Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 43 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Sort of out on a limb here but here's our forecast. Wish me luck. Ryan!!!!!! You sneaky devil you. I didn't realize tray was you. Question, I am at about 450' on Rattlesnake mountain. I know from your map I am in the 3-6 range. Is my elevation enough to get me towarss the higher end of those numbers? Anyway, just wanted to thank you again for your forecasts. You are my favorite MET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Is this what you guys call the “messenger shuffle”? Yeah the 24 hours left and they start slowly moving east a few miles at a time lol. It seems like 10 storms tick east for every 1 storm that ticks west in the final 24 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 wxsniss that's a cool feature. Haven't seen that before and i looked at their "winter weather page today" > is that where it's located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Some NWS maps in case you missed them For Boston metro, flipping an hour sooner/exiting an hour later would be how we can get to 4”+ Some things to watch at 0z, and there was a hint of slower exit on some guidance today That's no ending timer to seems kind of early for the Hartford area. At least from what I am seeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Its getting snow right to the coast now. Yup.... I think it’s definitely going to flip here... just a matter of if it’s sloppy coating or more. The euro gets us into the CCB for a bit and it doesn’t lift out as fast as other models, hence the 6-10” amounts even down here. I mean... lob of 30-40% if you want for the clowns.. that’s still high end advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Yeah the 24 hours left and they start slowly moving east a few miles at a time lol. It seems like 10 storms tick east for every 1 storm that ticks west in the final 24 hours. so , only 3 more runs of ticks lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Still 12-15 here so basically the same as 12z. But others further west are getting slowly bled to death on this so one weenie on a rowboat in the ocean can get chillier rain. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 RIP Messenger Clinch Cweat Scott 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Looks the same. Qpf queens queening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just saw NAm lol. 20”+ from here northeast Kevin never changes. Have a chance of a flake, and turns into a 3-6 Chance. INSTEAD of being happy with a surprise 3-6 chance, he says this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Still 12-15 here so basically the same as 12z. But others further west are getting slowly bled to death on this so one weenie on a rowboat in the ocean can get chillier rain. Are you looking at Kuchara or something? BML went from 13.5” to 7.5”. That was a decent little shift. We went from 1.8” to 0.6” . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Best run yet here... ticked east and slowed a bit... just as we discussed earlier 15" of 8:1 is going to be a bitch to shovel and snowblow. Lots of heart attacks coming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: wxsniss that's a cool feature. Haven't seen that before and i looked at their "winter weather page today" > is that where it's located? I saw it on boston.com lol... originally posted on their twitter. Yeah I think I've seen it 1 or 2 times before, so I don't think it's generated for most storms. And obviously not written in stone. Will be a fun afternoon nowcasting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 21 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Is this what you guys call the “messenger shuffle”? Yeah but it’s not official until the Mesoscale models start taking 30-50mi jumps East right up to go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nice calls. Back pats... I am slowly starting to lose interest in this whole thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah but it’s not official until the Mesoscale models start taking 30-50mi jumps East right up to go time. So this 18z euro was an appetizer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 22 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Best run yet here... ticked east and slowed a bit... just as we discussed earlier 15" of 8:1 is going to be a bitch to shovel and snowblow. Lots of heart attacks coming Your bit of elevation there may make a difference too... be interesting to see if there’s a low level gradient to the snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I am slowly starting to lose interest in this whole thing. Soon the 0z NAM will be giving us the odds for bridge jumping tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Interior se mass after that euro run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Soon the 0z NAM will be giving us the odds for bridge jumping tomorrow. In SNE the eastern and western screw zone potential is pretty big. I thing Worcester Co. up through Central Maine is golden and pretty much has been since Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Are you looking at Kuchara or something? BML went from 13.5” to 7.5”. That was a decent little shift. We went from 1.8” to 0.6” . I don't have access to the 18z Euro maps, but the 12z Euro had 17" at my exact lat/long. Just eyeballing the 18z map it looked just a little lower (different color scale from Pivotal). Anyway, too much parsing of one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 20 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup.... I think it’s definitely going to flip here... just a matter of if it’s sloppy coating or more. The euro gets us into the CCB for a bit and it doesn’t lift out as fast as other models, hence the 6-10” amounts even down here. I mean... lob of 30-40% if you want for the clowns.. that’s still high end advisory You could see on some of the model runs the last 2 days that when the SLP got to the cape, It slowed some tracking thru the GOM into DE Maine or the Bay of Fundy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: In SNE the eastern and western screw zone potential is pretty big. I thing Worcester Co. up through Central Maine is golden and pretty much has been since Tuesday night. You got some strong Wood for N Orh county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 37 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: RIP Messenger Clinch Cweat Scott I still have a couple of his PM's saved.......... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 41 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I think you're over-zealous for NL-GON. 0-1 verifies at 0... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: In SNE the eastern and western screw zone potential is pretty big. I thing Worcester Co. up through Central Maine is golden and pretty much has been since Tuesday night. Enjoy your 6-8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 19 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 32 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Best run yet here... ticked east and slowed a bit... just as we discussed earlier 15" of 8:1 is going to be a bitch to shovel and snowblow. Lots of heart attacks coming Dont make me have to come up there and show you how to shovel heavy wet snow! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You got some strong Wood for N Orh county How often do they miss out? It’s more angst than wood. LOL. I live 25 minutes from Berkshire East and 40 from Mount Snow and have been amazed over the past 10 years how much better central mass does than southern Vermont or the Berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 26 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Still 12-15 here so basically the same as 12z. But others further west are getting slowly bled to death on this so one weenie on a rowboat in the ocean can get chillier rain. I wouldn’t worry much there on small ticks given your orographically favorable location on coastals. If I was west of the whites like over toward Littleton I would probably start sweating the ticks east more. It’s easier for them to go from like 12” to 3” than your area since they rely on the midlevels a lot more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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