Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Decent first call from Maxon (NBC30). I’ve got 5-10” in his 4-6”. Should be fun tomorrow for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Pretty easy 1-14” forecast for here 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Surprised to see Box throw 4" at BOS. Feels high to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Decent first call from Maxon (NBC30). I’ve got 5-10” in his 4-6”. Should be fun tomorrow for everyone And if it heavy and wet 4-6” is enough to take some limbs down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Bust potential for sure, but hey...toughens you up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Can always count on the HRRR to keep the western folks chasing the worm on the hook around the pond. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Can always count on the HRRR to keep the western folks chasing the worm on the hook around the pond. I saw that. Gets slotty to the east which is on my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Can always count on the HRRR to keep the western folks chasing the worm on the hook around the pond. Its the only hope us westerners have at this point. Not expecting anything besides some cold December rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 You all have it... fun and snow change challenging for your area. I've nothing to add that you're not already aware of. Monitor the HRRR 06z, 12z,18z/4 trends realizing the HRRR tends to run a little warm (or did prior to the upgrade of a couple days ago). Its the furthest west of the 00z-06z/4 operational modeling. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I saw that. Gets slotty to the east which is on my mind. Convection with this and does that rob moisture or owe to latent heat release? Just trying to think of the little things that pop up for discussion on approach, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I wonder if my October storm will be bigger than this one. 6.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Its the only hope us westerners have at this point. Not expecting anything besides some cold December rain... Would you look at that lol! Doesn't that kind of fit with what Tip and others were talking about yesterday that some banding and dynamics could be somewhat more west than shown on the clowns? Be interesting to watch for sure. So not ready for snow at work...too many generators on backorder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 And great to see Walt on here in the morning. We’re getting the band back together! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Would you look at that lol! Doesn't that kind of fit with what Tip and others were talking about yesterday that some banding and dynamics could be somewhat more west than shown on the clowns? Be interesting to watch for sure. So not ready for snow at work...too many generators on backorder! I still think that will be the case to a point. So does it track a little further west? That is possible. As it bombs, does it try to contract closer to the low? Possible as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Beware the Messenger shuffle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6z REGGIE The 6z Canadian guidance is a late-bloomer on both their mesoscale products. The spread in ensembles is still insane at this time too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Reggie blooms earlier, it's just that Reggie is a torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 So its anything from nothing to over a foot for my area. could really bust either way. Comes down to how quickly it gets going/how warm, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 03Z run but what a spread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6z REGGIE The 6z Canadian guidance is a late-bloomer on both their mesoscale products. The spread in ensembles is still insane at this time too. Nice. I went from 15" to 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The 6z NAM would be quite the paster here.... tough forecast. Box map seems like a good starting point.... conveys there could be accumulating snow even down to this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I wonder if my October storm will be bigger than this one. 6.5” I'm anticipating a redux here. 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 6z REGGIE The 6z Canadian guidance is a late-bloomer on both their mesoscale products. The spread in ensembles is still insane at this time too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Funny how this whole thread may come full circle to having to discuss @Typhoon Tip and his global warming thesis. Now this topic is relevant where 1-2C temp anomalies greatly alter the specific outcomes at the margin. And a bunch of us are —curiously— at the margin...I know, I know, it’s still early December climo, which is far from “peak winter” for a chunk of SNE. But I can’t help but look at everything for my area and connect a NWS forecasted 4” snowfall for my back yard on December 5, with a near perfect track/storm bombing in the GOM where we should be talking feet. Ultimately I think this forecast busts low. But* the fact that less than 6” is a high probability at this hr is quite something, imo. Everything would make much more sense if the date was Nov 20, and not Dec 5th... Which I guess is all I’m trying to say... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Dam Hadley Cell. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 For those who like looking at such things: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6z euro is a nuke. maybe a little west, but juicier for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro is a nuke. maybe a little west, but juicier for sure. Keep those western ticks coming...would prefer the HRRR solution, but any accumulation at this point would be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Kevin to ORH into Monads and SNH are going to get smoked. Can tickle that to Ray too I think. I feel like BOS south will have some lift below the DGZ and will be tougher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now