Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, anotherman said: PSUHoffman knows more than I will ever know about this stuff, but I still think it’s jumping the gun a bit. Who is EJ? Eskimo Joe (Matt) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Eskimo Joe (Matt)Right. We shall see. I am south of 30 so that’s fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, anotherman said: PSUHoffman knows more than I will ever know about this stuff, but I still think it’s jumping the gun a bit. Who is EJ? It's getting such that the ridges and valleys come hourly in ma lr. Quite the vacuum there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Eskimo Joe (Matt) Lol...This is the same guy that cancelled the blizzard of 2016 a few days before the event because of one off run of the Euro that took us from 2 feet down to 1 foot. He knows his stuff, but he is all over the place and likes to panic early & often! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's getting such that the ridges and valleys come hourly in ma lr. Quite the vacuum there. Welcome back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's getting such that the ridges and valleys come hourly in ma lr. Quite the vacuum there. Great to see you posting! I hope all is well and hopefully we will see you offer your thoughts & comments for the rest of the Winter and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 34 minutes ago, anotherman said: PSUHoffman knows more than I will ever know about this stuff, but I still think it’s jumping the gun a bit. Who is EJ? I agree, it is way to early to worry about boundaries when the final track is far from set. Remember, for the December storm, that Binghamton, NY a couple of days before the event looked to be getting fringed with under 10 inches of snow and they ended up with 3 feet! Also, the day before the December storm, CTP had the 18 inch bullseye near Harrisburg & Carlisle with no mention of sleet. Harrisburg ended up with 11 inches. The CTP snow bullseye in reality ended up from I-80 on north where many places ended up with 2 feet! I like where we are sitting at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol...This is the same guy that cancelled the blizzard of 2016 a few days before the event because of one off run of the Euro that took us from 2 feet down to 1 foot. He knows his stuff, but he is all over the place and likes to panic early & often! ? He's not panicking. He's feeling great about where he sits right now. He offered a very early, educated guess. (Which is too early to be honest) The one that's concerned is Hoffman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's getting such that the ridges and valleys come hourly in ma lr. Quite the vacuum there. Bubbler! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: ? He's not panicking. He's feeling great about where he sits right now. He offered a very early, educated guess. (Which is too early to be honest) The one that's concerned is Hoffman. I was just mentioning my point in general terms about his posts, not just for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 ICON gets the 0z runs off to a Great start for CTP! It tucks the low in at the mouth of the Delaware Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 nm looking at wrong run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I liked the ridge out west better on the 00Z GFS compared to 18Z and 12Z GFS. I think it was a step towards the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, canderson said: GFA to my untrained eye looks south and no bueno. If this is no bueno I'd like to see whatever it takes to be muy bueno. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, GrandmasterB said: I liked the ridge out west better on the 00Z GFS compared to 18Z and 12Z GFS. I think it was a step towards the Euro. Yea agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, MAG5035 said: If this is no bueno I'd like to see whatever it takes to be muy bueno. I was looking at last night’s run somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, canderson said: I was looking at last night’s run somehow Lol I was gonna say.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I like how the mid atl forum is describing the CMC. "144 - 999mb just SE of ACY". Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This is unbelievable if it plays out with this long duration. It starts snowing at 7:00AM Sunday morning and doesn't end until 12:00PM on TUESDAY! Folks...that's 53 hours. I think the longest storm of my life was 36 hours in January 1996. I've never seen anything last this long. WOW. Oh yeah, the 14" of snow is pretty nice too...lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: This is unbelievable if it plays out with this long duration. It starts snowing at 7:00AM Sunday morning and doesn't end until 12:00PM on TUESDAY! Folks...that's 52 hours. I think the longest storm of my life was 36 hours in January 1996. I've never seen anything last this long. WOW. Oh yeah, the 14" of snow is pretty nice too...lol. gonna be a long 4 days of tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS still mixed southern tier for a time but it's been creeping toward a less mixy solution since 12z today. It also tucks in the coastal low closer when it pretty much stalls, so overall it's looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 That’s what we needed to hear. Less mixy means he’s cavin to the king. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 The 0z EPS was a great run with just about every ensemble member low north of the 0z Euro Op. Most of the EPS members are tucked near the coast, some are inland and some just off of the DelMarVa. The EPS mean precip & snow map also increased for much of CTP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 The 6z GFS even though it has a different evolution that is further north than the Euro, still delivers a very good result for most of CTP. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: This is unbelievable if it plays out with this long duration. It starts snowing at 7:00AM Sunday morning and doesn't end until 12:00PM on TUESDAY! Folks...that's 53 hours. I think the longest storm of my life was 36 hours in January 1996. I've never seen anything last this long. WOW. Oh yeah, the 14" of snow is pretty nice too...lol. Long duration is a win no matter how it stacks up (well as long as it stacks up enough to play in). 6z GFS says the same snow late morning sunday right into tuesday morning rush hour. AND......if thats not enough, it looks like more opps coming on the heels of next weeks event. Takeaway is it looks and feels like normal winter....and normal is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS even though it has a different evolution that is further north than the Euro, still delivers a very good result for most of CTP. Living a happy life is learning to compromise. We'll all be happy w/ an EPS/GFS compromise. See....that was easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Hey everyone, quick idea. If things keep looking like snow, I think it would be fun to have a snow contest for the area. Pick something like 5 sites and see who can guess the total snowfall for those places. Start a spreadsheet and tally up the numbers. Like this post if you want to participate or respond directly to my post. If we get 10 players I’ll get it going. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Hmm. The east coast upside down looks like west Africa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 So what do we need to look for to lose this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 So what do we need to look for to lose this storm? You want to lose it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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