DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:05 AM, dryslot said: Expand did u see the euro sounding? they in no way support BOS getting 10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:04 AM, wxsniss said: One reason for bigger totals in eastern SNE is slower exit Expand Slower is definitely better for BOS area. Gives them a couple extra hours to get smoked by the CCB as it collapses east. Obviously the clown maps are overdone, but the rates between 18z and 00z are going to be crazy. Can’t discount some pretty good snow after 00z for far E and NE MA too. A lot of guidance is starting to show that hanging tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:02 AM, wxsniss said: Expand Congrats to you Boston guys hopefully as you leap a light year ahead of NYC in snowfall. Such a cringer down this way and what could've been. We get the same banding and dynamics but a few degrees too warm so it's just rain or catpaws. Complete feast or famine these years here it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 This has to be the biggest throwback thread we’ve ever seen. Mid-Atlantic posters, Ekster, DT.....LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 0z saturday euro sounding ar 7pm sat has BOST at 37 Td 34... thats NOT snow at 30 hrs Temp is 34 Td is 28 and its about to END Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Also the dryslot issues 18z-0z seen on earlier runs are gone... 18z and 0z shown here: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Yeah, much nicer looking run to me at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:09 AM, jm1220 said: Congrats to you Boston guys hopefully as you leap a light year ahead of NYC in snowfall. Such a cringer down this way and what could've been. We get the same banding and dynamics but a few degrees too warm so it's just rain or catpaws. Complete feast or famine these years here it seems. Expand JM BSOTON SNOW MAPS from all sources are going to BUST IF ...IF... IF.,.. these sounding are right if Boston at 7- 8 pm sat is 37 dew point 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:11 AM, DTWXRISK said: JM BSOTON SNOW MAPS from all sources are going to BUST IF ...IF... IF.,.. these sounding are right if Boston at 7- 8 pm sat is 37 dew point 36 Expand Zero percent chance BOS is raining at 7pm tmrw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 0z Euro snowmap 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:00 AM, wxsniss said: Crushing into BOS metro on 0z Euro Jerry will like this at his next pee stop Expand no one looks at the EURO or 0 NAM soundings DANGER WILL WEENIE ROBINSON DANGER 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:13 AM, DotRat_Wx said: Zero percent chance BOS is raining at 7pm tmrw Expand But is the snow accumulating on pavement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:13 AM, MJO812 said: 0z Euro snowmap Expand I DONT love the SV graphics that much BUT at least they are realistic and not full of 100% ruyan maue Joe bustardi dog shit snow weenie jerk off as if I am looking at dirty pictures snow maps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:11 AM, PhineasC said: Yeah, much nicer looking run to me at least. Expand A tic or two colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:11 AM, DTWXRISK said: JM BSOTON SNOW MAPS from all sources are going to BUST IF ...IF... IF.,.. these sounding are right if Boston at 7- 8 pm sat is 37 dew point 36 Expand If there's a wicked CCB band through much of SNE east of I-91 still, anyone Rt 128 and west is snowing like crazy and the winds at Logan turn N, that's all I need to know especially with the trend toward slowing down. Maybe I'm totally wrong, I'm an outsider but seen many of these type of storms. That gets even Logan to 6+ maybe even 8+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:11 AM, DTWXRISK said: JM BSOTON SNOW MAPS from all sources are going to BUST IF ...IF... IF.,.. these sounding are right if Boston at 7- 8 pm sat is 37 dew point 36 Expand The 10 to 1 maps are def wrong for BOS. I don’t think the lowest 1500-2000 feet of the 00z sounding looks realistic though for BOS at 00z. It has extremely heavy precip over them but a steep low level lapse rate despite N/NW wind. That should prob be like 32-33F paste. My guess would be BOS gets several sloppy/pasty inches if the euro came to fruition (and adjusting for the lowest 2k feet) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:14 AM, DTWXRISK said: CORRECT Expand I'm a big weenie and I have been burned many times by using the WXbell snow maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:13 AM, DTWXRISK said: no one looks at the EURO or 0 NAM soundings DANGER WILL WEENIE ROBINSON DANGER Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:14 AM, jm1220 said: If there's a wicked CCB band through much of SNE east of I-91 still, anyone Rt 128 and west is snowing like crazy and the winds at Logan turn N, that's all I need to know especially with the trend toward slowing down. Maybe I'm totally wrong, I'm an outsider but seen many of these type of storms. That gets even Logan to 6+ maybe even 8+. Expand yes west boston 100% DIFFERENT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:13 AM, DTWXRISK said: no one looks at the EURO or 0 NAM soundings DANGER WILL WEENIE ROBINSON DANGER Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:14 AM, jm1220 said: If there's a wicked CCB band through much of SNE east of I-91 still, anyone Rt 128 and west is snowing like crazy and the winds at Logan turn N, that's all I need to know especially with the trend toward slowing down. Maybe I'm totally wrong, I'm an outsider but seen many of these type of storms. That gets even Logan to 6+ maybe even 8+. Expand Boston is in the upper 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:13 AM, MJO812 said: 0z Euro snowmap Expand That only has lewiston maine getting 3”. I’d be fairly shocked if it was that low. The only way i can see that happening if we warm sectored aloft and the banding stayed to the west then dissipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:15 AM, ORH_wxman said: The 10 to 1 maps are def wrong for BOS. I don’t think the lowest 1500-2000 feet of the 00z sounding looks realistic though for BOS at 00z. It has extremely heavy precip over them but a steep low level lapse rate despite N/NW wind. That should prob be like 32-33F paste. My guess would be BOS gets several sloppy/pasty inches if the euro came to fruition (and adjusting for the lowest 2k feet) Expand VERY POSSIBLE.... the reason why i said if the EURO NAM soundings are correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:07 AM, ORH_wxman said: Slower is definitely better for BOS area. Gives them a couple extra hours to get smoked by the CCB as it collapses east. Obviously the clown maps are overdone, but the rates between 18z and 00z are going to be crazy. Can’t discount some pretty good snow after 00z for far E and NE MA too. A lot of guidance is starting to show that hanging tough. Expand Agree, the literal clown maps aren't happening with this antecedent airmass (unless of course this continues to trend east / slower exit). But I'm increasingly confident in 3-6" for Boston metro. Was also thinking earlier about Ray's map that northeast MA could be underdone if exit is prolonged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:17 AM, Arnold214 said: That only has lewiston maine getting 3”. I’d be fairly shocked if it was that low. The only way i can see that happening if we warm sectored aloft and the banding stayed to the west then dissipated. Expand I’ll also take the over on ORH at 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:17 AM, MJO812 said: Boston is in the upper 30s Expand We'll see what happens. Logan somehow picked up over 4" in Oct, they can cash in this time. I have faith in whoever measures there lol. It'll be an exciting storm however it ends up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 A lot of interesting things are bound to happen tomorrow. Some people are going to stay rain longer than thought and some will go over to snow quicker. I’m just watching run after run of the HRRR to find continuity and so far it seems to be alright. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:09 AM, ORH_wxman said: This has to be the biggest throwback thread we’ve ever seen. Mid-Atlantic posters, Ekster, DT.....LOL. Expand I was thinking the same...its like circa 2007 tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 6:14 AM, dryslot said: A tic or two colder. Expand It got more precip up here based on looking at tiny graphics on my phone at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Hopefully this system can haul ass so next week system can gain lattitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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