powderfreak Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: It looked like it didn’t quite curl in as much as previous runs. The Euro had the same “exit stage right” look as it gained latitude. Ending up under Eastport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It looked like it didn’t quite curl in as much as previous runs. The curl is crucial for eastern areas, if it doesn’t, it’ll allow the cold to feed in earlier and change the rain over snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: I’ve arrived to Henniker...I’m almost tempted to eat the money and head East lol....nah anything can happen and I’m not rich. I’m happy with 8 or 9, but hopeful for a foot plus obviously. You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look.You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 3km. Southern Maine crowd looking real good now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 NAM gets Advisory snows right down to the canal now... slows just enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look.You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look. Yeah if all the models follow suite and the 6z NAM continues I just might consider it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Pretty easy to find the H7 axis of dilatation just as the heaviest rates move in here. 0.50” QPF here in the 3hrs following this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The band sig was near Ryan and Kevin into ORH county and SNH. Than sort of reformed east. I feel like it still looks good on the NAM back this way. Real nice 700mb front/TROWAL action through central CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Well, on the Kuchera maps I went from like 30" to 23" to 17" in the last three NAM runs. Hope this is it for the "tics." 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 It really slows down in the GOM as it gets captured at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, CT Rain said: I feel like it still looks good on the NAM back this way. Real nice 700mb front/TROWAL action through central CT. Oh yeah. It just rotted there for awhile. That area looked great on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Yeah if all the models follow suite and the 6z NAM continues I just might consider it If you head east, Dover nh is a cool town 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Oh yeah. It just rotted there for awhile. That area looked great on the NAM. Yeah sort of riding the QPF gradient here on the models but that's where the best mid level/dgz sig is. Pretty good look. Guess we'll have to watch for a shift to NW winds at BDL and a downslope special for ineednsow at the BDL crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 15 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: God that would be torture down here. Oh so close. Just a nam clown at the 10:1 which we’ll never see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Yeah sort of riding the QPF gradient here on the models but that's where the best mid level/dgz sig is. Pretty good look. Guess we'll have to watch for a shift to NW winds at BDL and a downslope special for ineednsow at the BDL crew. Seeing the same things up here. I still feel pretty good with the midlevel look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Nam works for here— Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just a nam clown at the 10:1 which we’ll never see. That NAM clown map has me at 15 inches lol..cut 50% off and I’d be happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just a nam clown at the 10:1 which we’ll never see. 10 flakes might even be pushing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: If you head east, Dover nh is a cool town I told him to stay near the Derry/MHT line but he didn’t listen. I tried to tell him.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That NAM clown map has me at 15 inches lol..cut 50% off and I’d be happy. 9.5 on the other side of town, 6 here, 0 at the NY border....would be a fun drive up 84 if that were to occur 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I told him to stay near the Derry/MHT line but he didn’t listen. I tried to tell him.... Lol I couldn’t decide and went with safety with temps and elevation a bit, but how did I not listen to the master. I still can! Gonna get some sleep now, wake up and see how the 00z/6z runs look and maybe a get an early morning truck East if I need to 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Don’t do it WCT boys, don’t you dare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 I’ve been staring at the 00z HRRR loop like a cat stares at a feather duster on the top of the fridge. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 17 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I feel like it still looks good on the NAM back this way. Real nice 700mb front/TROWAL action through central CT. The NAM is showing quite a bit of snow here in Hartford county. Is this going to be done by 5..or more like 7 in our area ( I'm seeing around 9 ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Lol I couldn’t decide and went with safety with temps and elevation a bit, but how did I not listen to the master. I still can! Haha...I’m just bustin’...Henniker is still prob in a good spot. The elevation could help quite a bit. It’s not always bad to be right on the northwest edge of the heavy stuff on models...in reality you often end up in the ML fronto-deformation 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: THe slower solutions have been a theme all day today. I wonder if it's because of the developing NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Haha...I’m just bustin’...Henniker is still prob in a good spot. The elevation could help quite a bit. It’s not always bad to be right on the northwest edge of the heavy stuff on models...in reality you often end up in the ML fronto-deformation In MD, we call it the "Westminster Death Band" because it is always over Westminster, MD no matter where models show the best precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Haha...I’m just bustin’...Henniker is still prob in a good spot. The elevation could help quite a bit. It’s not always bad to be right on the northwest edge of the heavy stuff on models...in reality you often end up in the ML fronto-deformation That said...it def makes for some anxious model runs when you are on the line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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