HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, CTRV got shadowed big time due to the easterly flow. Yeah, don’t remind me. That was my first go around in the valley and it sucked in Amherst. I was so happy to move back to Boston in 1997 just in time for April Fools Storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I have a feeling I may melt as it takes hours and hours for the precip to crawl up here tomorrow. Just warning you guys up front. LOL We definitely need to work on this. You're in snow country now! Only melt when it's an extreme scenario of suck lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don't know that this utter bomb will tick Once it starts chasing the convection out ahead it will. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Brian is all excited now, but then those little chicken legs stick out of collapsed coops like the wicked witch of the east, he won't be happy. It is kinda cool when like 5 models in a row give you 1 to 2'. Could be a lot of very surprised people tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re locked for 6” I’ll recind my vote and demand a recount if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: I may have to go out every 2hrs and shake the snow off. HRDPS... good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Great rain-snow flip story Tip. My fondest memory is still 3/31/97. Awesome storm to track tomorrow. I'm most confident in ORH northeast into NH / ME. Farther west? With this nuking out as quickly as guidance suggests, I'd think western extent of biggest accumulation might not be as far as we'd usually expect from midlevels... Also given how quickly this nukes (and some downstream ridging) I would not be surprised to see a closer track... For Boston metro area / eastern SNE, we were threading the needle of dynamics + temps yesterday with a slightly further eastern track... with these western tics, the 4+ amounts are at risk. Will be extremely close and fun to watch with dynamics, and still think a quick 2-4"/3-6" is possible. Euro has not been jumping around as much as other guidance, let's see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Do you need a tickle Send over one of your MILF's. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's how these usually go, The messenger shuffle, God rest (Scotts) soul. I think so too. Looks like a classic day before nw tick before it levels off at go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I think rgems STD model is better tbh. rgem is way overrated. I've seen the herpes be pretty awful. That said, I kind of like the non-hydrostatic models in this one as we get inside 36 hours. They are going to be able to resolve that very intense (but localized) convection that will be occurring in this bombing low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 26 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah...as amazing as that storm was ... and it was multi faceted ( there was a wind damage and a tide problem at shore communities all the way down the Jersey shore/up to eastern Ma and coastal Nh in that too ) it was not a prolifiic snow producer over inland 'shadow' topographies. Someone can probably drub up the snow chart from that - it's a easy google effort no doubt. But the CT River valley and the like, ...I think Springfield Ma only got like 2-4" but that may be just my memory - heh. Meanwhile places like Sutton were up over 30 inches. The only chart I could find is on page 107 of this PDF. http://www.weatherknowledge.com/The_Great_NorEaster_of_Dec_1992.pdf Here is a screen shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll recind my vote and demand a recount if that happens. We Trump! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I've seen the herpes be pretty awful. That said, I kind of like the non-hydrostatic models in this one as we get inside 36 hours. They are going to be able to resolve that very intense (but localized) convection that will be occurring in this bombing low. Not saying herpes is great but I prefer it over the rgem esp in marginal setups. I find its thermals to be superior although its skewed to the colder side a bit too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Better to level off than be completely gone. Getting on the board is an accomplishment here given where this was a few days ago and the absolutely putrid airmass we’re (hopefully) overcoming. Deff. You are fine there imo, either way. You’ll accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, klw said: The only chart I could find is on page 107 of this PDF. http://www.weatherknowledge.com/The_Great_NorEaster_of_Dec_1992.pdf I made a map of it years ago for SNE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I made a map of it years ago for SNE Looks like that gap is all due to the warming effect of the CT river and lower elevation!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I made a map of it years ago for SNE Still painful to this day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We Trump! I promise you, if I see 6”...I’ll do something for you, non sexual. Maybe wash your truck in tight shorts? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I made a map of it years ago for SNE Wow, take a wild guess which one is Blue Hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Still painful to this day. Scooter just smashed his laptop over his snow blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Great rain-snow flip story. My fondest memory is still 3/31/97. Awesome storm to track. I'm most confident in ORH northeast into NH / ME. Farther west? With this nuking out as quickly as guidance suggests, I'd think western extent of biggest accumulation might not be as far as we'd usually expect from midlevels... Also given how quickly this nukes (and some downstream ridging) I would not be surprised to see a closer track... For Boston metro area / eastern SNE, we were threading the needle of dynamics + temps yesterday with a slightly further eastern track... with these western tics, the 4+ amounts are at risk. Will be extremely close and fun to watch with dynamics, and still think a quick 2-4"/3-6" is possible. Euro has not been jumping around as much as other guidance, let's see... If euro tics west, then I maybe in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Great rain-snow flip story. My fondest memory is still 3/31/97. Awesome storm to track. I'm most confident in ORH northeast into NH / ME. Farther west? With this nuking out as quickly as guidance suggests, I'd think western extent of biggest accumulation might not be as far as we'd usually expect from midlevels... Also given how quickly this nukes (and some downstream ridging) I would not be surprised to see a closer track... For Boston metro area / eastern SNE, we were threading the needle of dynamics + temps yesterday with a slightly further eastern track... with these western tics, the 4+ amounts are at risk. Will be extremely close and fun to watch with dynamics, and still think a quick 2-4"/3-6" is possible. Euro has not been jumping around as much as other guidance, let's see... My favorite too! Sunday 3/30: 63˚, biking in shorts. Prediction of 10-14 overnight Monday which no one believed. Monday 3/31: 45˚ and raining in the morning 8 SM W of KBOS. Prediction of a flip between 4 and 6. 1030 math class, bored looking out the window at the rain. Look back at the board. Look back out the window and I couldn't see across the field. My middle school math teacher did not care for my weather report. 1400: All after school activities canceled. Our bus driver usually left the door open and had to be woken up when it was time to leave but had to open and close it for everyone getting on to keep the blizzard out of the bus. With all activities canceled, we had about 80 people on the bus, sitting on laps. Barely made it up a couple of hills. No school Tue-Wed, since many streets hadn't been touched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter just smashed his laptop over his snow blower. Mini 12/92 maybe tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Euro looks slightly weaker with the southern stream at 12h vs the 06z run through 12h...not a big change though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I made a map of it years ago for SNE ouch, I would assume my mini valley would have not done so well there, but eyeballing it on that map it has right on the light to dark blue line....do you know where that 13.8" tally came from in New Haven County? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I made a map of it years ago for SNE Loved this storm! I was on a cub scout overnight at the Museum of Science! They woke us up on the intercom at 6:45 with "good morning campers, it's snowing outside" and indeed it was. The morning activities were called off and everyone piled in to go home. We only had to make it a few exits out the Pike; not sure if there were folks from ORH county and how they fared! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Mini 12/92 maybe tomorrow. Yup. Smaller and further east. 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: ouch, I would assume my mini valley would have not done so well there, but eyeballing it on that map it has right on the light to dark blue line....do you know where that 13.8" tally came from in New Haven County? Waterbury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: ouch, I would assume my mini valley would have not done so well there, but eyeballing it on that map it has right on the light to dark blue line....do you know where that 13.8" tally came from in New Haven County? That map looks like it's somewhere near Prospect or Wolcott which are both up around 900 ft+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: ouch, I would assume my mini valley would have not done so well there, but eyeballing it on that map it has right on the light to dark blue line....do you know where that 13.8" tally came from in New Haven County? I believe it was the woodbury coop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12z Euro may hold serve or even tic east a bit this go round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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