid SSW. Alot of calls were for an epic January . Long range forecasts are also stupid . The friggin models can't even get a storm right a week out. Perhaps a name change would help, Anthony ..... “ Long Range Maybe “ is a thought. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Blocking fail 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Blocking fail compared to other years with this kind of blocking...but we still got a 10" snowstorm to show for it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, uncle W said: compared to other years with this kind of blocking...but we still got a 10" snowstorm to show for it... We were lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: SSW fail like it always does Might ban this term. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 February's going to rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 I appreciate all the long range forecasts. I am really stressed out right now. I'm currently looking for a 2 family house which will cost 800k+ and looking to get married. Having some snow will ease the stress. I'm basically planning everything right now by myself since her family doesn't have alot of money or know alot about homes. I wish my dad was still around to help me He passed away 9 years ago of pancreatic cancer at 52 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, Rjay said: Might ban this term. Agree Go ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 49 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We were lucky that and a minus 3sd ao along with a neg nao can do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I appreciate all the long range forecasts. I am really stressed out right now. I'm currently looking for a 2 family house which will cost 800k+ and looking to get married. Having some snow will ease the stress. I'm basically planning everything right now by myself since her family doesn't have alot of money or know alot about homes. I wish my dad was still around to help me He passed away 9 years ago of pancreatic cancer at 52 years old. where are you looking for a house?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 hours ago, Rjay said: Might ban this term. Rjay, if ‘control’ bans terms/words such as fail or bust it would force many of us to invest in a thesaurus. Might not be such a bad thing. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: I appreciate all the long range forecasts. I am really stressed out right now. I'm currently looking for a 2 family house which will cost 800k+ and looking to get married. Having some snow will ease the stress. I'm basically planning everything right now by myself since her family doesn't have alot of money or know alot about homes. I wish my dad was still around to help me He passed away 9 years ago of pancreatic cancer at 52 years old. hey good luck with all that, nobody can blame you for being stressed, that's a bunch of huge decisions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 This winter sucks. This is terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: I appreciate all the long range forecasts. I am really stressed out right now. I'm currently looking for a 2 family house which will cost 800k+ and looking to get married. Having some snow will ease the stress. I'm basically planning everything right now by myself since her family doesn't have alot of money or know alot about homes. I wish my dad was still around to help me He passed away 9 years ago of pancreatic cancer at 52 years old. I remember when it was sadly mentioned on the forum at that time. A tragedy then and still is. Anthony, your father is still with you. His persona resides in you. You have done well under difficult circumstances. You have a career in law enforcement, a future partnership that will bear fruit, keeping you happy for decades to come. You should, of course seek and listen to the advice of others. When the time comes, however, the spirit of your upbringing and your own counsel will hold true. Be well Anthony and make sure you give your children a decent wage to shovel. As always ..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 hours ago, rclab said: I remember when it was sadly mentioned on the forum at that time. A tragedy then and still is. Anthony, your father is still with you. His persona resides in you. You have done well under difficult circumstances. You have a career in law enforcement, a future partnership that will bear fruit, keeping you happy for decades to come. You should, of course seek and listen to the advice of others. When the time comes, however, the spirit of your upbringing and your own counsel will hold true. Be well Anthony and make sure you give your children a decent wage to shovel. As always ..... you always have wise words to share my friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 hours ago, psv88 said: This winter sucks. This is terrible gimme rain at least, i am so bored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 This takes the pain of a snowless january away. well that and whiskey but thats only for weekends. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: This takes the pain of a snowless january away. well that and whiskey but thats only for weekends. Are you referring to the popcorn only for the weekends? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/17/2021 at 4:32 PM, jfklganyc said: We can no longer discount the extreme warmth. This new normal isnt historically normal for this area at all. Comparing these last few years to historical averages with a much cooler planet is an apples to oranges comparison. The Nino season snapped something. Nothing has been the same since then It's rather exciting in a way. I can't wait until we get a Cat 3 TC that turns into a blizzard in February haha. Could also happen in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 16 hours ago, MJO812 said: I appreciate all the long range forecasts. I am really stressed out right now. I'm currently looking for a 2 family house which will cost 800k+ and looking to get married. Having some snow will ease the stress. I'm basically planning everything right now by myself since her family doesn't have alot of money or know alot about homes. I wish my dad was still around to help me He passed away 9 years ago of pancreatic cancer at 52 years old. My dad passed away 6 years ago so I can empathize Where are you looking to buy a house and why a 2 family one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 My dad passed away 6 years ago so I can empathize Where are you looking to buy a house and why a 2 family one? The $800k price concerns me.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 model images should only be accessible to people who can answer calculus questions 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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