weathafella Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 1:47 AM, Bostonseminole said: Jerry is a tenure poster, so basically he can say whatever he wants Welcome Joe! Expand Lol....Phineas remembers how snarky I was at times back in the day. Trying to be a better human now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Still pretty damned putrid on the NAM. Slight improvement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 yeah, NAM is meh, basically north of 495 very little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 An improvement over 18z with better stream interaction earlier... but at 12z Saturday, H5 overall remains a little more open when on today's 12z NAM it was already tilting... keeps things a little more progressive Wouldn't make any definite trend conclusions before 0z tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:08 AM, ORH_wxman said: Still pretty damned putrid on the NAM. Slight improvement. Expand I feel like the NAM likes to do this around the 48 hr mark only to start backtracking by 6z the next morning. I thought the new hrrr at 0z looked realistic, just noticed that it goes out to 48 hrs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 12k is basically a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I don't think anyone is making forecast off the Nam at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:16 AM, PhineasC said: 12k is basically a non-event. Expand I’m not so happy bout this nam run hopefully 3km does something for E areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:16 AM, PhineasC said: 12k is basically a non-event. Expand Yeah you have to go to downeast Maine to get anything. 3km is going to produce a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3k is a little better. It at least doesn’t basically totally miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Not a good start for the 0z suite, NAM or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:20 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m not so happy bout this nam run Expand I guess we toss. Gets hard to toss multiple runs in a row. Hopefully GGEM and Ukie look decent to give some credence to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The 3k is much better than the 12k. Not as good as GFS or NAM but close enough to be in the ballpark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 There is a crap ton of convection that forms off the mid-Atlantic coast...so many low centers on the run all focused towards the convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:23 AM, weatherwiz said: There is a crap ton of convection that forms off the mid-Atlantic coast...so many low centers on the run all focused towards the convection. Expand When there is a lot of convection involved it always seem to interfere with the slp track to the east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:26 AM, dryslot said: When there is a lot of convection involved it always seem to interfere with the slp track to the east Expand I feel like when this is the case the outcome is never good for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:23 AM, PhineasC said: The 3k is much better than the 12k. Not as good as GFS or NAM but close enough to be in the ballpark. Expand S shore of mass jack lol in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:30 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: S shore of mass jack lol in sne Expand It still sucks here but at least it shows a wound up low along the coast. It can be the east side of the guidance envelope at this point. The 12k is just something different entirely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:14 AM, Spanks45 said: I feel like the NAM likes to do this around the 48 hr mark only to start backtracking by 6z the next morning. I thought the new hrrr at 0z looked realistic, just noticed that it goes out to 48 hrs now. Expand The hrrr does. Starting to think those snow maps that Ray screenshots off his work computer are looking more realistic then all the other vendor maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I still can't believe a Winter Storm Watch was issued this afternoon for western Mass. Based on what? It should be canceled. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Someone post that the RPM ticked in a good direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:32 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The hrrr does. Starting to think those snow maps that Ray screenshots off his work computer are looking more realistic then all the other vendor maps. Expand Yeah but those snow maps weren’t because of complete lack of precip like the NAM. They were a temp issue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:27 AM, weatherwiz said: I feel like when this is the case the outcome is never good for us. Expand And you would be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:32 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Someone post that the RPM ticked in a good direction Expand RPM looks worse than 21z. Not the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:36 AM, ORH_wxman said: RPM looks worse than 21z. Not the right direction. Expand What the hell is happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:36 AM, dryslot said: And you would be right. Expand I'm actually kinda pissed about this b/c I think I mentioned the other day but when I made my snow map earlier I completely didn't take that aspect into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:39 AM, PhineasC said: What the hell is happening? Expand Blocking too strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:39 AM, PhineasC said: What the hell is happening? Expand Worst case , Anger and bargaining after 0z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Actually, Rockport MA is the jack on that 3k NAM as far as SNE is concerned, which makes sense considering how far E it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 On 12/4/2020 at 2:39 AM, PhineasC said: What the hell is happening? Expand Oh’ this is your initiation to winter in NE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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