dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Still some left in the tank too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:35 PM, weathafella said: This is trending. Gotta sleep tonight-may go straight through Chicago to Boston tomorrow to arrive out ahead of it. Expand You can't keep this older weenie down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3K NAM is like 50kts of wind driven paste. Nothing left standing. That was fun, we'll see what the big boy models do though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 a 2ft blizzard for Jeff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:36 PM, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM is like 50kts of wind driven paste. Nothing left standing. That was fun, we'll see what the big boy models do though. Expand Yeah 3km is a bit more wrapped up...better for the central interior folks than the 12km run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 The 3k NAM has a much better look here than the 12k. I noticed you guys don’t seem to use the 3k NAM as much? The Mets at LWX told us to basically use it exclusively over the 12k. We just hug the snowiest output of course. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:36 PM, CoastalWx said: 3K NAM is like 50kts of wind driven paste. Nothing left standing. That was fun, we'll see what the big boy models do though. Expand Exactly, I think we will see the Euro tic east some, GFS went west, The area outlined here may be a good zone when its all said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 In the 3km NAM we trust. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:32 PM, PhineasC said: That would be a gut punch scenario for me for sure. Expand This ones over for you and me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:31 PM, Bostonseminole said: man.. NAM for the win Expand That would be ski country for the loss though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:42 PM, greenmtnwx said: This ones over for you and me lol Expand Euro has been pretty consistent with a snowstorm for me. NAM at 00z missed me, crushed me at 06z, back to minor snows at 12z. Hard to have faith in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:41 PM, PhineasC said: The 3k NAM has a much better look here than the 12k. I noticed you guys don’t seem to use the 3k NAM as much? The Mets at LWX told us to basically use it exclusively over the 12k. We just hug the snowiest output of course. LOL Expand I use it. A tool, like anything else. Sometimes it's good with very dynamic systems, sometimes it can be a little wrapped up. It's good for meso things like CAD etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:41 PM, CT Rain said: In the 3km NAM we trust. Expand Slotty in TOl and WEHA deffy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I like using the 3km once we are inside of 24h. Sometimes it catches a trend before that, but hard to trust it further out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Slotty in TOl and WEHA deffy? Expand Even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:43 PM, PhineasC said: Euro has been pretty consistent with a snowstorm for me. NAM at 00z missed me, crushed me at 06z, back to minor snows at 12z. Hard to have faith in that. Expand Trending wrong way. GFS is the superior model right now in this regime. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:36 PM, dryslot said: Still some left in the tank too Expand I'd hit that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 TT has the cross sections. You can see PV from what looks to be a possible trop fold and low level PV close to the low center from WAA and latent heat release. A recipe for bombing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:43 PM, CoastalWx said: I use it. A tool, like anything else. Sometimes it's good with very dynamic systems, sometimes it can be a little wrapped up. It's good for meso things like CAD etc. Expand Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better. Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:46 PM, PhineasC said: Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better. Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath. Expand Yeah, It was just getting here at hr60, I think you end up being fine, At least we will have a few more folks to talk to when its ripping here and folks south are done, Usually i talk to myself, ha ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:46 PM, PhineasC said: Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better. Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath. Expand I think you are in a good spot. I feel like this system is a classic look for going west of the QPF max/gradient for good snows...esp up that way when the mid level lows mature more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Won’t you take me to funky town.. won’t you take me to pound town 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:28 PM, PhineasC said: Total weenie run for you guys. Expand Get used to this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:46 PM, PhineasC said: Make sense. If the 3k ran a few more panels I think it would show the same big totals up here the 12k 06z had. So I feel better. Hope the GFS helps clear things up, not holding my breath. Expand If the Euro betrays you , i would hide all the women and children in town. (like 12 ppl) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 3, 2020 Author Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah 3km is a bit more wrapped up...better for the central interior folks than the 12km run. Expand That salmon there ... I almost see that as snow with bullets embedded and occasional lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:48 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: If the Euro betrays you , i would hide all the women and children in town. Expand Everyone in Coos is already hiding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:49 PM, Typhoon Tip said: That salmon there ... I almost see that as snow with bullets embedded and occasional lightning Expand So, I'm a little confused with something. What's the difference of the 3 km Nam model run as opposed to the regular 12z run? My thinking is the Euro will come east a little bit more I still see snow in North central Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:47 PM, dryslot said: Yeah, It was just getting here at hr60, I think you end up being fine, At least we will have a few more folks to talk to when its ripping here and folks south are done, Usually i talk to myself, ha ha Expand I’ve realized that about Vermont and here in many events. They are sometimes snowing for hours before I see much. LOL that’s a lot of @powderfreak and J. Spin obs to endure while waiting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 NAM gives me an inch up north, but 15+ in Lowell, ECMWF 15+ and inch in Lowell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 2:45 PM, Lava Rock said: I'd hit that. Expand Run straight out of my basement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now