Itstrainingtime Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 27 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Both GFS and CMC deliver the goods and are starting to narrow goalposts enough to suggest we are inside them. I'd rather be on Euro side vs GFS/CMC sides of best snows, but a compromise (here in LSV) would do us just fine. Hoping posts continue to narrow from here on in as we are inside 5 days. Would feel better if it were 2-3 though. The GFS has been literally over the east coast with the upcoming storm. It inspires zero confidence...I mean zero. People poop on the NAM but the GFS right now is laughable. The CMC seems to be doing a little better - maybe not Euro like, but model goalposts seem to be narrowing. The Euro hasn't been it's hallowed self lately and the CMC seems to be getting better. We'll see what happens soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The GFS has been literally over the east coast with the upcoming storm. It inspires zero confidence...I mean zero. People poop on the NAM but the GFS right now is laughable. The CMC seems to be doing a little better - maybe not Euro like, but model goalposts seem to be narrowing. The Euro hasn't been it's hallowed self lately and the CMC seems to be getting better. We'll see what happens soon enough. At least it was a good run today. LOL, totally agree though. Can't wait for the EURO returns today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Good to see CTP is starting to discuss Monday's alleged event with infographs. I guess it's probably time to log back in for a few days, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2nd Storm is close to being a big storm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Good to see CTP is starting to discuss Monday's alleged event with infographs. I guess it's probably time to log back in for a few days, huh? Welcome Back! Euro looks good. Good 12z runs all together. Time to get ready for a couple of weeks of winter weather instead of me tracking clouds and sun. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Wait we're really going to have a possible storm Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Me liking: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Wait we're really going to have a possible storm Monday? Instead of Mostly Cloudy, Partly Sunny or Mostly Sunny. Oh I forgot Heavy Wind Warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 37 minutes ago, paweather said: Instead of Mostly Cloudy, Partly Sunny or Mostly Sunny. Oh I forgot Heavy Wind Warnings. That'll be a shock to the system. I honestly can't remember a more boring run of weather in peak winter - last year was AWFUL but we had at least rain to track lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Happy hour didn't disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Well Storm #2 gets suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Well Storm #2 gets suppressed. I’m ok with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, Superstorm said: I’m ok with that look . Yeah this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 5 hours ago, paweather said: Maybe a 31st storm. Looks warm a bit for now. No.......... As of right now, it appears that will be the flight day for me to go to orientation for the new job. If it snows, the wife won't take me to the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I’m ok with that look . We've seen a few look like this in the past a week out that we ended up getting buried under: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Right where we want it..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 hours ago, canderson said: Wait we're really going to have a possible storm Monday? Everyone except you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 If we get no snow next week It’s time to move I’ll hand over my paweather handle to paweather5! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 The 12z EPS had the best 15 day run yet again since a couple of days before the December event this season. Buckle up... this should be a fun week of tracking! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week! At least for the first storm, having a second one coming up also helps minimize the post-storm depression...that is as long as there IS a second storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: At least for the first storm, having a second one coming up also helps minimize the post-storm depression...that is as long as there IS a second storm. Very true! Let’s see what the 0z runs show tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 18 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very true! Let’s see what the 0z runs show tonight. Bring it home for us Blizz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 Who is staying up for the EURO? I can’t stand to be disappointed after 1am but this is out first tracking over a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. That’s DC we typically survive in these complicated setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: That’s DC we typically survive in these complicated setups. Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 45 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed. We also don’t live in MD or DC... Yes, there are a few ways that this storm can go as the models have bounced around. However, over the past 24 hours, all models put the LSV in a solid 3 to 5 inches of snow for the early week event. A consensus is forming that says we are in a good spot for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2021 Share Posted January 22, 2021 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. Just last year there was no snow. Besides last year, we had a great decade of snow. Above normal snow most years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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