Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'm wondering if they will extend the Winter Storm Watch into Hartford County as well. I'm just west of West Hartford on the Farmington Plainville line on top of a hill about 450 feet high. What if that will make some difference Certainly should be one there. BOX pays CT zones very little mind you’ll learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, subdude said: In for 30-36" lmao That was two systems, the second system put down 15-20" of that which fell the second night (and only 3-4" was forecasted and we grabbed 18"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 18z NAM a hair colder than 12z for eastern SNE folks Huge hit for northeast CT-central MA-on northeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, bobbutts said: came here just to post the clown map from 12z. Obviously I'm all in on this solution. is 18z similar? Can’t do better than 12z for some lol but it looks stout again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 NAM crush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Shellacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Oh baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 . I’m suppose to work till noon , the drive back to ASH on NAM would be trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, Bobbydoppler said: Hi all. Long time lurker, first time poster. Is this storm in any way similar to any of the storms we had back in early March of '18? Seems that way to me with the snow, wind, rain component, power outage likelihood, and coming on the heels of a storm not 5 days prior. Welcome....I don't think this is too similar to the Mar '18 storms....maybe the closest match would have been the Mar 7-8 storm which had all the power outages. But this storm is going to be even warmer at the onset, so there's going to be a long period of rain before any changeover....esp in SE MA. If you are in upper SE MA like near Foxoborough, you'll change over a bit earlier than everyone else down there and could grab several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 18z NAM a hair colder than 12z for eastern SNE folks Huge hit for northeast CT-central MA-on northeast BOS gets a nice bone thrown to it around 5-9pm....pretty intense stinger on the CCB. This run slows down a little vs 12z as its tracking across the Cape and northeast which helps the CCB really go to town over E MA than some of the other guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 18z Nam blows a hole in the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 So the 03km NAM Kuchera gives me 8", and the 12k gives me 15" WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Welcome....I don't think this is too similar to the Mar '18 storms....maybe the closest match would have been the Mar 7-8 storm which had all the power outages. But this storm is going to be even warmer at the onset, so there's going to be a long period of rain before any changeover....esp in SE MA. If you are in upper SE MA like near Foxoborough, you'll change over a bit earlier than everyone else down there and could grab several inches. That one was pasty as heck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Clown maps should look a little more realistic than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: BOS gets a nice bone thrown to it around 5-9pm....pretty intense stinger on the CCB. This run slows down a little vs 12z as its tracking across the Cape and northeast which helps the CCB really go to town over E MA than some of the other guidance. a bit of good news 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: BOS gets a nice bone thrown to it around 5-9pm....pretty intense stinger on the CCB. This run slows down a little vs 12z as its tracking across the Cape and northeast which helps the CCB really go to town over E MA than some of the other guidance. You look for that cross hair between -12 and -18, correct? Does anyone have EURO Bufkit for KLWM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Congrats Scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 NAM cut me back from 30” to 20” Storm cancel! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Clown maps should look a little more realistic than 12z. Still looks like a stupid good solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So the 03km NAM Kuchera gives me 8", and the 12k gives me 15" WTF Probably how they are accumulating snow. Hourly accumulation on the 3km can time down those changeovers, while the 12km 3 hour chunk will average and can dump a lot of snow where it doesn't necessarily belong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: That one was pasty as heck This one might be even worse paste....the only question is if you get as much snow as that one....it's not implausible 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So the 03km NAM Kuchera gives me 8", and the 12k gives me 15" WTF It's a huge weenie run for you...you get hammered by the CCB/deform in the evening as it slows down in the Gulf of Maine just NE of the Cape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 These tics make a big difference for Bos metro area coast-128-495... from this NAM run anticipating a changeover somewhere 3-6pm, and an hour here or there will make a difference under those heavy rates Nice to see 18z NAM tic colder Also I think18z NAM slows down the exit a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Hot Diggity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Still looks like a stupid good solution. Oh yeah, it’s great. Just less over the top than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You look for that cross hair between -12 and -18, correct? Does anyone have EURO Bufkit for KLWM? Yeah, that's prime, but we can do better locally because our primary ice nucleus is sea salt. I tend to just expand it to -10 to -20 as a proxy, if it's low level junk even as warm as -6 to -8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: Probably how they are accumulating snow. Hourly accumulation on the 3km can time down those changeovers, while the 12km 3 hour chunk will average and can dump a lot of snow where it doesn't necessarily belong. Figured 3km was more reasonable....has me in a little screw hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The GOME, where magic happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 51 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 18z HRRR... yikes. That's a crusher back here. All of ct? Holding onto hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You look for that cross hair between -12 and -18, correct? Does anyone have EURO Bufkit for KLWM? Yeah....on the 3km NAM, you are close but just below the crosshair.....the bars on the left are omega. I marked max omega with an "x" and then you match it up with the temp profile to the right....you can see it's just below the bext SGZ, but it's still like -10C so that's gonna be pretty decent,....and you still have good lift above the max lift region. Ideally the max lift would be a touch higher, but that will still be pretty solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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