TheMainer Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I wish NWS CAR didn't always shoot their shot too high, but I like seeing GYX modeling something similar where the two boundaries meet on the Somerset/Piscataquis county line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: He knows he is sitting golden , he doesn’t wanna jinx himself or something I said last night that he is only 30 miles east of me but will have 10x my season totals come Sunday. N ORH county is the best snow spot in SNE period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can always tell by his reverse psych posts. He knows he’s in Jack zone and posts.. “ I’ll probably get less than I did in October storm” I’d put him down for like 8-10” to start... he’s not fooling anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I said last night that he is only 30 miles east of me but will have 10x my season totals come Sunday. N ORH county is the best snow spot in SNE period. I’ll take Savoy to Florida At 1800’+ any day but ya they both rock 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 looking at the 6z EURO, looks like metro area gets about 4-5 hrs of snow.. maybe a bit more. areas around 128 should do 2-4" easily, might be as high as 5-6" depends on any wobbles, CF etc.. feeling pretty good about my call from earlier yesterday. Good luck to those expecting a 12"+ enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d put him down for like 8-10” to start... he’s not fooling anyone. He’s a lock for a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’ll take Savoy to Florida any day Yeah I was wondering if he was considering those honorary CNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can always tell by his reverse psych posts. He knows he’s in Jack zone and posts.. “ I’ll probably get less than I did in October storm” Beware the Messenger shuffle 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I do think 128 corridor not that far from water has sneaky bust low potential after 2 pm . As long as big lift isn’t west of that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Careful with the 10:1 weenie maps. Not sure this is 10:1 except for a brief time in and up. It will end up 7-9:1 except at the end, These always do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I do think 128 corridor not that far from water has sneaky bust low potential after 2 pm . As long as big lift isn’t west of that area yes, hopefully I'm on the other side of that.. probably woburn/burlington end up with 2" and concord/lexington end up with 6 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The other thing to watch is the initial band out west. I could see that sort of congeal and move east quickly as the low bombs near the Cape, but by then it will start to pivot out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 For the Mets and smarter folks . I notice for the track the winds don’t have much e/ene Inflow at all. Will this place more emphasis on other factors performing or does it just sort of limit dynamic cooling to rates and Not (orographic lift over Orh Hill’s and also not wring out moisture on E slopes . I.E jack could be anywhere it pounds super hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Pics please This NYC weenie is jealous Enjoy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 9:43 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Where’s @OceanStWx to give us some model sensitivity data to help the peeps out jonesin for some snow. Premium content was on Twitter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 hours ago, wxsniss said: 6z NAM much better than 0z NAM... bombs away 36-42hrs for eSNE Similar to 12z 12/3 NAM, but slightly later development which will hurt southwestern folks, but otherwise big hit central-eastern SNE / eastern NH / eastern ME Fair to say the 0z NAM non-event was an egregious outlier These are the trends that I have been warning about all week. Hopefully it doesn't go much further. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I said last night that he is only 30 miles east of me but will have 10x my season totals come Sunday. N ORH county is the best snow spot in SNE period. Ahhhhhh I don't know about that. Berks have much better retention and higher season totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 18 minutes ago, radarman said: Yeah I was wondering if he was considering those honorary CNE Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: These are the trends that I have been warning about all week. Hopefully it doesn't go much further. 6z was a much better run than 0z , 0z didn’t develop earlier , it didn’t develop much at all but was still a couple hairs better than the 18z nam debacle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The other thing to watch is the initial band out west. I could see that sort of congeal and move east quickly as the low bombs near the Cape, but by then it will start to pivot out. That's kind of 12/9/05 style....the initial band set up west of ORH but then as it collapsed E it went insane as the storm basically imploded the atmosphere over upper cape/buzzards bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: These are the trends that I have been warning about all week. Hopefully it doesn't go much further. I like those trends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 HRRR wants to do another Dec 3rd 2019 26" crushing for central Mass lol. It did nail that. Still thinking 6-8" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin to ORH into Monads and SNH are going to get smoked. Can tickle that to Ray too I think. I feel like BOS south will have some lift below the DGZ and will be tougher. Usually if the mid levels are good, you err snowy in NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I like those trends. East, yes...but even we do not want it developing too much later, or else it will be a Jeff and Lava CJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 48 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Take those down by a decent amount due to ratios... I also think it rains for longer than the Clowns think Near you? At 1000'? I doubt it. Perhaps in my area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 34 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d put him down for like 8-10” to start... he’s not fooling anyone. Yea, I had him 6-12" for First Call. The later development trend seems to have stopped on the 06z EURO...just ticked west, but mostly noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I had him 6-12" for First Call. The later development trend seems to have stopped on the 06z EURO...just ticked west, but mostly noise. I think we have consensus on development timing. CCB cranks up big time . Plaster job for interior SNE with elevations over 6 inches and 2 to 5 elsewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 HRRR really plasters late aftn and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 6z was a much better run than 0z , 0z didn’t develop earlier , it didn’t develop much at all but was still a couple hairs better than the 18z nam debacle I meant trend in general, not with respect to the NAM. I know that 00z whiffed...I ignored it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: HRRR really plasters late aftn and evening. Pretty solid tick east from 06z....which was admittedly a western outlier compared to other guidance. That would obliterate ORH and my hood I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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