40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Pretty soon it will be congrats Down East Maine and NS if it keeps trending east I would not be surprised...feared that all along. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 FWIW, the GFS has not been trending east and is definitely worthy of a watch for western SNE and adjacent CNE, ENY , etc. The euro has been way west up to the last run. And toss the mesos for this event... JMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you talking about the QPF charts, or mid level model depictions? if the mid levels trend east, and/or the system matures later, then yes.......but not because the QPF chart simply doesn't show big amounts. Models mainly resolve precipitation from low level forcing, but are not skilled with mid level deformation...vastly underdone. Yep, best snow is often in the “fringe” zone just north and west of modeled best QPF. Usually a band parked there. Also other wildcards such as temps and terrain here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z RPM was out of Scooter's basement Keep them coming-every 3 hours-TYIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would not be surprised...feared that all along. That would be another awful performance by the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, radarman said: FWIW, the GFS has not been trending east and is definitely worth of a watch for western SNE and adjacent CNE, ENY , etc. The euro has been way west up to the last run. And toss the mesos for this event... JMO It made a great move for me at 12z. Hope it keeps it up so we can toss the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, radarman said: FWIW, the GFS has not been trending east and is definitely worth of a watch for western SNE and adjacent CNE, ENY , etc. The euro has been way west up to the last run. And toss the mesos for this event... JMO Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Whenever I eat chocolate, I know exactly what I will get. We told him a page or two back. He needs to watch. Forrest Gump just threw his dog tags out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z RPM was out of Scooter's basement Ewwww bye bye slide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I’d take the RPM and 3k NAM and run down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 18z ICON looks like it's decently further SE than it's 12z run. Less phased and a bit weaker. Still a hit for the immediate coast though and blows up in Maine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Reginald B Model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z ICON looks like it's decently further SE than it's 12z run. Less phased and a bit weaker. Still a hit for the immediate coast though. It’s way further east. It mixed me with rain at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Forrest Gump just threw his dog tags out the window. Ha. It was a bad metaphor to explain I know exactly who the nam is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I bet there some some NCEP issue going on. Don't see the GFS anywhere yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would not be surprised...feared that all along. Fingers crossed. Don't need a bunch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 If GFS goes weak/east, probably time to worry this thing is slipping away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: It’s way further east. It mixed me with rain at 12z. Yeah that's a big shift on the early 18z models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Off hour runs. Take with huge grain of salt 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Off hour runs. Take with huge grain of salt I am not worried about the ICON and the NAM, but weak/east/OTS has always been a major risk with this thing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Whenever I eat chocolate, I know exactly what I will get. About 5mg of love? I would love a little mid-level magic back here in NW MA but I am also fully mentally prepared for the shuffle east and cloudy skies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 So of this doesn’t nuke and it slides harmlessly out does that up the ante on 12/7-9 period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 ughhhh where the hell is the 18z GFS? This past like year has been freaking awful with NCEP/NWS products. Horrific page loading issues, displaying previous maps, incorrect graphics, numerous issues with running models. HOW CAN THERE BE SO MANY ISSUES???? I can't stand technology...it's so great yet nothing but a piece of junk. then issues other places too...COD, had problems loading bufkit profiles from PSU...WTF IS GOING ON???????? FIX THINGS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Off hour runs. Take with huge grain of salt I don’t think that is a thing anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 RGEM treats ME quite nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I feel like there was always more of an issue when things were way out to see that they started to tik back West. That seemed to happen so often where it would bring the Snows back into the SNE within a day of the storm hitting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I don’t think that is a thing anymore. It was cleared up yesterday. If the off-hour runs are good, then they are all equal skill. If they are bad runs, then they are not as good as the skill of the 00/12z cycles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 10 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It’s way further east. It mixed me with rain at 12z. Long gone East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: So of this doesn’t nuke and it slides harmlessly out does that up the ante on 12/7-9 period? I think we needed a lakes cutter for the next wave to work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Disaster unfolding folks. Now the RGEM cut way back. This isn’t just a burp. Hopefully 00z heads back the other way. GFS will be putrid I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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