CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 12:18 PM, Bostonseminole said: We rain? Expand Better chance where you are, but just way too many questions right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Was hoping for a glancing blow or not much at all given my back situation, but that 6z Euro/NAM is telling me to get gas for the blower. I don’t expect the GFS to latch on until T-12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 We going to Poundtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 12:06 PM, Allsnow said: Expand And it’s over again, awful model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 RPM whiffs. Probably not a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 12:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We going to Poundtown Expand Please don't post websites that you partake in. The forum thanks you. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 There is going to be some folks that get a maple mauling, On the fence right now on the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 EPS is east of 00z too. looks similar to the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 9:55 AM, Ginx snewx said: Somethings happening here, what it is ain't exactly clearThere's a NAM 6Z run over there, telling me I've got to beware. Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 12:30 PM, qg_omega said: And it’s over again, awful model Expand Another coup d'état for the GFS. America is back on top. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 12:49 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Please don't post websites that you partake in. The forum thanks you. Expand Beers? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Beers? Expand Cold Brew Iced Coffee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Well, I am firmly in the crosshairs now. GFS is coming around. The 06z Euro is a thing of beauty. It can stop moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Beers? Expand Nice comeback, I got a chuckle out of that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Euro caves. GFS/Euro blend at this point is the best forecast imho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Individuals... still a ton of spread and a surprising amount of non-events mixed with some really jacked up ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 11:43 AM, wdrag said: 90Left of the 850 LOW...that's a start on max axis (provided cold enough)... nothing has changed since that was uncovered decades ago. Expand 90 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:16 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 90 miles? Expand Yeah, give or take. That's usually related to 700 low and banding, but can vary depending on bombing, shape and orientation of mid level low etc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:16 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 90 miles? Expand Yes. It's an old school forecasting rule that has held up pretty well over the years for well developed storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 11:09 AM, WinterWolf said: I’ll take my 15 inches on the NAM. I’m sure Luke would be ok with that too. Expand Don’t. Do. It. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:06 PM, weathafella said: Euro caves. GFS/Euro blend at this point is the best forecast imho. Expand Still think North and East in NE is where it as it with this...aside from parting gifts. Think the action way out west is being overplayed attm. I'll have a first call out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah, give or take. That's usually related to 700 low and banding, but can vary depending on bombing, shape and orientation of mid level low etc. Expand Yea, I usually look immediately NW of H7 low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I usually look immediately NW of H7 low. Expand Yeah especially with this one, even closer to 500. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still think North and East in NE is where it as it with this...aside from parting gifts. Think the action way out west is being overplayed attm. I'll have a first call out today. Expand Euro being the NW outlier is something we've seen before at this time range and I feel like we know how it ends. 70/30 compromise...... We'll see though, this one is a bear on guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:15 PM, greenmtnwx said: That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. Expand Even the GEFS at 6z... just huge spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:11 PM, powderfreak said: Individuals... still a ton of spread and a surprising amount of non-events mixed with some really jacked up ones. Expand Late-bloom aspect very prevalent in those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:15 PM, greenmtnwx said: That is some ridiculous EPS individual spread. Huge differences. One potentially troubling issue is the late development. Seems to be bombing ever so later each run which we'll see if that continues. Expand YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 On 12/3/2020 at 1:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Late-bloom aspect very prevalent in those. Expand Yeah that's generally the climo favored way to go. I can't remember the last storm to phase faster and earlier than models progged at Day 3. But plenty phase later than models show at Day 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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