stormtracker Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Miight need to look at our Alternatives of PIttsburg, NH or Chateugay NY. Good thing is we're fluid. But damn...Euro is killing us here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: 00z suite will be smelling. I hope you jack and get the monkey off your back. My bar is low, just cover the grass again, lol. Messenger east shuffles always happen so I like to have something to work to get to 3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Storm is going to suck one way or another...just a matter of whether it's a wet suck, or a dry suck. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: I hope you jack and get the monkey off your back. My bar is low, just cover the grass again, lol. Messenger east shuffles always happen so I like to have something to work to get to 3”. I feel pretty good about a solid 5” here. I would rather avoid an inch of rain beforehand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Miight need to look at our Alternatives of PIttsburg, NH or Chateugay NY. Good thing is we're fluid. But damn...Euro is killing us here No kidding. My camp in the Daks looks like an awesome spot with that set up. Kleenex material. ...and that may be all it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Storm is going to suck one way or another...just a matter of whether it's a wet suck, or a dry suck. Cue Mazz... "suck suck suck suck" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I feel pretty good about a solid 5” here. I would rather avoid an inch of rain beforehand. We've been discussing it summer and fall, but worth noting how unstable the Euro is these days. If the GFS schools it at 72-90 hours again...we'll know for sure. It definitely has some issues going on that makes it hard to trust at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Even digging into that run a bit.... those snow maps are over-done for sure on the eastern side (in this area). This air mass is really marginal. Over this way, even during intense precipitation rates the SFC temps are still sitting +1C. 925m is pretty warm all things considered. Reality says that's a BTV westward or Adirondacks bomber. Time for it to go a bit east, ha. What a thread the needle situation for someone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z RGEM jacks metro-west, ha. We hope scooter would take Bryce on a drive to the snow if that ever occurred Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Miight need to look at our Alternatives of PIttsburg, NH or Chateugay NY. Good thing is we're fluid. But damn...Euro is killing us here Lol. Pittsburg, NH. That is a tough drive. At least Chateaugay is interstate most of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Euro blows chow..period. What a pos..no better than anything else anymore. And maybe worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: Lol. Pittsburg, NH. That is a tough drive. At least Chateaugay is interstate most of the way. Hey, anything for the snow. I gotta say...you New Englanders are letting me down. I thought you guys could fart and it would turn into 2 feet of powder. With this storm, y'all are the mid-Atlantic with an accent. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Euro blows chow..period. What a pos..no better than anything else anymore. And maybe worse. Eps is more west and wound up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hey, anything for the snow. I gotta say...you New Englanders are letting me down. I thought you guys could fart and it would turn into 2 feet of powder. With this storm, y'all are the mid-Atlantic with an accent. Trying to keep the COVID out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Everyone complaining about the Euro. If KORH receives >0.10" of QPF from this storm, then all complaints should be directed at the GFS which legitimately has 0.05" for the weekend at ORH. Time will tell which one sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Will the 0z dopamine drip satisfy insatiable weenies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z RGEM jacks metro-west, ha. At least the RGEM had a consistent track from its 12z run, albeit a bit slower this time, thus allowing the somewhat colder air a bit more time to rush in. It wasn't finished at 84 hrs either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hey, anything for the snow. I gotta say...you New Englanders are letting me down. I thought you guys could fart and it would turn into 2 feet of powder. With this storm, y'all are the mid-Atlantic with an accent. Synoptic storms do that, like a lottery system. Meso-scale storms like big lake effect or big upslope often don’t alter much in the lead up. No “phasing” to figure out. The features that make it snow are stationary, body of water or mountains. These synoptic events are always the best on the Forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Everyone complaining about the Euro. If KORH receives >0.10" of QPF from this storm, then all complaints should be directed at the GFS which legitimately has 0.05" for the weekend at ORH. Time will tell which one sucks! GFS always sucked...Euro has progressively stepped down to that level over the last few years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hey, anything for the snow. I gotta say...you New Englanders are letting me down. I thought you guys could fart and it would turn into 2 feet of powder. With this storm, y'all are the mid-Atlantic with an accent. You're the foreigner with the accent............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Even digging into that run a bit.... those snow maps are over-done for sure on the eastern side (in this area). This air mass is really marginal. Over this way, even during intense precipitation rates the SFC temps are still sitting +1C. 925m is pretty warm all things considered. Reality says that's a BTV westward or Adirondacks bomber. Time for it to go a bit east, ha. What a thread the needle situation for someone. The air mass has been the issue, Its a thread the needle at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 RGEM had one good year 6 years ago and we still consider it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Storm is going to suck one way or another...just a matter of whether it's a wet suck, or a dry suck. I always prefer a wet suck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: RGEM had one good year 6 years ago and we still consider it... But boy was it zeroed in for that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 hours ago, weathafella said: GFS let’s a lot of air out of many balloons. Happy happy birthday kid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Hoth said: But boy was it zeroed in for that month. It was a one month wonder... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hey, anything for the snow. I gotta say...you New Englanders are letting me down. I thought you guys could fart and it would turn into 2 feet of powder. With this storm, y'all are the mid-Atlantic with an accent. 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Synoptic storms do that. Meso-scale storms like big lake effect or big upslope often don’t alter much in the lead up. No “phasing” to figure out. The features that make it snow are stationary. It’s good that PF chimed in here with the clarification; the 2 feet of powder from a hint of atmospheric disturbance is generally a mesoscale/mountain/NNE thing. From what I’ve observed over the past several years, much of SNE has to work really hard for their snow. It’s apparent from the weird “we just need to get this system to…” and “if we can keep that system from…” phraseology that is used. One would conclude that if they don’t work hard enough, they simply don’t get the snow. Sometimes there’s this reverse psychology thing that goes on as well, but it would seem like that would only hurt the overall effort? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Storm is going to suck one way or another...just a matter of whether it's a wet suck, or a dry suck. The wife ain’t happy either way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: The air mass has been the issue, Its a thread the needle at best. In part. GFS gives me zero precip. That’s not an issue with the airmass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, J.Spin said: It’s good that PF chimed in here with the clarification; the 2 feet of powder from a hint of atmospheric disturbance is generally a mesoscale/mountain/NNE thing. From what I’ve observed over the past several years, much of SNE has to work really hard for their snow. It’s apparent from the weird “we just need to get this system to…” and “if we can keep that system from…” phraseology that is used. One would conclude that if they don’t work hard enough, they simply don’t get the snow. Sometimes there’s this reverse psychology thing that goes on as well, but it would seem like that would only hurt the overall effort? LOL good thing you don’t try to make friends in these threads. I think I can relate to these guys a lot better. You are like the Dr. Manhattan of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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