RDRY Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Damn precip shield is like a hurricane. 982 on the Cape, and not a flake at the NY/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That said...it def makes for some anxious model runs when you are on the line. ...And when you spent money and drove 6 hours to watch heavy snow haha. I feel like I’ll do fine out here, but I really came up to get into that almost hurricane curved precip band showing up on the data. We’ll see...btw It was pretty interesting feeling the temp difference as I drove NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 27 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Oh my I am disbelieving yet so, so tantalized... like an exotic spice Yeah, not taking the bait down here. Told my bro in Berlin, Mass. to gas up the blower and the genny, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That NAM clown map has me at 15 inches lol..cut 50% off and I’d be happy. Just 1 town north of you. Temp was 58 today. Now its 45 and cooling off quick. I'll take 7.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 I wish we had more Dec 03 events. It’s so hard to get areas from Mt Greylock to the canal a good hit. Never mind jacks, it’s just more fun when you have a large area involved. Nemo would work too lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t do it WCT boys, don’t you dare. Oh I’m not doing it...just looked at the map Ryan posted which buried me, and the weatherbell map was the same. Like I said...I’ll take half that and be surprised/pleased. Figuring 3 inches here at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Whoever gets the goods under that trowel pivot point is going to exceed any amount shown on any map. BOMBS AWAY 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I wish we had more Dec 03 events. It’s so hard to get areas from Mt Greylock to the canal a good hit. Never mind jacks, it’s just more fun when you have a large area involved. Nemo would work too lol. Dec 03 clobbered BTV to the canal...screwed the shit outta me, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Just 1 town north of you. Temp was 58 today. Now its 45 and cooling off quick. I'll take 7.5" Oh ya I know where you are pal. That NAM clown buried us...but not buying that at all. I was gonna tell you yesterday that CTrain was Ryan, but figured you knew lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2020 Author Share Posted December 5, 2020 Oh I see It’s slowed the exit by 4 to 6 hrs CCB curl pounds us for nother 6” Good Christ. No power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dec 03 clobbered BTV to the canal...screwed the shit outta me, though. I know there’s always nuances, just would be fun to get a widespread deal. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wish we had more Dec 03 events. It’s so hard to get areas from Mt Greylock to the canal a good hit. Never mind jacks, it’s just more fun when you have a large area involved. Nemo would work too lol. Both were very nice events down here too. Dec 2003 ended up well over a foot for much of Long Island (about 12” NYC iirc), and Nemo was up to 30” in the death band that came down from CT (also about 12” in NYC). We would be absolutely wrecked down here from this storm with a 5-8 degree cooler airmass, perfect track and we should get enhanced precip but unfortunately cold rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Both were very nice events down here too. Dec 2003 ended up well over a foot for much of Long Island (about 12” NYC iirc), and Nemo was up to 30” in the death band that came down from CT (also about 12” in NYC). We would be absolutely wrecked down here from this storm with a 5-8 degree cooler airmass, perfect track and we should get enhanced precip but unfortunately cold rain. I was living in Ledyard ct for that 2003 storm. We kinda got dry slotted, ended up with 8 inches. Not exactly a screw zone but I digress as it seemed like everyone else in every direction got more. I was 19 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wish we had more Dec 03 events. It’s so hard to get areas from Mt Greylock to the canal a good hit. Never mind jacks, it’s just more fun when you have a large area involved. Nemo would work too lol. Isn’t it kind of weird how TWCs idea of naming winter storms actually worked for that one. When someone brings up that event I don’t remember what day it was just that it’s NEMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 @ORH_wxman @CoastalWx @Typhoon Tip Why do you guys think that its slowing down so much...is it the developing NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: I was living in Ledyard ct for that 2003 storm. We kinda got dry slotted, ended up with 8 inches. Not exactly a screw zone but I digress. I was 19 years old. I had 12" with 39" like 12 mi to my east lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 15 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: ...And when you spent money and drove 6 hours to watch heavy snow haha. I feel like I’ll do fine out here, but I really came up to get into that almost hurricane curved precip band showing up on the data. We’ll see...btw It was pretty interesting feeling the temp difference as I drove NE. Well if the data goes sour for the rest of 00z, can you still change it? You got all wheel drive on that sucker or at least front wheel drive? You can always chase the band during late afternoon and early evening and then trek back to the hotel later if it looks like the best is east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 The HRRR was upgraded recently right? Are you guys trusting it? I have always known it to run kinda warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Isn’t it kind of weird how TWCs idea of naming winter storms actually worked for that one. When someone brings up that event I don’t remember what day it was just that it’s NEMO. It’s literally the only storm name I can remember for a specific storm where I go “Nemo = Feb 2013”. I couldn’t tell you any others...I think Juno may have been Jan 2015 blizzard, but I always thought naming all those was so dumb. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 7 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I was living in Ledyard ct for that 2003 storm. We kinda got dry slotted, ended up with 8 inches. Not exactly a screw zone but I digress as it seemed like everyone else in every direction got more. I was 19 years old. I remember it being quite bandy down here from the second part of the storm. The first overrunning part on 12/5 was supposed to be rain/snow here but was all snow with the R/S line stuck near Philly, so we had a 6-7” head start going into the coastal low part 2. Some areas outside the bands ended up with 10-12” here others with 20”+ in the bands. 12/26/10 was another example of this which I know is a curse/fighting words in this sub forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well if the data goes sour for the rest of 00z, can you still change it? You got all wheel drive on that sucker or at least front wheel drive? You can always chase the band during late afternoon and early evening and then trek back to the hotel later if it looks like the best is east. Yes. I really need to see all the models do it and then also tick east at 6z and I’ll find a spot where you said. I drive 09 eclipse it’s front wheel drive but isn’t great in the snow obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: @ORH_wxman @CoastalWx @Typhoon Tip Why do you guys think that its slowing down so much...is it the developing NAO? I think it might be more the nuances of how this is being captured. Sometimes models are a little too progressive with these. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think it might be more the nuances of how this is being captured. Sometimes models are a little too progressive with these. Yea, that was my other guess...funny, often they trend more progressively at the last moment. This could cause it to be occluded for N ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdazed Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 *wakes up* Huh. Looks like 3-5" hereabouts. Good thing I don't have to drive anywhere anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh I see It’s slowed the exit by 4 to 6 hrs CCB curl pounds us for nother 6” Good Christ. No power Oh ya! I told one of my best friends in Westford to be prepared for a paste job with no power. He's in the woods on a little lake house surrounded by massive pines as well...if not for Covid I'd be asking him to stay the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think it might be more the nuances of how this is being captured. Sometimes models are a little too progressive with these. Yeah it’s causing it to close off more at H5 and that tends to slow it down a little bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: @ORH_wxman @CoastalWx @Typhoon Tip Why do you guys think that its slowing down so much...is it the developing NAO? The LP is deepening more than earlier runs have suggested which could be one of the reasons it has slowed down its progressive motion. It's also slightly further south, a bit more removed from "stronger" upper level flow. Could be a myriad of different reasons but those are two that have stuck out to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2020 Author Share Posted December 5, 2020 I’d have to analyze the bigger scope. I’ll look at the NAO aspect in the morning. It could impose but I suspect it’s nuances in capturing. Closing lows tend to correct slower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Colder than forecast here. 33 here now and maybe that means quicker changeover in the am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 RGEM is still a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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