paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, Voyager said: CTP seems rather bullish for the coal region... Monday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Tuesday Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Good Stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Juiced! Comin North? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I see Maytown concerns for down here. We are on the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I see Maytown concerns for down here. We are on the fringe. I am thinking a good thump and then snizzle.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 55 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I am thinking a good thump and then snizzle. . I like the look of the front end snow thump on the 18z NAM at the end of the run. Yes, long range NAM, but it should help over the next 24 to 48 hours to see the thermals for the snow & mix zones. I think many in our region have a good chance for 3 to 6 inches of snow, more for those that stay mostly snow & less for the areas that mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Here is the snow map for the end of the 18z NAM run that shows the beginning of the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 6 hours ago, Atomixwx said: I'm currently in Philipsburg. Snow squalls are real. yep...I think it snowed here everyday (t-2" Each day) since sunday except for 1 day. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 The 18z Euro & EPS held serve for CTP snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 0Z NAM = Jackpot SC PA! More than double total snow vs 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: 0Z NAM = Jackpot SC PA! More than double total snow vs 18Z. Cumberland Valley special Stephen. I do not like being on the southern edge...does not inspire confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Cumberland Valley special Stephen. Shall I say it? ... It's the NAM out at 84. But I can enjoy it for a little while. Boy what a change from the 18Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Had a little snow shower earlier tonight. Mood flakes more than anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Cumberland Valley special Stephen. I do not like being on the southern edge...does not inspire confidence. The southern edge is south of the MD line...even southern York and Lancaster get a few inches this run according to the long range NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 The 0z NAM would still tack on a little more snow because the event is still going on at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The southern edge is south of the MD line...even southern York and Lancaster get a few inches this run according to the long range NAM. The 2" line is 30 miles south of my house. The southern edge has been moving north with every model run. I'm about out of room. The southern edge usually fails, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 33 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: 0Z NAM = Jackpot SC PA! More than double total snow vs 18Z. I would be thrilled with half of these amounts for the greater Harrisburg area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The 2" line is 30 miles south of my house. The southern edge has been moving north with every model run. I'm about out of room. The southern edge usually fails, as well. The 10 inch line is also less than 30 miles to your north... this could go either way depending on how the final details lock in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I don’t think anyone in CTP is getting 10 inches of snow out of this. I think it will end up as a general 3 to 6 inch CTP wide event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I don’t think anyone in CTP is getting 10 inches of snow out of this. I think it will end up as a general 3 to 6 inch CTP wide event. That was what I told my daughter and grandson earlier today. I don't see it being more than 6 inches. At least not widespread. Perhaps a lollipop or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I don’t think anyone in CTP is getting 10 inches of snow out of this. I think it will end up as a general 3 to 6 inch CTP wide event. I agree on the 3-6" - not sure that will cover the entire CTP region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 It will be interesting to see how the potential later in the week second event tracks. If the storm develops closer to the coast, then we could be looking at back to back snow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I agree on the 3-6" - not sure that will cover the entire CTP region. I think that the areas that mix or change over will still be able to squeeze out an event total of 3 inches of snow on the front & back ends of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I think that the areas that mix or change over will still be able to squeeze out an event total of 3 inches of snow on the front & back ends of the event. 6-8” no doubt based on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 OMG! 18" of snow from the SECOND storm (Cumberland Cty). 24" total for the 2 events!! I'm about to faint...lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Total for both events: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: OMG! 18" of snow from the SECOND storm (Cumberland Cty). 24" total for the 2 events!! I'm about to faint...lol. I was getting some sleep in anticipation of the busy weather week ahead. This map was incredible to see when I just woke up! Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 The 6z GFS also has the Thursday coastal storm! It shows the look the CTP snow lovers dream of seeing on a map. Strong High pressure to the north and a strengthening low over the DelMarVa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 The 2 potential events this week on the 6z GFS have combined snow total maps that are too good to not post! Here are the 10-1 ratio & Kuchera ratio snow maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Oh please.... Anything but this. I'd rather smoke cirrus or have a 100% rainer than the whole gauntlet of wintry p-types. Ugh... Monday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Tuesday Snow likely before noon, then snow and freezing rain likely, possibly mixed with sleet. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday Night A chance of sleet before 8pm, then a chance of snow between 8pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 25 minutes ago, Voyager said: Oh please.... Anything but this. I'd rather smoke cirrus or have a 100% rainer than the whole gauntlet of wintry p-types. Ugh... Monday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Tuesday Snow likely before noon, then snow and freezing rain likely, possibly mixed with sleet. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday Night A chance of sleet before 8pm, then a chance of snow between 8pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 30%. A little sleet & freezing rain on top helps the snow to stay around longer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now