OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Same for LWM, probably... Expand Yes, but more wiggle room than BOS. You've done the dance before, so you could stay just on the good side a la the Euro vs. the GFS. On 12/4/2020 at 7:27 PM, CT Rain said: 18z HRRR... yikes. That's a crusher back here. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:23 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I would think as a forecaster you’re better off busting low than high. Like if an area gets 10” but was forecasted for 4-6”, nobody is really butthurt about it. But if you go 8-10” and they get 2”, it’s a problem. Expand ehh I don't know about that. I think it really depends. Certainly from a preparation standpoint getting 8-10'' if only like 2 was forecast presents big problems with if like 8-10'' was forecast and 4-6'' fell...people start crying hype and "oh we didn't get as much as they said we would" "we never do" and blah blah blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Not sure about heavy, but the chance is there. It just comes down to banding and dynamics. Expand Guess we’ll see... could end us flakes... or maybe we catch a band late and grab 3-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 HRRR also brings gusts 50+ across RI and SE MA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Definitely some snow map porn getting tossed out by the H triple R. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12z EURO def. looks like it ticked west to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:32 PM, weatherwiz said: HRRR also brings gusts 50+ across RI and SE MA Expand And a fair amount of pingers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:34 PM, friedmators said: And a fair amount of pingers Expand yeah def some sleet involved too...HRRR actually throwing up some 40-50+ dbz echos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 the 18z HRRR sure does put western sections back into the game....hopefully it has a clue with the new upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Hi folks... tough, tough, forecast. Hoping for some accumulation, but hanging on by one singular pube. Might I go out and mow my grass down to the dirt ala ‘berg to realize fully the potential of this event in south central CT? Hold my beer...”honey just stepping out to grab some gas for the lawn mower” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobbydoppler Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Hi all. Long time lurker, first time poster. Is this storm in any way similar to any of the storms we had back in early March of '18? Seems that way to me with the snow, wind, rain component, power outage likelihood, and coming on the heels of a storm not 5 days prior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:26 PM, Whineminster said: I've never found snow storms to be much of an issue for power, except the October 2011 job. As long as leaves are off the trees it's really not a big deal. Expand I had 2 cement storms take out power in 2 years. Tree started snapping at 6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z EURO def. looks like it ticked west to me. Expand I thought so too but others say it’s just noise. Also looked a little more wound up to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 18z HRRR is a thing of beauty. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:43 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I thought so too but others say it’s just noise. Also looked a little more wound up to me. Expand Yea, it will be noisy when may laptop goes through patio window. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Just admire this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Expand I'm wondering if they will extend the Winter Storm Watch into Hartford County as well. I'm just west of West Hartford on the Farmington Plainville line on top of a hill about 450 feet high. What if that will make some difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 6:11 PM, Bobby Orr said: Is this event similar to 12/3 2019 Expand In for 30-36" lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:47 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Just admire this. Expand James is going to get sucked into the stratosphere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 BTV has expanded WSW for all of the NEK and added WWA to eastern and central VT. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ012&warncounty=VTC027&firewxzone=VTZ012&local_place1=West Norwich VT&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=43.7543&lon=-72.3728#.X8qS9thKhPY Including Stowe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Someone is going to be seeing 2-4"/hr type stuff if that HRRR run pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 should note the HRRR has been extremely consistent. I wish more than just the 4 main times would run to 48 but started monitoring it with 18z run yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:55 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Someone is going to be seeing 2-4"/hr type stuff if that HRRR run pans out. Expand Kevin to Jeff line and everyone in between. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Oh boy...nammy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 HRRR though does keep the most impressive lift just below the DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:59 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oh boy...nammy. Expand came here just to post the clown map from 12z. Obviously I'm all in on this solution. is 18z similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 NAM is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 NAM looks similar to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 7:26 PM, Whineminster said: I've never found snow storms to be much of an issue for power, except the October 2011 job. As long as leaves are off the trees it's really not a big deal. Expand Drunk? I lost power for 3 days due to a heavy wet snow storm the night before thanksgiving 5 or 6 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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