Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 40 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM is like a piece of chocolate-ya never know what you’re gonna get... Wonky wonk 300 mg bars 1 18mg at a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Sounds like my hope for a couple of ticks east went to far lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ughhhh where the hell is the 18z GFS? This past like year has been freaking awful with NCEP/NWS products. Horrific page loading issues, displaying previous maps, incorrect graphics, numerous issues with running models. HOW CAN THERE BE SO MANY ISSUES???? I can't stand technology...it's so great yet nothing but a piece of junk. then issues other places too...COD, had problems loading bufkit profiles from PSU...WTF IS GOING ON???????? FIX THINGS I might be way off base here, but doesn't the 18z gfs usually not start rolling in til 430ish. Maybe my sources are just slow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I am not worried about the ICON and the NAM, but weak/east/OTS has always been a major risk with this thing. It’s amazing how some here are . Like actually giving them any credence at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 What really gets me is how bad technology is with weather forecasting. It seems like they can't even get anything together even when the storm is within a few days. I just don't get how bad these models are. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s amazing how some here are . Like actually giving them any credence at all Maybe one run at 18z won’t be weak and way east. Every other one has been so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, radarman said: I might be way off base here, but doesn't the 18z gfs usually not start rolling in til 430ish. Maybe my sources are just slow? I could have swore it was like 3:45-4:00 but maybe it is 4:30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z ICON looks like it's decently further SE than it's 12z run. Less phased and a bit weaker. Still a hit for the immediate coast though and blows up in Maine. Houlton hammerer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you talking about the QPF charts, or mid level model depictions? if the mid levels trend east, and/or the system matures later, then yes.......but not because the QPF chart simply doesn't show big amounts. Models mainly resolve precipitation from low level forcing, but are not skilled with mid level deformation...vastly underdone. I don't see how any significant banding gets to western Mass on any recent model depiction outside the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Was going to tune the snow blower, maybe I should hold off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 GFS now out to 9 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: Houlton hammerer. New Sharon nuke? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, DavisStraight said: Was going to tune the snow blower, maybe I should hold off. I bought a snowmobile, snowblower, and snow plow this afternoon. Could that have something to do with this?? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: New Sharon nuke? You have congratulated different people west to east each day starting in upstate NY. Good lord please no more congrats. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I could have swore it was like 3:45-4:00 but maybe it is 4:30 430 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: You have congratulated different people west to east each day starting in upstate NY. Good lord please no more congrats. LOL Next stop, Charlie Tuna... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: About 5mg of love? I would love a little mid-level magic back here in NW MA but I am also fully mentally prepared for the shuffle east and cloudy skies. Yup...and 10mg if the going gets real tough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: 430 yup right on time! eh I'm always screwed up on time, date, day who the hell knows anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Feel like most decent storms over the years have one giant burp run at some point. Now usually its at the 72 hour mark not the 48 hour mark but I wouldn't worry a smidge until it's 2:30 AM and Crown bottles are being angrily thrown against walls and mutthhhaaaafukkkkkas are busting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, TheBudMan said: Feel like most decent storms over the years have one giant burp run at some point. Now usually its at the 72 hour mark not the 48 hour mark but I wouldn't worry a smidge until it's 2:30 AM and Crown bottles are being angrily thrown against walls and mutthhhaaaafukkkkkas are busting. GFS and Euro holding will calm the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Was going to tune the snow blower, maybe I should hold off. I just tested mine today. Probably the kiss of death. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 GFS nuking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: GFS nuking You have it past 42? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 GFS looks more wrapped up to me so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Somebody get phin off the ledge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Poundmetown it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Great look for throwing heavy snows well west past Runnaway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: GFS nuking nice dump.. everyone gets 4"+ on that run, interior NH/ME 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: You have it past 42? Phone view but out to 60. Keep the original destination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 seemed like more northern stream involvement from early on in the run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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