Lava Rock Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm actually pretty excited for the toaster baths during the day tomorrow. "You said I was going to get snow!!1!@" ...right before they flip to 2"/hr. I'll be first in line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 My guess for BOS is 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, DotRat_Wx said: I wish! Those Mainers are not welcoming us MA people during COVID I'm pretty confident that if you jump in your car and go, no one is going to stop you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: This is going to be an interesting storm to track from the pure precip rates standpoint and how it matches up with the ptype....I think there's going to be a very high correlation if I had to guess. Like the first 6-8 hours of this thing kind of slog along with moderate (to maybe low-end heavy) precip and that's when all the toaster baths are gonna happen. Then all of the sudden, those ridiculous echoes on radar rotate in and I can envision a ton of people posting that flakes are mixing in and then changing over. I love the HRRR depiction of 1 hr snow totals, because it's only going to give you a number where it thinks it's snowing. So you can see the pytpe changeover as the coverage expands. Starts in the higher elevations of the Berks and ORH Hills mid morning and then it's game on by midday into Metrowest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: I wish! Those Mainers are not welcoming us MA people during COVID No one will bother you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There is a 0% chance you'd be saying this if you were still in Franklin county. "Look at all of that QPF to my east" 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I still think this has a shot to pound even if for a short time down this way.... even a few hours could put down a few inches So for SNE this potential has to do with how far south and under the wrap around gets then yes? Seems like the Canadian, which hasn’t been wisely discussed has held down pat on not providing any wrap around for most of SNE. Yeah it’s also a matter of position S N E W too of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: My guess for BOS is 1-3 i wouldn't complain...especially if it rips good for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: My guess for BOS is 1-3 I can see more if rates are good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No one will bother you. My sister is like that, too....my wife was talking to her about heading up to her place in VT, and she was petrified of the covid restrictions. People just can't wrap their minds around the fact that while discouraged, no one will do shit and you won't spontaneously combust at the state line. I had a Thanksgiving dinner...and the turkey didn't morph into a covid cell and eat me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: My sister is like that, too....my wife was talking to her about heading up to her place in VT, and she was petrified of the covid restrictions. People just can't wrap their minds around the fact that while discouraged, no one will do shit and you won't spontaneously combust at the state line. Exactly! Some folks can’t think for themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My sister is like that, too....my wife was talking to her about heading up to her place in VT, and she was petrified of the covid restrictions. People just can't wrap their minds around the fact that while discouraged, no one will do shit and you won't spontaneously combust at the state line. Ya , i stayed in Vermont 2 weekends ago w my GF . Von Trapp lodge. Was very warm and welcoming there (Spruce peak had more militant vibe on phone lol) and just asked that we hadn't had symptoms or been around folks who had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya , i stay in Vermont 2 weekends ago . Von Trapp lodge. Was very warm and welcoming and just asked that we hadn't had symptoms or been around folks who had. Yea, wife just dropped it because its like trying to tell metfan that he won't snow with +4 850s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2020 Author Share Posted December 4, 2020 Ha...sorry y'all that was supposed to be paraphrase and I kinda got carried away .. There was a point to that - haha. I am wondering if this might be an opportunity to maybe watch for shock transitions? I mean, there is not much analog value between this and 1992... no but, both scenarios do have one aspect in common: hugely dynamic... 1992 was not initially a snow column over Lowell .. I remember earlier that afternoon - in the non-abridged version of that story .. - setting the stage. I was clamoring back across University Ave Bridge, 3 ..3:30PM with it's iron cold grate for a surface, and 70 foot draft over the Merrimack River bed... leaning against the cold gusts and the large drops of rain could be heard against one's head pegging away. You know? Those kind of big glop drops - ? I guess they might have cat paws at the time...but this was before I'd ever heard the expression before.. I remember looking at the sky and you could make out an 'undulatory motion' to the ceiling - and I really got the distinct impression of looking at the snow level ...I dunno 1200' elevation? So it was probably not too far off the deck..and waiting for something to implode the lower thickness... As Will was pointing out...we both seemed to thunder around the same time - probably at max dynamic and that was trigger for us...and that ceiling collapses - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Ukie came west, but still definitely east of guidance like the RGEM/GFS....NAM was maybe slightly west of the Ukie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Uncle looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Uncle looks great. for who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 May pull a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 42h panel for the Mainers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Uncle looks great. snow map? For my curiosity's sake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, correnjim1 said: for who? East Boston....which street do you live on? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: East Boston....which street do you live on? you can narrow it right down to my street? that's impressive lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, correnjim1 said: you can narrow it right down to my street? that's impressive lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm pretty confident that if you jump in your car and go, no one is going to stop you. The gf probably would slap me before leaving but I'd be able to over power her I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 A lot of rain here, cool 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ha...sorry y'all that was supposed to be paraphrase and I kinda got carried away .. There was a point to that - haha. I am wondering if this might be an opportunity to maybe watch for shock transitions? I mean, there is not much analog value between this and 1992... no but, both scenarios do have one aspect in common: hugely dynamic... 1992 was not initially a snow column over Lowell .. I remember earlier that afternoon - in the non-abridged version of that story .. - setting the stage. I was clamoring back across University Ave Bridge, 3 ..3:30PM with it's iron cold grate for a surface, and 70 foot draft over the Merrimack River bed... leaning against the cold gusts and the large drops of rain could be heard against one's head pegging away. You know? Those kind of big glop drops - ? I guess they might have cat paws at the time...but this was before I'd ever heard the expression before.. I remember looking at the sky and you could make out an 'undulatory motion' to the ceiling - and I really got the distinct impression of looking at the snow level ...I dunno 1200' elevation? So it was probably not too far off the deck..and waiting for something to implode the lower thickness... As Will was pointing out...we both seemed to thunder around the same time - probably at max dynamic and that was trigger for us...and that ceiling collapses - I was across the river over on Sarah Ave (behind Olsen Hall) during that event. Not particularly sober... helping push cars out of the parking lot of the condos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2020 Author Share Posted December 4, 2020 25 minutes ago, klw said: That was my first winter in VT. It was a forecast of 12- 18+ for my area. I spent 3 days watching CNN covering the storm while we were pounded by nothing but virga as the storm stopped a county away from me. One of my least favorite events ever. Yeah...as amazing as that storm was ... and it was multi faceted ( there was a wind damage and a tide problem at shore communities all the way down the Jersey shore/up to eastern Ma and coastal Nh in that too ) it was not a prolifiic snow producer over inland 'shadow' topographies. Someone can probably drub up the snow chart from that - it's a easy google effort no doubt. But the CT River valley and the like, ...I think Springfield Ma only got like 2-4" but that may be just my memory - heh. Meanwhile places like Sutton were up over 30 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: So for SNE this potential has to do with how far south and under the wrap around gets then yes? Seems like the Canadian, which hasn’t been wisely discussed has held down pat on not providing any wrap around for most of SNE. Yeah it’s also a matter of position S N E W too of course There's a pretty good TROWAL signal, even on the regional Canadian. It's essentially in the same position as this GFS version but 3 hours delayed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You can set your watch to it. Like dominoes. First call: Lava—>Phin—>Berg—>2/3 of CT posters I have a feeling I may melt as it takes hours and hours for the precip to crawl up here tomorrow. Just warning you guys up front. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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