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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?


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13 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

What the hell is happening?

Meh, these are non-hydrostatic models that are producing some of these really ugly solutions. I haven’t seen this from any of the globals yet. 

NAM actually did tick slightly better from 18z. I know the rpm didn’t, but I’d want to see some higher end guidance before reading too much into it. 

I like non-hydrostatic models in these types of storms once we are close in, but sometimes they can go haywire when over 36h out. 

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6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z RGEM looked warm and wet.

It’s really struggling in the lower levels even though it has like 850 temps of -5C in the CCB lol. 

Kind of weird, but I’d think that would be pretty good for a lot of people who get under that CCB. That’s intense. 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It’s really struggling in the lower levels even though it has like 850 temps of -5C in the CCB lol. 

Kind of weird, but I’d think that would be pretty good for a lot of people who get under that CCB. That’s intense. 

-5c, ha, Yeah,  lol, I could only see the crappy maps with no upper air maps, So surface look only.

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