MAG5035 Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I've always found it fascinating that Lancaster-based WGAL uses info from Harrisburg and not Lancaster. At least in most of Lanco, 1996 dropped more snow here than 2016 did. The 1983 storm dropped remarkably similar amounts in both locals - I measured 24.8" in the '83 storm. I don't remember 1945. I like how they have a category for "type" of snowstorm. Like one of H-burg's top 5 snowstorms was going to come from a clipper or something lol. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 was on the road today....glad i was, as I'da spent waayyy too much time tracking NOTHING. poop is right. Happy hour at least shows that there is a storm once again, so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 Hot take on the 0z 84 hr NAM, too bad the DGEX still wasn't around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Morning and TGIF! Takeaway from overnights and early morning runs suggest we have a shot at next weeks event. GEPS more bullish on getting southern/eastern crew into some action. GEFS also improved, but still not as excited. That said, they both came north, so thats a small victory, and we need the north trend to continue, because this one has some work to do, but I still feel better about our chances....not great...but better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 MDT finished 2020 with an average temperature of 56.6, which ties 1998 as the warmest year on record in Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I guess it is time to move to Texas or the Carolinas for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: I guess it is time to move to Texas or the Carolinas for snow. Western part of North Carolina is a great place for snow - get out west of Wilkesboro and that area averages more snow in the winter than we do. They get upslope, far enough south to get into southern stream action, and far enough west to avoid changeover. My wife wants to retire to Boone - we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Do you see a Pattern in this forecast? *Edit: I should say except for today. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. North wind around 6 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. North wind around 8 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 40. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I guess it is time to move to Texas or the Carolinas for snow. nah...next week still has time, and 12z's keep it close enough. just like for this weekends non event, pay attention to the NE. IF we can get a little more relaxing, that will help to get us the lattitude we need for this thing to come up and visit. My gut says it can happen. at 500, you can see it lifting out a bit. CMC show how it stays south. Looknig at the CMC, it looks simialr to ULL issue we have for this weekend. Hope that goes poof in upcoming runs. Bear in mind, that as NAO relaxes, you may lose thermal boundaries. Soo many ways to fail it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Do you see a Pattern in this forecast? Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. North wind around 6 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. North wind around 8 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 40. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 44. You need to move south! Mine has rain/snow for Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: nah...next week still has time, and 12z's keep it close enough. just like for this weekends non event, pay attention to the NE. IF we can get a little more relaxing, that will help to get us the lattitude we need for this thing to come up and visit. My gut says it can happen. at 500, you can see it lifting out a bit. CMC show how it stays south. Looknig at the CMC, it looks simialr to ULL issue we have for this weekend. Hope that goes poof in upcoming runs. Bear in mind, that as NAO relaxes, you may lose thermal boundaries. Soo many ways to fail it seems. Sounds good Nut, I will hold out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Well we got the Euro coming up to give us hope back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Here is our latest NWS cloud forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 We can hope that this 10 day image changes for the better...soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: We can hope that this 10 day image changes for the better...soon. That is brutal. I might have to chase some LES events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Still windy as hell outside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Maybe this will be the next storm chance to track? Only 9 days away! The pattern from next week to early February should produce chances to score. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 I’m good with tracking 3 to 6 inch snow chance events. The majority of our storms fall into this range. We had a KU type of event in December, which is rare. Hopefully we will get to track another major storm this season. If not, hopefully we get some light to moderate events to track soon in this pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I have been checking for days and it seems nothing much is going on and nothing much is predicted to happen. I don't want to shovel more snow so I guess I should be happy. It used to be that a quiet 10 day forecast would change and we would end up getting some precipitation until this summer. Then we got week after week of mostly blue skies (instead of frequent gray skies) and no rain. It was weird but wonderful. Now we have gotten a lot of precipitation recently and now just plain nothing. It really makes me wonder about the future. Our weather patterns seem to be very disrupted. We got 25 inches of snow here in Williamsport less than a month ago so I am not complaining. But I am wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Not much to track so I thought I’d post this. It was number 43 in the nesis list. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Not much to track so I thought I’d post this. It was number 43 in the nesis list. Thank you for posting that. I always appreciate looking at those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Harrisburg is still 4 inches of snow above average through today’s date for the season. We already scored a major event in December. Many of us got at least a solid snow shower to coating of snow on Christmas Day! Last Sunday many had a coating of snow/sleet while some places further north & west in CTP had a few inches of snow. My point is that this Winter has been pretty good to this point. We should get more cold into the pattern next weekend. The -NAO should persist through the end of the month. The pattern looks to get more active next week. We should have a few more winter storm chances this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Here are the latest EPS & GEFS from today. Most of this snow falls in week 2. They are trending in the right direction as an indicator of increasing winter storm potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 The 12z GFS has a good storm signal for early next week. There is a lot more potential with a slightly closer to the coast track if the storm deepens like thIs on the way up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Snowing at my parents in Texas - 2-4” expected. Also snowing in Austin - a pretty rare event there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 33 minutes ago, canderson said: Snowing at my parents in Texas - 2-4” expected. Also snowing in Austin - a pretty rare event there. Actually saw a report of Thundersnow in Austin...hope Cantore was there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Meanwhile in Austin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Madrid, Spain has Texas beat for this one.... Crazy snowfall in a place that rarely gets snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 The 0z Canadian has a winter storm for us next Wednesday. One of these threats with this good pattern needs to become something that we can track into the short term... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 hours ago, Voyager said: Madrid, Spain has Texas beat for this one.... Crazy snowfall in a place that rarely gets snow. Crazy video. they haven't had a snowstorm this big in 50 years. i always forget places like that don't have systems in place to handle such a heavy and huge amount of snow so the city basically becomes paralyzed. Good luck getting to a hospital or anywhere in that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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