Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2020 Author Share Posted December 4, 2020 Not personally impressed with the ICON performance but ... most models scoring C .. C- on this so it may get cut a break. ...save the Euro, which despite some recent cackling/street cred has been more consistent within acceptable error anyway this run may very well be the most impressive cinema to date bar none. ... sumilar to what Will was saying re the RG’ ... not sure I buy ICONic dynamics in CCB R++ rain ball without a more aggressive ptype conversion. It does eventually go over but pussy foots around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok, we can hold it right here. I'll take it. Or is it "We take". Did I do that right? Bruh - you're close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Ok, we can hold it right here. I'll take it. Or is it "We take". Did I do that right? Always refer to yourself in the plural in favorable outcomes, even if you live alone in a wilderness yurt. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: And it’s mostly rain. Yeah, same for you, while less than 40 miles to your NW they get a foot and a half, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Those weenie bell maps are so bad. Outside of far northern ORH and out west to the berks that was a pretty meh run. Certainly feasible....I think the GFS and Euro are the goal posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well.. I wouldn't say that. It puts a lot of central and northern Connecticut back in the game. And we are southern New England You have to understand when SEMA folk say SNE...they refer to the love triangle of Boston, Orh, Taunton. Everyone outside of there are considered new yorkers or canadians. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Max omega right in the DGZ around H55-H6. We pound. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It wasn't premature....we are 24 hours from the start with the mid level banding modeled in that area, regardless of what the SPED clown maps show. Given the low position at the time of the WSW call, the low was way too far east on all the major models, except the GFS. The NWS mets must have anticipated a westward shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sucking H2O It's all the same to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Yeah, same for you, while less than 40 miles to your NW they get a foot and a half, lol. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I'm sticking with 4-6" can look at it again tomorrow if trends west further.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, RDRY said: Given the low position at the time of the WSW call, the low was way too far east on all the major models, except the GFS. The NWS mets must have anticipated a westward shift. The NWS mets know how to interpret model data. You do not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 let him go ray lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: let him go ray lol I'll sick Wolfie on him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: We take. That is a sort of now cast . I could see the 800’ hill in neighboring Hollis see a foot while I end with 2” but man that’s close . MHT has warning snows for most of city and a foot one town W and N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You have to understand when SEMA folk say SNE...they refer to the love triangle of Boston, Orh, Taunton. Everyone outside of there are considered new yorkers or canadians. Lol.. That's funny because we consider you guys the lobsta pottas... The cape and the islands... But not SNE..lolol ( jk ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: That is a sort of now cast . I could see the 800’ hill in neighboring Hollis see a foot while I end with 2” but man that’s close . MHT has warning snows for most of city and a foot one town W and N Yeah we are really on the razor’s edge between plowable cement and some pity slush as the low pulls away. Gut says cement but it’s going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, RDRY said: Given the low position at the time of the WSW call, the low was way too far east on all the major models, except the GFS. The NWS mets must have anticipated a westward shift. still is only a watch, easily can be dropped to advisories, so they have plenty of wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The NWS mets know how to interpret model data. You do not. Obviously. Yet plenty on here also go by model output and even the pros were dubious of a western Mass hit this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Are models entering wobble mode now? Seems like we're going to be shifting east and west over the next 36 hours albeit in smaller increments as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 128-495 may very well get 4-8", but not if the GFS verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 So we’ve got 3 trends west (NAM, RGEM, and GFS...4 if we count icon) and 1 E at 00z (RPM) GFS def the west outlier at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2020 Author Share Posted December 4, 2020 Nah ... no way folks. The 850mb 0C isotherms regionally collapses E of Logan and the model holds heavy R type fall rates under deep UVM in the CCB ... that’s busting too warm ... column definitely implodes at the same cooling rate plumb to the surface there over interior eastern MA/N RI 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: So we’ve got 3 trends west (NAM, RGEM, and GFS...4 if we count icon) and 1 E at 00z (RPM) GFS def the west outlier at the moment. Yea, that is the left goal post....Euro east. I still like my First Call at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: So we’ve got 3 trends west (NAM, RGEM, and GFS...4 if we count icon) and 1 E at 00z (RPM) GFS def the west outlier at the moment. I thought RGEM was the furthest west going over the canal area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, RDRY said: Obviously. Yet plenty on here also go by model output and even the pros were dubious of a western Mass hit this afternoon. Well, let’s see what tomorrow looks like. I am still not sold on plowable snow out here. I would need to wake up to all of the models ticking back NW and amped to be more confident here. That being said, a bombing system between the BM and Chatham would certainly have some great ML magic for somebody west of the river.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: So we’ve got 3 trends west (NAM, RGEM, and GFS...4 if we count icon) and 1 E at 00z (RPM) GFS def the west outlier at the moment. canadian looks similar to GFS, maybe slightly east from what I can tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Nah ... no way folks. The 850mb 0C isotherms regionally collapses E of Logan and the model holds heavy R type fall rates under deep UVM in the CCB ... that’s busting too warm ... column definitely implodes at the same cooling rate plumb to the surface there over interior eastern MA/N RI Yea, I was wondering that, too......kind of RGEM type thermal issue. I was just interpreting verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Nah ... no way folks. The 850mb 0C isotherms regionally collapses E of Logan and the model holds heavy R type fall rates under deep UVM in the CCB ... that’s busting too warm ... column definitely implodes at the same cooling rate plumb to the surface there over interior eastern MA/N RI glad you said it, 925 also crashes at around 48 hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: I thought RGEM was the furthest west going over the canal area. Yeah maybe technically on the slp track but I’m looking aloft where it matters most for who gets snow and how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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